The spacecraft has entered its preliminary design review phase, so I think it's time to begin discussion of what promises to be a fascinating journey to one of the most interesting destinations in the Solar System. Dr. Robert Pappalardo, the mission's chief scientist, delivered an overview of Europa as well as a top-level description of instrumentation and objectives during a talk tonight at the Griffith Observatory as part of their monthly "All Space Considered" series, so that serves as a good starting point. His presentation starts at 29:35.
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_aInKr1cn5I
One thing that really caught my notice is that they're expecting 0.5m resolution of Europa at selected times/passes. He used the phrase "HiRISE-quality". Was rather surprised by that; I'm assuming that means that at least some of the flyby relative velocities are fairly low.
Characterization of surface roughness at that scale will be enormously helpful for future lander mission planning, of course. I wonder if they'll be able to achieve something similar during the Ganymede & Callisto flybys?
Oh dear, according to the latest PEN newsletter, the ICEMAG Europa interior characterisation instrument has been terminated due to cost overruns.
P
Do you have a link to that, Antipode? Didn't find anything via a quick Google.
PLANETARY EXPLORATION NEWSLETTER
Volume 13, Number 10 (March 5, 2019)
PEN Website: http://planetarynews.org
P
Thank you.
Bad news indeed. However, it does seem that the mission will likely still include a magnetometer albeit a less complex (and capable) instrument, perhaps a flight spare of some sort from another project.
This is not without precedent; seems to happen more often than not for most missions, actually. Hopefully the legendary ingenuity of NASA will find a way forward.
Too bad; luckily, JUICE will definitely carry a magnetometer too (called J-MAG).
I noticed that according to the PEN newsletter, a simpler, less complex magnetometer will be included on Europa Clipper if possible. Hopefully this is possible since including a magnetometer is really important for exploring Europa properly (the subsurface ocean in particular).
Since JUICE and EC will run concurrently, it would be particularly nice to have them both operating at the same time, in the event that both of them might make a close Europa pass at the same time. A magnetic field inside another magnetic field is a complex beast, and getting measurements along two trajectories at once would be a bonus.
JUICE won't make that many passes by Europa, so it can't possibly replace the science value that a magnetometer on EC would offer.
I'm still smarting over the fact that Dawn had its magnetometer downscoped away.
This isn't Clipper. That's the Euro mission.
And it looks like the Russian's and Chinese may very well send their own vessel also. So possible 3 missions to Europa, Ganymede during the 2030's.
The latest review of Europa Clipper and Europa Lander paints a less-than-rosy picture of the status of each.
https://www.sciencemag.org/news/2019/05/without-champion-europa-lander-falls-nasa-s-back-burner
(This article is more about the Lander than the Clipper, so the match with this forum is ~40%.)
These sagas go back and forth as we all know, but it seems like postponement is a solid possibility for the Clipper and more than likely for the Lander.
Yaay !!
https://www.nasa.gov/feature/europa-clippers-mission-to-jupiter-s-icy-moon-confirmed
BTW, I remember reading a detailed Europa Clipper mission proposal somewhere, but now I can't find it in my files.
Anybody here remember where it was posted?
A quick Google search came up empty.
Thnx
Maybe this is the one you were thinking of?
https://smd-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/science-red/s3fs-public/atoms/files/Europa-PSS_Sept_2016.pdf
One thing that catches my eye is that virtually all of Europa would be mapped at better than 30m per pixel with a median of about 9m per pixel. Due to orbital mechanics that are easy to visualize (flybys just inside or outside of Europa's orbit), there is a rough 180° periodicity in the coverage with the sub-jovian and anti-jovian regions imaged with the best resolution and the leading and trailing regions imaged with the worst resolution. This is approximately 10 times higher resolution than Viking coverage of Mars.
Panel discussion tomorrow (23 Oct 19) about Clipper featuring Bob Pappalardo and TPS CEO Bill Nye, 1030 US Pacific Daylight Time, 1730 GMT. https://www.nasa.gov/multimedia/nasatv/index.html#public.
I didn't want to start a new topic in the book subforum, but I wanted to let everyone know about 'The Mission' by David Brown; a fantastic book about the long history of Europa missions that recently released and everything that led up to the Europa Clipper's development so far. I'm only in chapter 4 of the audio version, but it's filled with all sorts of details on JIMO and previous proposals, as well as the nitty-gritty scientists, bureaucrats, politicians, (as well as some some cameos by posters on this very forum)! I had never known the origin of OPAG and MEPAG, the various rivalries, and the constant competition for scarce dollars.
The author has done quite a bit of science writing on space missions, and the prose is a good mix of details that will interest both experts and amateurs. It really emphasizes the long slog before even the first physical part of a probe destined for space is machined. I think there will be plenty new even to the users of UMSF.
Richard Greenberg's books about the science of Europa are extremely lively, documenting some passionate disagreements, to put it mildly. I suspect that the rivalries in engineering a Europa mission are mainly about different issues, not necessarily scientific ones, but it seems like there has to be some aspect of the thin-ice vs thick-ice theories coming into play, at least during the ~2002-2014 era. But I am only on the outside looking in.
Nice talk by Bob Pappalardo on Europa Clipper was presented on May 12, and can be watched on YouTube:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8ZMZuiiaAmQ&t=4s
Europa Clipper now has a launch vehicle: a SpaceX Falcon Heavy. Launch is now set for October 2024.
https://www.nasa.gov/press-release/nasa-awards-launch-services-contract-for-the-europa-clipper-mission
$178 million is pocket change compared with SLS anyway. Massive savings by any measures (I could say more about SLS, but the p-word would be involved)....
Having a launch vehicle finalized is a big milestone; will be an impressive sight!
This description of the Europa Clipper radar instrument, REASON, has a date of 2015, but seems to remain valid:
https://www.lpi.usra.edu/opag/meetings/aug2015/presentations/day-1/8_f_REASON.pdf
There is good reason to believe that the icy shell will have a fair degree of global consistency for depth and structure, with local exceptions. The radar campaign of Europa Clipper will not map Europa's surface comprehensively, but rather provide a partial grid of widely-separated tracks, with good vertical resolution along those tracks. This should provide excellent coverage of the global parameters for the shell's structure, surface texture, and – if existing conceptions of the shell's
depth and REASON's performance hold – thickness. If exceptions to the global trends (eg, pockets of liquid water closer to the surface) are not very rare, then the grid of ground tracks will intersect them, sampling them occasionally. I guess if there's an extended mission, there would be high priority on additional ground tracks to target areas of suspected interest that were missed or grazed during the main mission. The coverage map in the linked paper shows that at least in many locations the coverage will be pretty dense. Amusingly, the ground tracks look quite similar in distribution to the linea features around longitude 225W and elsewhere, so hopefully we don't end up just missing something of interest if the ground tracks remain parallel to geological features for thousands of km, just missing them along the entire length.
Live video stream of Europa Clipper assembly:
https://europa.nasa.gov/spacecraft/assembly/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yk0X3Sh2gIE
Europa Clipper will be arriving in Jupiter orbit in April 2030. It will take about a year to get it into the science orbit. I can't locate any schematics of the initial orbits, and potential flybys of Ganymede, Calisto, or distant observations of Io. Can anyone assist?
https://ntrs.nasa.gov/citations/20160008162 is an old paper that describes an earlier tour design. I couldn't find anything more recent that wasn't paywalled.
At one point the claim was made that there would be no science observations made of the other satellites to save costs, but I doubt that will hold once they're flying.
I will note that the current tour SPICE kernel is on the NAIF kernel site. If you know how to use something like spiceypy, one could create a python script that gives you all the flybys.......
Here is a map that aggregates all of the ground tracks, which displayed an impressively dense grid-like coverage of the entire surface, though with some concentrations reflecting the realities of orbital geometry.
https://www.hou.usra.edu/meetings/lpsc2023/pdf/1518.pdf
It notes, at a high level, that the early orbits will focus on the anti-Jupiter hemisphere and then the later orbits will focus on the sub-Jupiter hemisphere.
Other commentary is here.
https://www.nasaspaceflight.com/2024/04/ec-jpl-interview/
https://europa.nasa.gov/mission/timeline/
Because the main mission coverage is a bit uneven spatially, there's the prospect that features that seem intriguing given coverage from the main mission could be the targets of specific focus during any possible extended mission. This will introduce luck and chance as factors – will there be uniquely interesting features that just happen to be located near/far from the closest ground tracks, and how will the spacecraft hold up as radiation damage takes its toll? I think the subtext is that potential targets for any future landers will be of prime interest, and only time will tell if there are uniquely promising locations for a lander (as on Mars) or if there are, effectively, many areas that are more or less equally intriguing. We already know that there are isolated areas with more recent exposure to subsurface activity than is typical, but we don't have sufficient coverage from Galileo to characterize what might be the best locations.
The overlap with JUICE is important context, should both missions function perfectly. This would make EC's coverage of Ganymede and JUICE's coverage of Europa seemingly less important, but the instrument suites are not exactly identical, so perhaps those differences will be highlighted by circumstances where each observes the "other" moon. And it highlights the importance of the observations of Callisto, which is not the primary target of either mission, but will be visited a total of 21 times by these two orbiters, which would seem to offer the potential for excellent and definitive coverage (Galileo flew by Callisto only 3 times in the primary missions and 8 times in all). In fact, both EC and JUICE will each fly by Callisto more times than Galileo ever did.
To the point, I think, of Steve's question, I took a look at the Galileo-era maps of the four Galileans and how coverage has varied, which is to say the least considerable. For each, portions have been mapped at scales of 1km/pixel or much better, while other large portions have been imaged at no better than 5km/pixel.
The successful completion of EC and JUICE will utterly supersede current imagery for Europa and Ganymede, and the contributions of each mission to "the other" moon in that pair will be essentially redundant, in terms of mapping. (I'm curious if the two different radar instruments will produce interestingly complimentary data in cases where the ground tracks cross.)
Neither will approach Io closely, but will potentially come as close to Io as Europa is to Io. That won't advance our global maps of Io except in the sense that Io's time-varying vulcanism makes even remote observations potentially interesting.
Callisto is the wildcard. As long as the flybys aren't completely undermined by redundant geometry, nightside closest approaches and/or policies against performing observations, those 21 combined flybys – nearly half as many as EC will make of Europa – should amount to the definitive exploration of Callisto. ESA is quite focused on their end of this; note that the mission name itself is not specific to Ganymede and Callisto is indeed a primary target of the mission, even if it's not as primary as Ganymede. Some interesting and fun discussion here:
https://www.esa.int/Enabling_Support/Operations/Juice_aces_Callisto_flyby_test
https://www.science.org/content/article/vulnerable-transistors-threaten-upend-europa-clipper-mission
https://blogs.nasa.gov/europaclipper/2024/07/11/nasa-continues-assessing-electrical-switches-on-europa-clipper/
The main consolation is that the best people in the world are working on this, and the spacecraft we already have at Jupiter seems to be degrading much more slowly than was predicted. I will be eager to see what sort of fix, if any, is needed, or modifying the flight plan....
Admin mode: Just a gentle reminder for all to please ensure that discussion of this evolving situation complies with Forum rule 2.6 (provided below for review.) Obviously we aren't privy to all the details, and this is an extremely stressful and difficult time for the team. We don't need to add to that stress. Thanks!
2.6 When mentioning scientists, engineers, or other mission personnel, please write as though they are reading the Forum. In fact, many of them are. In particular, avoid criticizing missions on the basis of hindsight and/or incomplete information.
Unless there are classified missions to Jupiter, the components in question failed for a satellite that was presumably in Earth orbit. That would seem to be rather concerning for the case of a Europa craft, but that keyword "classified" makes it pretty futile to try to figure anything out before the insiders report back. As described above, the root cause isn't really so much about the intrinsic hazard at Europa as it is about anomalies in the process. The timing is really concerning; the components they describe seem like they are really easy to make radiation-proof, in general, but if they have to replace anything now, that is now a tight deadline before the launch.
In general, trajectories to Jupiter come back around pretty often, but if they have to postpone, the Mars gravity assist might make what would be a small slip into a larger one.
Some background about the https://nepp.nasa.gov/docs/etw/2021/14-JUN-21_Mon/1130_McClure-Keynote-Europa-CL21-2225.pdf.
Having worked on several unsuccessful Europa proposals over the past quarter-century, one of the few parts it seemed we didn't have to worry about were MOSFETs, so this is pretty dismaying.
I think the problems were detected in ground testing. There is a system for parts problems to be reported to the wider community ( https://gidep.org/home ) but I can't share any information from there or from other sources.
You can learn more about the parts in question at https://www.infineon.com/cms/en/product/high-reliability/space/power/rad-hard-mosfets/#
This must be every teams worst nightmare. Designed right, tested right, and then learn that a supplier failed to meet specs on a component in a way the project couldn't have tested for it.
Coincidently, I recently read about how MOSFETs on SMAP became more sensitive to radiation failure after an over-voltage condition. https://llis.nasa.gov/lesson/27701
The headline and one quote inside offer optimism, but there isn't much basis in specifics offered.
As it happens, there's also some Mars Sample Return commentary.
https://spacenews.com/nasa-science-head-optimistic-europa-clipper-launches-on-schedule/
For the news to raise that concern about the MOSFETs, followed by weeks without an update seems like a disconnect, at least as far as communications go. One tweet briefly says that two inside sources expect the launch to go ahead, but there isn't anything public that addresses the issue. I guess that either the investigation is continuing silently and in parallel with launch preparations or it has concluded silently. In about 7 weeks, we'll either have a mission on the way or some implicit statement that the MOSFET issue has been addressed one way or another.
I see also that that source tested uncharged electromagnetic radiation while the Jupiter environment has charged particles, including of masses that you'd rarely see on Earth. And one of the hazards of the jovian environment is that sustained dosage of charged particles can cause charge buildup, and destructive discharge arcs. As for how that plays out in the complex structures of one particular spacecraft that's never been flown before, in a part of the jovian environment that has never had a spacecraft spend long durations of time in before… I have no idea how one has hope of testing or validating that. Build to tolerance way above the estimated worst case, I guess.
Good news on Clipper! https://blogs.nasa.gov/europaclipper/2024/08/28/nasas-europa-clipper-mission-moving-toward-october-launch-date/
The Europa Clipper mission team recently conducted extensive testing and analysis of transistors that help control the flow of electricity on the spacecraft. Analysis of the results suggests the transistors can support the baseline mission
Huge if true!
An interesting thing about the structure of the mission is that all of the anti-jovian flybys of the main mission occur first, followed by all of the sub-jovian flybys of the main mission. I guess that would make an early end of mission (say, only 40% or even 80% of the flybys occur) more painful than if, say, the anti- and sub- flybys were sort of interspersed, because flybys with a given ground track will provide pretty good resolution for areas beyond the ground track. An early end of mission with this profile will mean that the anti-jovian hemisphere would still be well or completely covered, with serious gaps for the sub-jovian hemisphere. But that's the pessimistic scenario.
There's a significant difference in resolution between the global mapping and targeted high resolution imaging (and radar ground tracks) so it seems like an extended mission would want to target locations identified in the main mission as having particular interest – possible plume vent locations or future landing locations. It's anybody's guess where those would turn out to be and the orbital mechanics suggest that some of them could end up being in locations that are hard to target immediately after the last orbit of the main mission. Another value of the extended mission would be temporal, offering more opportunities to study intermittent plume activity if those are indeed intermittent. There's also an unknown capacity for supporting remote observations as the JWST will likely be operating then; new, massive terrestrial telescopes will likely begin operating by then. Lots of unknowns there, including the radiation damage itself, even aside from the MOSFETs.
Anyway, good news conditionally for now.
A tweet from the mission's account adds:
The next major milestone for our mission in NASA's standard process is Key Decision Point E on Sept. 9, when the agency will decide whether we're ready to proceed to launch. A media briefing targeted for that same week will provide more information.
Good news for now, certainly.
https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/nasas-europa-clipper-gets-set-of-super-size-solar-arrays.
Here's documentation of some past testing:
https://nepp.nasa.gov/files/24915/NSREC2013_Lauenstein_W38.pdf
Here's some documentation of Jupiter's radiation environment. Europa's orbit is at 9.6 Jupiter radii. That was extensively probed by Galileo (which, of course, approached Europa many times).
https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1002/2016JA023059
What's not public facing, AFAIK, is how well shielded these transistors are, and how the electronics of Europa Clipper depend upon nominal function. Any given component inside the craft will be protected to greater extents by the craft itself in some directions than others. I guess that these components, having been above suspicion of failure when the craft was designed, are not located to maximize the greatest amount of shielding by intention, but may accidentally benefit from more or less shielding in the details of their location and what the orientation of the craft is during flybys. (Eg, note that the trailing hemisphere of Europa receives more radiation than the leading hemisphere.) The directionality of the instruments' bore sights during closest approach is non-negotiable, but perhaps the rotation of the craft around that axis is a variable that can be manipulated productively. Above my pay grade, but hopefully the team's ambiguously-stated confidence reflects the required optimism!
Europa Clipper is go for launch, with the nominal mission! https://www.nasa.gov/live/
Edit: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7FWdvN_hsTo, which hopefully will persist after the event. More technical details about the response to the MOSFET issue than previously released.
John
I have listened to only part of the audio of the press event, but copy-pasted the automatically-extracted transcript into a local file, and it's semi-readable. The intriguing conclusion is that while radiation will degrade the MOSFET transistors during each passage through the most intense radiation of the mission, the transistors will "heal" during the longer intervals between such events, and that this cycle of degradation and healing will allow successful completion of the mission.
The transcript mangles the key word "annealing" as "kneeling" and other transmutations of the word, but that appears to be the key idea. They plan to keep the mission as originally planned. Questions regarding an extended mission drew optimistic answers: "We have no reason to expect anything other than a great four years and an extended Mission beyond that."
Here's a quick edit of the specifics about the MOSFETs from the automatically-generated captions from the today's press conference. Any errors not part of the autogeneration are mine.
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