JAXA wants to continue with Hayabusa 2. However there is/was a huge fight about the budget. Main problem was the budget for the launch vehicle. 2 months ago or so there was a report which said, that JAXA had to find another launch vehicle or the project gets cancelled. Now the Italian space agency played saviour and overed the VEGA. So finally we might see another Hayabusa in 2011.
It was mentioned here:
http://www.jspec.jaxa.jp/080110Final_IPEWG-ProgramBook.pdf
I was trying to hunt around for word on what happened with Hayabusa 2's budget crisis. I found a Japanese blogger, Shinya Matsuura, talking about a Q&A session, http://smatsu.air-nifty.com/lbyd/2008/08/823jaxa_a25a.html (http://74.125.19.100/translate_c?hl=en&sl=ja&u=http://smatsu.air-nifty.com/lbyd/cat4895752/index.html&prev=/search%3Fq%3Dsite:smatsu.air-nifty.com%2B%25E3%2581%25AF%25E3%2582%2584%25E3%2581%25B6%25E3%2581%25952%2B2008%26hl%3Den%26safe%3Doff&usg=ALkJrhhAfUE4X8OZ5su9fsnKgVXPewIZDQ).
I don't read Japanese, so I'd love to get a better translation of the last few paragraphs of his 8/23 entry than Google Translate's:
Not a great advertisement for translation software, I'll say that.
The gist I get out of it is that the blogger doesn't think that there would be any suitable target from 2013 through 2017, and that if you launched in 2018 then the current probe technology would be too outdated (better to start over with a new design), and you would lose the skill set from the original Hayabusa team by that time in any event.
So he's saying, basically - now or never on Hayabusa 2 (unless they happen to find a new target - say, with Pan-STARRS, or another survey.) And the budget stuff is STILL up in the air at the time of writing, despite the fact they said it'd be decided summer 2008.
So not good signs, overall, for Hayabusa 2.
Anyhow - excellent. Thank you very much for the help.
Hayabusa 2 is currently planned to be launched with H-IIA in 2014 to asteroid 1999JU3.
http://translate.google.com/translate?prev=hp&hl=en&js=y&u=http%3A%2F%2Fsmatsu.air-nifty.com%2Flbyd%2F2009%2F07%2Fjaxa2-7537.html&sl=ja&tl=en&history_state0=
The original link: http://smatsu.air-nifty.com/lbyd/2009/07/jaxa2-7537.html
Fantastic. I love it when successful hardware gets launched again.
In the latest issue of Astronomy & Astrophysics: http://www.aanda.org/articles/aa/abs/2009/32/aa12374-09/aa12374-09.html
on arXiv today http://arxiv.org/abs/0910.0116
The latest issue of Nature mentions Hayabusa 2 while discussing the return of Hayabusa http://www.nature.com/news/2010/100629/full/466016a.html
apparently, the project has been promised an increase of funds and could fly in 2014, returning samples in 2020.
I saw a presentation today on Hayabusa 2 that was presented to NASA by JAXA. As already stated, they're looking at a C-type asteroid with a 2014-15 launch and an arrival in 2017-18. They are hoping to carry Minerva again.
They are also looking at Hayabusa Mark 2, but there were no details in the presentation about what a Mk 2 spacecraft would do in capability/science above the Mk 1. A Mk 2 is looking at a 2020-21 launch (if memory serves).
An article found in today's (15 July) Asahi Shimbun newspaper here says what follows.
JAXA put forward (yesterday) to the Space Activities Committe (or Commission) (SAC, anyway) their Hayabusa 2 proposal for feasibility study. They (SAC) will complete their technical feasibility study during August this year. Their conclusion will then be forwarded to the Ministry of Education, Science, Culture and Sports and the government's Space Development Strategy HQ.
Whether next year's budget allocation will reflect this is everybody's concern at the moment.
Unlike Hayabusa, Hayabusa 2 will be going to organic rich asteroid. After initial sampling on arrival Hayabusa 2 will release an object to the surface and create an artificial crator of 5,6 m in diameter.
Hayabusa 2 will then land in the crator for further sampling and return to the Earth.
Pandaneko
Oh, dear! I forgot to mention that Hayabusa 2 will go during the summer of 2014. This is in time for the approapriate orbital insertion to meeting up with the asteroid.
Pandaneko
I now know Hayabusa 2's target. It is 1999JU3.
Pandaneko
There was an article in today's (11 August) Yomiuri newspaper about Hayabusa 2. She will create a crator with an explosive charge and land in it.
She will be using a few different types of sample recovery system. One of them is a sticky material. The paper did not mentioin what other methods are.
Pandaneko
My apologies, an explosive charge will be used to send out a metal chunck to the asteroid to create a crator. That makes me wonder about the potential damage to the mothership...
Pandaneko
Further apologies
Please do not blame me. As I look around for more info I get slightly different versions. The latest finding is that the projectile itself will have an explosive charge in it and it will create a crator, 4m in diam, and 80cm in depth.
Pandaneko
A crater that size would mean blasting out over 10 tonnes of regolith (5.3 cubic metres @ 2 tonnes/m3) - and the idea is Hayabusa-2 would be near this to collect material?
Andy
My understanding is the spacecraft will be in a stand-off position during this phase and then approach later to sample/collect the (hopefully) pristine material inside the crater. I guess this supposed "sticky" collection device would operate in some sort of fly-through of the ejecta?
There was a repeat TV programme on Hayabusa and Hayabusa 2 on NHK today (13 August). I had not watched it before. What caught my attention most was the shape of the impacter as they called it and the sequence of crater making.
The impacter had a shape of a typical drum, but about one third of the way down from the top it had a disk sticking out all around the drum. The disk width was about one third of the drum diameter, I think.
Detonation sequence is something I do not trust my memory about. It was so brief, literally a few seconds. Now, there was a clear explosion on the asteroid surface, but, at that same moment the drum was still in the air, that is what I remember. I may be wrong, of course...
Pandaneko
What follows is from WIKI on Hayabusa 2. I had a look at WIKI in English and there was little. Proposed improvements are as follows.
1. Instead of a parabolic antenna an array antenna as used with Akatsuki will be used.
2. Pipe lining for chemical thrusters and reaction wheels will be improved.
3. Ion engine power will be increased from 10 micro N to 10 milli N.
4. Sampling sequence will be improved. For instance, a fish eye lens will monitor sampling process and optical monitoring of grains being retrieved.
5. Projectile's shape (sampler horn) will be changed from ball bearing shape to conical bullet shape at 90 degrees.
6. Impacter is 20 cm in diameter and weighs 10 kg. After seperation from Hayabusa 2 it will be deformed in shape by the explosive pressure to smush into the asteroid.
What surprised me was that Hayabusa 2 is very similar to Hayabusa, even with a sampler horn! I would have thought that they have given it up...
Pandaneko
Thanks, Pandaneko!
10^3 uprating--that's a dramatic improvement in engine thrust. I wonder if that indicates advancement in the technology, or just more confidence in pushing the existing design harder based on all the experience gained with Hayabusa 1?
Retaining the sampler horn schema is surprising as well. Don't see why they'd do that unless they feel very certain that they understand what went wrong on H1...has anything been published to indicate that? (I would be surprised if much of the post-flight engineering analysis has been translated into English, if it's even been publicly released in Japanese in the first place.)
I should imagine that JAXA itself cannot carry anything on Hayabusa 2 because of yet undecided budgetary confirmation. However, what follows appears to be the most official hideout for them.
http://b612.jspec.jaxa.jp/mission/e/index_e.html
Also, I now know that there will be two MINERVAs and 4 reaction wheels and that the stay period around the asteroid will be 1.5 years.
Pandaneko
http://www.planetaryprobe.eu/IPPW7/proceedings/IPPW7%20Proceedings/Papers/Session7B/p456.pdf
Hayabusa 2 might carry a DLR lander called MASCOT.
This news just in!
Hayabusa 2's budget request was fully approved by the government here!!!
It will go in 2014 as planned!!!
Pandaneko
GREAT news!!!!
P., I know that Emily will ask for a reference in the event that she decides to write about this (and it wouldn't surprise me if she did; Hayabusa 1 enjoyed considerable mass media attention by the normal standards of UMSF); do you have one handy in either Japanese or English?
Yes, though only in Japanese, from the web digest version of the Yomiuri newspaper. URL here.
http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/science/news/20101222-OYT1T01175.htm
There may be an article in English with the Daily Yomiuri, but this news will be reported widely by other media too from today on, I think.
Pandaneko
Here's the English version:
http://www.yomiuri.co.jp/dy/national/T101223003538.htm
"The government will give the science ministry the full amount--3 billion yen--it requested for development of the Hayabusa 2 space probe in the fiscal 2011 budget, sources said...."
I have got this feeling that we may shift this topic into Hayabusa 2 which already exsists. The reason is that Hayabusa 1's news will continue to come in, I think, in the next year and it might become confusing to talk about the two within the same stream...
Perhaps, I should have done just that myself in the first place, if I come to think about it...
Pandaneko
Another crazy thought... I was not sure where I should put this in and in the end chose this place. I am still talking about the need for engineering cameras.
Although, not directory relevant to interplanetatry missions, I tell you one episode about Hayabusa's capsule helicopter recovery. Heat shield and its inrared signnature and all that.
They did a rehearsal before hand, and what they used was a traditional Japanese feet warmer used in your bed filled with warm water. These things used to be made of corrugated metals, but increasingly these are now made of plastics, to hold warm water inside them.
I do not use one, as I use my electric bluncket, but there are still people, eldery people, who prefer these traditional warmers. Having said that, let me come to the main issue, engineering cameras.
With Hayabusa Minerva was lost (and only one image returned to earth, I think), and it must have been a very expensive system. However, prior to that deployment they sent a target marker down to the surface of the asteroid. That thing was remarkably primitive, with multi-rfelection surfaces, but what it boiled down to was another traditional thing, called ohajiki, for mainly small girls to play with.
Ohajiki is made of small beans and enclosed in a cloth (here on earth, that is) container to make it roughly round, about 5 cm in diam. With Hayabusa, two of them was used, as I remember, and the idea was that on landing they do not rebounce.
Now, if we have an engineering camara, with a fish eye lens attached to it, can we not forget about MINERVA kind of sophisticated and expensive monitoring devices? Whether angle setting is right or not should not matter as long as a fish eye lens is attached with the marker. It does not be firmly fixed, for cost saving, I think.
If we can arrange for that kind of markers, then we should be able to see what is coming down from above, and even what went wrong on landing, etc, etc. Of course, we should have another camera on board the probe itself.
Pandaneko
As I recall, the problem with the Haybusa sampling horn is that the probe landed much sooner than anticipated. I would guess - this is only a guess- that the software engineers did not expect the timing of the landing to be off this much and did not have the necessary flags set for the sampling sequence to execute. It is unclear (to me) whether or not the probe left because of a timer, a maximum temperature was exceeded, or the probe was ordered to depart from earth.
In any case, since they have not changed the design of the sampling horn; it seems a likely conclusion that the failure to collect a pair of good samples was the result of a sequencing error rather than a failure of the sampling horn.
Thank you for clarification of MINERVA's role.
I now have this feeling that all future asteroid landers should have something like MINERVA. I am very ignorant about hardware costs, but they do not need propulsion systems, just being pushed out (or down), so can they not afford a few MINERVA like things, not just for surface observations, but to view what a lander looks like when it comes down and do whatever it is supposed to do on touch down?
I do want to see a lander coming down, why not? That should not be very expensive, should it?
Pandaneko
Somewhere I read that the Hyabusa development costs were around US$150m and the NSSDC claims the spacecraft alone was around $100m of that. I would imagine Minerva was relatively cheap in comparison. However, the US had planned a lander to be on Hyabusa as well but pulled out due to costs. It always seems to come down to politics in the end. Also, all missions to comets and asteroids, with exception to Hyabusa, have been flybys so far, making it difficult for a lander to have much time to explore before it would lose radio contact.
Doh, forgot that one. Thanks for reminding me.
No, I cannot provide link information as all this was analogue on local newspapers here during the past 10 days to two weeks and I do not even remember which ones exactly Anyway, :
1. Hayabusa 2 is likely to go as planned in 2014, despite the recent budgetary cut due to the shortage of money in the wake of the earthquake. Actually, the amount of budget cut is very large in % terms, but this article contained in it a JAXA comment that they would somehow manage with their own internal resources being added to the current layout.
2. A German team is going to put a mini-lander with Hayabusa 2. I remember vaguely that there was a posting about this (with the same name given to it) long time ago. The problem as I remember was that the lander was not going to be given a spin at all.
P
What follows is found on today's (10 Feb. 2012) Asahi newspaper digital.
JAXA will complete the design of Hayabusa 2 components by mid March this year (2012) and start manufacturing them thereafter.
At about the same time they will start electrical connection tests of comms. and control systems by having them together and if possible complete the construction of the flight model by the autumn of 2013 at the earliest.
Hayabusa 2's development budget has been almost halved to about 30x 10 to the power of 8 yen within the 2012 budgetary plan and its launch is said to be tricky, but JAXA will not change its launch schedule and will aim for a launch in 2014.
According to the plan Hayabusa 2 will be launched on board H2A in 2014 and will arrive at the carbon rich 1999 JU3 in 2018 and will return to the Earth in 2020. (Why as much as 4 years, why not 6 months like Akatsuki!, P)
Hayabusa 2's probe cost is 162x 10 to the power of 8 yen and if we include the launch cost the total cost is about 300 x 10 to the power of 8 yen. Launch windows will be open for two weeks in the summer or winter of 2014. 2015 will be left as a backup launch year.
http://www.asahi.com/digital/nikkanko/NKK201202090016.html
P
thanks for the update pandaneko!
cutting the budget while keeping the schedule will probably mean saving on tests and cutting corners... I have a bad feeling about this...
Somewhere else they said, the 2014 launch depends whether or not they can get the lost parts of the FY 2012 budget additionally in FY 2013.
Something else. 600 kilo is too soft for the H-IIA? For Planet-C this problem made the development of IKAROS possible. Hope they could come with something cool this time, too.
Nihon Keizai Shimbun here, a financial newspaper, reported (time stamp is 25 May 2012) that JAXA started producing Hayabusa 2 and main parts will be assembled by the end of this fiscal year for testing.
Pandaneko
There is an interesting feature on JAXA Japanese web site. What follows is its translation.
<New challenegs>
We are currently considering a new device for Hayabusa 2 which was not carried by Hayabusa. It is a collision device. It will be seperated from Hayabusa 2 above 1993 JU3 and when the mothersdhip hides behind the asreroid it will explode in mid air. Then, approx. 2kg collision mass will collide with the asteroid surface and create a crater of approx. a few meters insize.
After that, collection and sampling of the newly disclosed surface will be attempted. (end of translation)
I would have thought that crater making can be best and least problematically achieved by an explosive device, somehow gently placed on the asteroid surface. That would have been space mining, but this is just a collision process!
P
UNNECESSARY QUOTING REMOVED - ADMIN
Paraphrasing David Niven in "The Guns of Navarone": 'there is always a way to set off explosives. The trick is not to be around when they do.'
Here is a short article from the English edition of Asahi Shimbun, dated June 9:
http://ajw.asahi.com/article/economy/technology/AJ201206090044
NEC is the prime contractor again.
It seems to me the trouble with "hiding behind" the asteroid when the explosion goes off is that a lot of debris will be floating about for a while.
Why would it? The asteroid's gravity is too negligible to hold onto anything and without air resistance, all the particles would fly away at whatever speed the explosion flung them.
Seems to me like the goal is both replicating Deep Impact but on an inert body instead of out-gassing comet. This includes staying in the vicinity rather than just a flyby, so as to measure the velocity change easier.
Is Prof. Kawaguchi involved in Hayabusa-2 at all?
Hayabusa 2's structure complete http://www.jaxa.jp/projects/sat/hayabusa2/index_e.html?utm_source=feedburner&utm_medium=twitter&utm_campaign=Feed%3A+jaxa%2Fnew_e+%28JAXA+Web+What%27s+New%29
That's great news. I wish JAXA posted higher-res versions of their photos with their articles....
high resolution pics are on JAXA digital archive
http://jda.jaxa.jp/category_p.php?lang=e&page=&category1=256&category2=306&category3=313&page_pics=50
Today, I actually managed to find an answer to this question of mine. It is revealed in a document presented at an annual ISAS conference of almost exactly one year ago. Since it is a short 10 page document I will fully translate it and post it tommorrow, I think.
P
[/quote]ause of that
As it turned out this is a 20 page document, and not because of that I have not been able to translate the whole pages. So, I am uploading that has been translated so far, as follows. P
My notation is as follows.
Squares on the original PPT files are designated as S (such as S1, S2 etc) and the diamonds are designated as d (such as d1 and d2 etc).
Title page
Hayabusa 2 collision device (S1-07)
5 January 2011
Hayabusa 2 project - collidding device subsystem
T Saeki (JAXA)
P-1 (page one)
Page title: Hayabusa 2 project
S1: With Hayabusa 2 we intend to create an artificial crater by making a colliding body collide with an asteroid.
S2: We will observe thus created crater and subsequently try to sample soils in the crater.
On this page there are 3 boxes as follows. They correspond to Launch, Re-entry, and Sample analysis. Also,
there are three pictures.
Picture -1 at the top is qualified as :
Remote sensing observation (optical cameras, infra-red spectrometer, LIDAR (distance measurement)) etc
=> investigation of the asteroid characteristics
Asteroid observation from vicinity, small rovers, sampling of surface materials
Picture -2 in the middle is qualified as:
Carrying out the collision operation
Picture -3 down at the bottom is as follows:
Observation of crater formation by cameras and sampling of prestine materials (extra bonus if successful)
P-2
Page title: Hayabusa 2 colliding device
S1: SCI(Small Carry-on Impactor)
S2: Create an artificial crater by a collision process
d1: Acceleration by rocket motors etc will mean longer acceleration distances and neccesitate guidance,
leading to system becoming too complicated.
S3: Use an explosion formed intrusion mass which can be created in a very short time so that the colliding device itself willl not neeed to
control its own attitude and carry out guidance.
d2: Acceleration of a metal object by an explosive charge
d3: Ultra-short time acceleration: (up to 2km/s in 1ms or less)
d4: Less contamination of the soil because explosion itself will not crate the crater
d5: Casing material will fly away by the force of explosion
P-3
Page title: Colliding device configuration (graphics and from left to right, section or areawise)
Re-entry vehicle (pale blue area on the left)
and it includes cameras
Remaining area(s) to the right of the re-entry vehicle depicts the collision device which includes:
A: Seperation mechanism (which, I think, is slightly tinted)
and its collision device interface section contains wired interface, pyros for seperation and seperation connecter spring
B: Collision device body
and this consists of :
B-1: Collision controller which includes:
temp. monitors, heaters, power source circuits, sequensers, seperation detecting sensors, primary batteries, ignition/safety mechaism,
heat controlling materials
B-2: Collision explosive section which contains:
relay explosive (ignition explosive?), main explosive charge and a metal liner
P-4
Page title: Mass etc
S1: Mass: Less than 20kg (including seperation mechanism)
S2: Physical size: 300mm diamter x 300mm height
S3: Location: Z face of the probe (inside the rocket coupling ring)
P-5
Page title: Seperation mechanism
S1: Spin seperation (same as Hayabusa)
d1: Collision device itself is not equipped with an attitude control system. Mothership will direct the device.
d2: Spin will be given becuse of the long time before collision (40 minitues) after seperation to maintain its attitude.
P-6
Page title: Outline of collision operation
S1: Colliding device will scatter small fragments in all directions (with velocities up to a few km/s). In addition, landing on the asteroid surface will mean
soil scattering. For this reason, the probe will hide behind the asteroid immediately after the seperation.
(after this, there are 3 boxes as follows)
Box 1: Debris avoidance operation: Hide behind the asteroid.
Box 2: Avoiding high speed ijecta by hiding behind the asteroid: Hide behind the asteroid.
Box 3: Avoiding low speed ijecta: Keep enough distance from the asteroid if they are doing regular orbital flying. At ultra high altitudes
they will have very small velocities and impact effects will be minimal and the probability of collision itself will be very small.
thank you for your translation, pandaneko, as usual
can you share the link to the document you are translating?
From http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0094576512004614
A schematic of the shaped charge penetrator, a model, and a test impact.
More pictures at the link.
Quote removed - Mod
Thank you very much for this. I am particularly grateful because I now seem unable to access the original source file. It was:
http://ae86.eng.isas.jaxa.jp/sss12/paper/sss12_s1_06_20120202232209.pdf and when I try it I am refused access and one of the advices given is the cache file below, but it does not carry pictures and schematics.
http://webcache.googleusercontent.com/search?q=cache:http://ae86.eng.isas.jaxa.jp/sss12/paper/sss12_s1_07_20120202232346.pdf
However, I pasted texts into my memo pad. I think some of these are still useful without picture reference and I will try to translate them this evening. In any event "centsworth_II" information is sufficient for us to understand impact operation, I think.
P
Quote removed - Mod
This, actually is far better than the pictures and schematics carried in the document I was using. For instance, All I could find as the liner shape was a simple vertical line because only a cross section schematic was there in the document I was translating. Here, you can see a lot more.
Anyway, I have been yapping about this mid spce explosion for a long time, thinking that such an explosion cannot possibly send the colliding mass in the right and accurate direction. I am now a lot happier.
In case anybody is interested I am pasting the remaining pages of translation as follows. P
P-7
Page title: Collision operation
Outline:
1.Mothership descends to the asteroid with the collision device pointing to the asteroid
2.Seperation at an altitude of approx. 500m
3.Horizontal evacuation maneuver
4.DCAM seperation
5.Vertical evacuation maneuver
6.Detonation. Timing is by a pre-set timer. Timer is activated on detecting seperation.
P-8
Page title: Evacuation time
Time between seperation and detonation:
If too short then delta V required for evacuation will get larger. If too long the error in colliding position will get larger,
making the collision point area lager and/or fall to the asteroid before detonation
(I remember there was a couple of pictures here, P)
P-9
Page title: Evacuation maneuver and collision accuracy
Time from seperation to detonation: 2400 seconds, collision point accuracy (radius) of approx. 200m, evacuation delta V is approx. 10m/s
P-10
Page title: Explosive section:
Shape: conical
Liner: Copper without oxygeon
Explosive charge: HMX type PBX
Mass: Approx. 9kg (explosive charge alone is 4.5kg)
P-11
Page title: Liner flight
Liner shape: Shell type.
Deformation time: < 0.5ms
Relative collision velocity: > 2000m/s.
Mass: > 2kg.
P-12
Liner into sand experiment
P-13
1/2 scale model tests
P-14
1/2 scale model flight tests (continued)
P-15
1/2 scale model flight tests (continued)
P-16
Page title: Long flight tests
Test flight distance of approx. 100m
P-17
Page title: Long flight tests (continuation)
Collision body : 1/1 scale model was used and it was confirmed that its intended flight shape was
successfully formed by explosion
P-18
Page title: Long flight tests (continuation)
Deviation from designed flight path of less than 1 degree confirmed, velocity also confirmed
P-19
Page title: Long flight tests (continuation)
Observation of ejecta was carried out
P-20
Page title: Summary
Designed results confirmed and further improvements will be made.
Below is just for your information.
March edition of Scientific American (Japanese version) apparently gives the names of those involved in Hayabusa 2 as follows.
Project manager is Prof Hitoshi Kuninaka of JAXA (ISAS).
Project scientist is Prof Seiichiro Watanabe of Nagoya University. His main interest is planet formation.
Mission manager is Prof Makoto Yoshikawa of JAXA (ISAS and National Astronomical Observatory)
P
On my way back from a gym session I walked into a library and amazingly found the March edition of this Scientific American!
There was a short article in it with some photos. Photos apart, what caught my eyes were:
1. There will be a small camera to televise the moment of crater creation.
2. There will be 4 reaction wheels (instead of 3 on Hayabusa), all supposedly trouble free because JAXA now know what went wrong with Hayabusa reaction wheels.
3. Improved (on Akatsuki's) chemical engines.
4. More powerful (+ 20%) ion engines.
P
Is the reason for the reaction wheels failure available to the public ?
Ah, so the explosive device is not "fired" at the asteroid, so there would be no kick-back. The main vehicle starts moving toward the target, releases the impactor, and then moves away, leaving the impactor to continue on toward the asteroid.
What follows is from MSN-Sankei newspaper dated 07:58 (local) on 18th March 2013.
JAXA announced that they will use part of the contributions from the general public (approx. JPY 20.000.000) for the flight of Hayabusa 2 in order to install an additional camera at the bottom of the main body so that sampling process can be viewed from the earth.
P
Wow! Now that's dedication to PR!
Yes, it's not entirely unprecedented (Junocam, etc.), but seeing such support for outreach is very reassuring.
Most impressive to see that outreach in this case is a two way street. Public donations used for a high public interest instrument. Similar to the Planetary Society's Mars Microphone. I have a feeling (hope) that the camera will be a more integrated instrument that will actually be used as opposed to the microphone which was more like a hitchhiker that mission planners were reluctant to turn on.
Impressive outreach indeed, but let's be careful when analyzing the reasons why instruments are included or omitted. Integration is sometimes more art than science; designers are wary of add-ons, and rightly so.
Hayabusa 2 Name and Message Campaign
http://www.jaxa.jp/press/2013/03/20130329_hayabusa2_e.html
I love these send your name things. I can show support and almost be immortal. GO JAXA!
You can now submit your name on the Japanese version of JAXA's Hayabusa 2 page:
http://153.122.7.196/form/
(Deadline: Juy 16 - 12:00 PM JST)
The English version should be up on The Planetary Society's website this Saturday (April 13)
You can now submit your name on The Planetary Society's website:
http://www.planetary.org/get-involved/messages/hayabusa-2/
I have checked with JAXA HP in English, but I could not find immediately if what follows is actually carried there. So, just in case, what follows is from Nihon Keizai Shimbun dated 23 April.
"JAXA are inviting 2 piggy-back interplanetary space probes:
JAXA announced on 23 April that they will invite 2 piggy-backs to be launched with Hayabusa 2 on their H2A rocket. Invitation period is by the end of May and selection will be made at the end of June. 2 space probes of each less than 50 kg are invited. Hayabusa 2 itself will weigh 600 kg."
This makes me think and wonder as follows.
1. Can anybody make proposals so quickly?
2. This must be just powdering operation and the infomation has been circulating within intimate circles, both domestic and intrernational, for a long time.
P
" 2 piggy-backs to be launched with Hayabusa 2 "
I thought the ATOM (Mars aero-capture mission ) would be one of those missions?
I read something about it in 2012.
according to http://cwe.ccsds.org/sea/docs/SEA-D-DOR/Meeting%20Materials/2012.10.Cleveland/CCSDS_fall_2012%20-%20JAXA%20presentation.pdf (undated but named "fall 2012")
Is it also too late to use those 50 kilos on Hayabusa 2 itself, somehow? Or is this offer specifically for other craft on the same launcher? I mean it would be a waste to just let an opportunity like this go.
Sure, but it would be a risk to rush a development & integration effort with too little time for testing before the launch date. Let's see what they do.
for more info on the Mars aerocapture demonstrator see http://websites.isae.fr/sites/websites/IMG/pdf/fujita_jaxa.pdf
http://www.aviationweek.com/Article.aspx?id=/article-xml/asd_04_26_2013_p01-02-573775.xml that Japan will be cutting back on its space plans and, "But former high-priority goals to promote environmental monitoring, human space activities and putting robots on the Moon are now much lower priorities and will have to fight for funding." I don't know how this will affect Mars plans. Hayabusa-type missions are apparently still planned.
Hayabusa 2 will be accompanied in solar orbit by two microspacecraft, PROCYON and Artsat 2 and possibly also by Shin'en 2.
The most interesting of the bunch is PROCYON which, among other things, will demonstrate imaging techniques during at least one but possibly up to three close flybys of small NEOs
a presentation of the mission and spacecraft is available http://cwe.ccsds.org/sea/docs/SEA-D-DOR/Meeting%20Materials/2013.10.San%20Antonio/CCSDS%20Fall%202013%20-%20JAXA%20presentation.pdf
a rather detailed description of PROCYON (in Japanese) is available https://www.wakusei.jp/activities/shourai/epsilon/epsilon1/VII2_Funase.pdf
Thank you very much for the translations!
thank you Pandaneko, and welcome back!
Pandaneko, just wanted to thank you for yet another superb effort to help us English speakers understand yet another JAXA mission; it's very much appreciated!!!
Fantastic work Pandaneko. Thank you so much for translating all that information.
This really is just in case what follows has evaded the attention of colleagues so far.
I have come across an interesting short video describing activities for MASCOT.
Its URL is as follows.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DbLmmvki_Bo
It is all German and yet it gives us an insight into the workings of this lander.
Actually, if you come to think about it this is all the more interesting because
with Hayabusa we had to imagine what the landing site looked like.
However, MASCOT will give us actual images and I am already very exited about this prospect. P
Yes : thanks a lot Pandaneko for your translation. What an useful work !
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GZcLdvm_6lA (hat tip to Junya Terazono, who also posted https://twitter.com/kawauso_twi/status/477293810766995457/photo/1)
according to https://dnnpro.outer.jhuapl.edu/Portals/35/ISSFD24_Abstracts/ISSFD24_abstract_S2-4_Ozaki.pdf, a possible target for the PROCYON miniprobe would be 1999 JV6, a quasi-satellite of Earth in a 1-year orbit. flyby would be in March 2016.
PROCYON will be flying a lightweight Lyman-alpha camera for imaging the Earth's geocorona at increasing distances.
http://maxi.riken.jp/conf/allsky_diffuse/files/kameda_procyon.ppt
My translation of PROCYON ppt file is now complete, but I have a problem.
It is at 4.8 MB, and I tried to divide it into parts so that I can upload them as attachments.
One such was found to be still at 4.1 MB, containing only 3 pages. I will study sharing procedure,
but it will take time, my apologies. I am not good at IT at all. P
If you can email it to me at blog@planetary.org I can host it for you and post a link here.
Here is the PROCYON ppt: "http://planetary.s3.amazonaws.com/assets/resources/JAXA/PROCYON_camera_dev_LAICA.ppt," by Shingo Kameda et al.
There was a media event earlier today that shows off the completed spacecraft. Launch date is still on "winter 2014" (December).....
I'm currently trying to find photos.....
Thanks to Emily:
http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakdawalla/2014/08311314-hayabusa-2-complete.html
This is just in, from a lunch time NHK TV news here.
Hayabusa 2 will be launched on 30 November from Tanegashima space centre. So, that will be an H2-A
rather than the Epsilon, meaning a piggy-back, I think. P
Mission page updated with countdown clock... Very interesting to see the launch date being moved up!
http://global.jaxa.jp/projects/sat/hayabusa2/
four pictures of the ARTSAT 2 flight model have been posted on their https://www.facebook.com/artsat/posts/953502538009610 (hope the link will work...)
My curiosity has vapourised thanks to a recent short newspaper article in the Yomiuri.
There was a similar article recently, which said that the H2A launcher will have a special
coating on its fuel tank and will rotate during its long flight in order to keep fuel loss to a minimum.
I was curious, "long?" , because usual 15 minutes did not seem too long to me, anyway,
but I did not bother to find out.
This Yomiuri article clarified it for me, as follows.
"On 20 October, MHI revealed to the press the H2A 26 launcher, which will be launched on
30 November with Hayabusa 2 on board. It is a 2 stage rocket and its 1st stage is
37m long with 4m diamter and 2nd stage 11m long.
This time, it will take as long as 2 hours before spacecraft seperation in order to reach its
very distant target. In order to keep fuel loss to a minimum as the liquid hydrogen
vapourises inside the tank its 2nd stage fuel tank has been coated white."
I have been used to the launch of earth bound satellites. This article did not mention rotation, though. P
From the German Aerospace Center (DLR):
The MASCOT lander has been installed onto the Hayabusa-2 spacecraft:
http://dlr.de/blogs/en/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-7023/11643_read-775/
Building of MASCOT described here (in german):
http://dlr.de/blogs/desktopdefault.aspx/tabid-7023/11643_read-746/
There is a short article in today's Asashi (local newspaper) about the launch of Hayabusa 2.
In it I find that Hayabusa 2 will not come back into the atmosphere. Instead it will go away back into space.
Nobody has ever told me that. Did we know it? P
Some adorable http://gomiyazaki.deviantart.com/art/HAYABUSA-and-MASCOT-manga-495403503. Think I'll print these out and have my kids color them! The artist is Go Miyazaki.
I was confused with the "first" frame of that comic until I realized that it read from top RIGHT down and then top left down!
It may not be lost. Perhaps it could have a life beyond its prime mission like Stardust did.
There was a short TV programme this evening here on NHK. In it I noticed
two things. I am not sure if the first was new to me, but the second
was.
1. Mid-air explosion will be monitored by a small floating camera
while the main body hides away.
2. The sampler horn now has acute angled teeth all around
the inside edges of the opening which will touch the ground.
This is just in case the ball bearing fails to fire properly.
How do we know there are loose particles? If there is water then
the whole thing may be rock solid. That is my imagination. P
Unless I'm wrong, the target of Hyabusa 2 is an asteroid and not a comet, and a very small asteroid at that, why this talk about ice? If the surface is rock hard, I would expect it it to be because it is rock, but loose material on the suface of asteroids and comets seems to be the rule rather than the exception so far.
1999 JU3 is a carbonaceous C-Type asteroid being thought to contain hydrated minerals and organic material, or by its spectrum at least a certain amount of water.
Itokawa, contrasting that, was a rocky S-Tye asteroid. Each Hayabusa mission (1,2,Mk2) is explicitly aimed towards a different type of minor body.
Launch has been postponed to a date late than 1 December,
due to expected bad weather. If successfully launched it would
be flying out like in the movie here.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vq9vZhf79Zg
It is actually H2B-4, carrying cargo to ISS as seen from Okinawa,
but H2A-26 must be looking like that, I think. The movie is meant
to be an early Christmas illumination. The rocket appears to be
lonely, somehow... P
The more I think about comets and asteroids the more confused I get.
What is the difference between them? The former are eccentric, dirty
snow man and the latter are rocky non-eccentric, OK, but is that all?
Can there not be tiny astronomical obecjts in the asteroid belt entirely
(100%) made up of ice? Equally, can there not be those entirely rocky
(100% rock) objects that have very eccentric orbits?
In fact, I seem to remember reading somewhere that there are
eccentric astroids that are dangerous, because detection is difficult.
All I seem to be saying is that there may be hybrids somewhere out there. P
There are intermediate/transitional objects, Pandaneko. One example is 'asteroid' http://science.nasa.gov/science-news/science-at-nasa/2013/27nov_rockcomet/.
Yep. Things in nature generally exist along a continuum. Re metal asteroids, check out http://www.newscientist.com/article/dn24793-astrophile-heavy-metal-asteroid-is-a-spacecraft-magnet.html#.VHmTvL6GylI.
New launch schedule has just been announced. It is now set for
13:22:43 JST. P
and don't forget http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main-belt_comet, or http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Damocloid. not to mention the probable presence of water ice on the surface of Ceres, or the discovery of refractory materials in the samples from comet Wild 2.
it is becoming more and more clear that the difference between comets and asteroids is not as clear cut as it seemed up to 20 years ago, and that there is actually a sort of continuum between the two
Good updated summary of the mission's early hours:
http://www.spaceflight101.com/hayabusa-2-mission-updates.html
Also a reminder near the bottom that there's more than just Hayabusa 2 being launched: a separate probe for a few flybys of other asteroids, a student-built technology demonstration, and an art project are all launching together!
Is this the first time multiple craft are being launched on interplanetary missions from a single launcher? Or is there some other precedent our resident space historians recall?
Well, JAXA's already done that with Akatsuki and IKAROS.
by the way, launch is now postponed to December 3, 4:22:04 UTC
http://global.jaxa.jp/projects/sat/hayabusa2/index.html
What are the plans for giving 1999 JU3 to eventually get a 'real' name, like Bennu did? Haven't heard anything about a contest yet..
Edit: good news, looks like the LIPOVITAN-D tradition is alive and well:
https://twitter.com/ots_min/status/539667468675866624/photo/1
Launch coverage now live via spaceflightnow.com. Per my wife's translation, weather conditions are good, no equipment issues. T minus 8 min.
Go Hayabusa 2!!
First stage cutoff & separation, second stage ignition. Looking good thus far.
DSN Now should have AOS later.... 4 antennas are ready and waiting for it
http://eyes.nasa.gov/dsn/dsn.html
Doug, if I'm reading Eyes right, is DSS 24 currently in listen mode for AOS?
EDIT: Correction: It looks like DSS 15 is receiving downlink!
24, 25, 45 and 34 are all waiting for Hayabusa 2
From what I can see in the extended details - they're all ready to listen at 8.426 Ghz (X-Band) with I think 16kbps downlink and and 34 & 45 ready to uplink at 15.6 bps.
(15 is currently getting data from GeoTail, 43 Rosetta and 35 MRO and Mars Odyssey - updates are every 5 seconds)
Love this Eyes application. I've never watched launch & early orbit comm ops before.
Just saw a quick clip of the separation! Very nice!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-9TwlwZobc4
At 3 hours and 5 minutes.
AOS at CanberraDSN via DSS45 (background), with DSS34 a few moments later. GoldstoneDSN also acquired on time.
Sampler horn deployed!
http://www.jaxa.jp/press/2014/12/20141205_hayabusa2_j.html
Always great to see parts of a spacecraft to contrast with space. Imagine seeing the regolith of the asteroid just below during sampling....
As is DESPATCH/ARTSAT2, another of the microsatellites launched with Hayabusa2 (and described http://despatch.artsat.jp/en/Main_Page), according to its http://facebook.com/artsat.
The idea of bringing microsatellites along on deep space missions (or rather having them piggyback on Earth orbit departure maneuvers) opens up so many new opportunities, especially in outreach and technology development (ARTSAT is focusing on collaborative signal reconstruction from hundreds of amateur ground stations as an alternative to centralized downlink, and also includes a 3D printed sculpture designed at an art school).
That's very interesting, about the spacecraft being sent to the Sun-Earth L1 point. Where did you read that? Can you add a link?
As Weywot suggested, http://www.unmannedspaceflight.com/index.php?showtopic=7943.
Ohhhh, they mean to park it at a Lagrange point after returning from the asteroid. That makes more sense.
The purpose appears not to be to conduct any particular science there, but to test the general idea of parking things at Lagrange points.
http://www.jiji.com/jc/c?g=soc_30&k=2015010800392
Above link (Jiji.com) talks about a report that all 4 of the ion engines were tested at the very end of last year
and each ignited (?) properly and functioned for a few hours. They will soon test
combined use of ion engines. P
As of yesterday Hayabusa2 is doing well, so say the press here,
flying at 22 milliom km away, and will change direction in December. P
any news of the target body of PROCYON? it should have been selected by now
Status report from last week: all systems good so far.
http://global.jaxa.jp/projects/sat/hayabusa2/topics.html#topics3767
In a Q&A session posted earlier, it was reported that they were having difficulty deciding on a name for the asteroid. Naming "Itokawa" was easy, but they are still undecided about the final name for 199JU3. (JAXA proposing the name "Itokawa" is like NASA choosing the name "von Braun")
Latest report from JAXA re earth swingby, it is now set to be on 3 December. P
The process of giving 1999 JU3 a proper name, subject to IAU rules has begun. Submissions being accepted:
http://global.jaxa.jp/press/2015/07/20150722_hayabusa2.html
http://global.jaxa.jp/news/2015/#news5842
Oct. 5, 2015 Updated
“Ryugu” was selected as name of Hayabusa2 target asteroid
Asteroid 1999 JU3, a target of the Asteroid Explorer “Hayabusa2,” was named “Ryugu”.
One major reason for the selection was that, in the Japanese ancient story “Urashima Taro”, the main character, Taro Urashima, brought back a casket from the Dragon’s palace, or the “Ryugu” Castle, at the bottom of the ocean, and the theme of “bringing back a treasure” is common as the Hayabusa2 will also bring back a capsule with samples. It was selected among 7,336 entries.
Thank you very much to so many of you who took part in the naming campaign.
A nice summary of the flyby (and the fate of the other payloads):
http://spaceflight101.com/hayabusa-2-asteroid-explorer-inbound-for-high-speed-earth-swing-by/
According to the Yomiuri, a local Japanese newspaper with about 10 million circulation/day
Hayabusa 2 conducted an earth swingby successfully on 3 December and left its near earth orbit.
It is currently flying, as of midnight 14th December, 4.15 million km away from the earth,
at a speed of 32.31 km/second without problems.
Pandaneko (P)
Image of the southern hemisphere after closest approach here (edited for direct JAXA link):
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20151214_e/
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20151224_04_e/
English translation of spectrometer observations of Earth and moon.
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20151228_02_e/
The former is wet and the latter dry, so all is well!
A new and informative YouTube video. Published by JAXA on Apr 24, 2016.
'Hayabusa2 Remote Sensing Instruments'. Runtime = 5min 55sec https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LFh_pe3O_xM&feature=youtu.be
Apparently, there is a new JAXA web page where you can look at Hayabusa2 position and the target position.
The article I found by chance said:
Right now, Hayabusa 2 is flying at 26.37km/second. Distance to earth at 11:00 on 17 May 2016 is approx. 2704x10,000
km, and the distance left is approx. 9820x10,000km.
P
I have somehow associated the arrival timing of Hayabusa2 with the Olympic games in Tokyo in 2020, but I chance discovered last year
that Hayabusa2 will be arriving some time in the end of June to early July of this year.
During this period I will be walking again on the Flame Mountain in China west and from last year's experience in China
I will not be able to use internet properly. Shame...
in English: http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20180301_e/
Apparently, Hayabusa 2 is now only at Moon-Earth distance from the asteroid. I remember it looked like a dot
only a month or so ago. Is Hayabusa 2 that fast?
P
No, it's that slow. It will still take a month to reach Ryugu. With an ion engine you don't scream up to the target and then slam the brakes on!
Phil
Yup. At current relative velocity as of right now, about 25.75 days to get there.
Still...getting close!
There was an article in today's newspaper here. Students in the control room are being trained in more than 50
emergency operations using a model called Ryuguroid and the firing of the copper plate is scheduled
to take place in March next year (2019) with live (with 20 minutes delay) viewing.
I no longer remember the name of the first steroid. It was light in appearance, but this Ryugu is expected
to be dark.
P
Hyabusa 1 visited asteroid Itokawa.
There is a tiny article in today's local newspaper. Hayabusa 2 will arrive at Ryugu on 21 June and stop at 20km
above it The first landing (of what it does not say) will take place in September. My guess is that it is the battery
powered MASCOT, presumably befoe battery goes flat.
P
Just to mention where exactly the entry point to Haya 2 NOW sub page. It is inside Hayabusa 2 project page which
Pospa carried, second web page, in particular. There, you find "Topics (information)" and there are tabs below it.
If you open the 4th tab from top you will find a diagram. Just above the diagram is a clickable portion,
"http://haya2now.jp/". It is in there.
What follows is the operational sequence as of yesterday.
10 January 2018/ Ion engine start (3rd period)
Early June Ion engine stop
Early June approach to 2500km
21 June to 5 July approach to 20km
End July approach to 5km
August gravity measurment device descend at 1km height
September to October Touch down operational slot 1
September to October Rover release operation slot 1 for rover release
November to December Joint operation (comms. break down)
January 2019 Approach to 5km
February 2019 Touch down operation slot 2
March to April Crater making operation
April to May Touch down operation slot 3
July Rover release operation slot slot 2
March to Novemver Stay close to Ryugu
Novemver to Decemver Departure
P
Wow, that's one of the neatest and most detailed mission websites I've ever seen, thanks for bringing it to our attention! It's going in my bookmarks even though I can't read Japanese...
Adding a little more on the Haya2NOW diagram, please see below, translated labels.
Labels on the Haya 2 NOWdiagram
From left to light and at each point across from top to bottom
1. Below Hayabusa 2 diagram/ Bus power consumption
2. Below ONC-W1/On board navigational camera outline view
3. Below ANTENNA/antenna
4. Below MGA/(from top to bottom) middle gain antenna, azimuthal angle, elevation angle
5. Below Transmitter/(from top down) transmitter, transmission power amp.,
transmission mode, transmission bit rate, antenna in use
6. Below receiver/ (from top down) Receiver, recption signal level, bit rate, antenna in use
7. Below Thruster/Thruster firing cumulative duration in seconds
Below the diagram is the list of ground stations. Two stations in Japan have communication simulator. Canberra has one, but not other overseas stations.
At each station Hayabusa 2 position is given with ground station local time. I think azimuth and elevation is local orientation at each. Just below the time reads Hayabusa position and just below it from left to right is azmuth and elevation.
Just belw directional information there is a set of numbers, date and time, which I am not familiar with. Top top single character 出 means apperance, and 没 means , usually, sink, or possibly disappear. My guess is that they are related to local horizon at each station.
Below all this is the health of communication. Below it is the time of communication start at each station.
If you open one of the simulators you will find, top down, At the topmost is the caption, comms. simulator, then below CMD1 to 3 reads "Send CMD1" etc.
Finally, at the bottom is repeated positional information of Hayabusa 2 with time local at each station.
What I fail to understand is the simulator. I had a brief go at it and a number keeps going up and that is about
all I can see. Can anybody tell me what this is all about. I know and everybody knows that it s about 20 minutes
from here to there, so what is the use of this simulator?
P
I know that there has been a kids contest about Ryugu's shape, but I am not too concerend about its shape.
Rather, I am becoming unsure of the success of the copper plate experiment. Below is the firiing video.
https://youtu.be/gmh2lGjXm7w
If Ryugu is very hard, then this copper firing may not result in a big dip on the surface?
Somewhere, and I do not remember exactly where off hand, but somewhere within Hayabusa 2 web page,
there is a huge data set of numbers, all hayabusa 2's position, all free to be used for educational
purposes. Prof Yoshikawa there talks about possibe use of this data set, like, calculating the actual
discrepancy, from two body calculation for students.
P
If you take that copper plate impact - and apply it to a rubble like surface, in basically zero-G - it'll do plenty of damage !
Also, if I come to think about it, the mass of whatever contains the gun powder. Hayabusa 2 is something like
600 kg, I think, but Hayabusa 2 will hide away behind the asteroid when the firing takes place. Perhaps,
copper place is very thin?
P
Thank you, caotico09, for the document and your comments particularly towards the last.
My take now then is that the copper plate momentum, much of it, will come largely from its velocity
and I am happierr with that thought. 15kg must be a lot heavier than the plate.
By the way, I saw somewhere, a high speed camera photo of the shape of the copper plate in flight.
It looked very much like a cylindrical Chinese dumpling.
P
The crater diameter should be determined much more easily than Deep Impact (any prize for most accurate guess?)
What followd is the test firiing range movie.
https://youtu.be/lWnl_G3_N1Y
P
The hole created could be fairly deep too!
Wow! That is a LOT more powerful than I'd expected!
174000 km today! We are still sneaking up on Ryugu. I don't know when the first resolved image will be taken, but probably in the next couple of weeks or so.
Phil
Tokyo to London is 12 hours, so Hayabusa 2 is half the speed of an international flight, landing gear is not out yet, it is slow, very...
P
I have noticed something else on the main page of Hayabusa 2.
Marked with an yellow square is , apparently, the delay time in outbound/inbound
flight. As of today, it is 1941 seconds. What does it mean?
P
Schedule of mission events at the asteroid:
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/mission_schedule_e/
Phil
They already confirmed where Ryugu was back in February, they would have to stop firing the engines to turn the craft and take pictures. They will wait to be close enough to resolve it, presumably.
I have had a look at a radar image of the target asteroid for OSIRIS-REX. The image looked a bit wobbly, but it looked just like those
comments made about it, its shape in particular. And, presumably, by triangulation and experience with mereorites they can
estimate its mass.
I have seen comments that not much is known about Ryugu. How then did they estimate the escape velocity for MASCOT? My guess is
that the design velocity is far below the thinkable upper limit, so that MASCOT is not lost into space after its first hop?
My general cuoriosity is simply, how do they know anything at all about these asteroids from such a distant place like earth.
P
There is a consolation, after all, except that we do not know when it will be.
Haya2's pop-up for the display window translates as follows:
"Asteroid position and size. In the final stage of approach to Ryugu Hayabusa 2 will be showing approaching Ryugu
in the display window."
Very irritating. They could tell us roughly when it will be. Very bad PR activity, I think. Anyway, the relative velocity is now
down to 50m/s.
P
15 May 2018. Star-tracker has detected Ryugu.
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20180515_e2/
There is a short article about Hayabusa 2 on today's local newspaper here. JAXA told the municipality of Sagamihara where
ISAS (part of JAXA) is located. Students in ISAS control room are operating Hayabusa 2. It confirms that the arrival of
Hayabusa 2 (apparently to the altitude of 20km) is 21 June (as opposed to a longer window starting from 21 June).
P
Below really is for myself.
As of 20 May the relative velocity is 180km/h, already slower than shinkansen trains. The distance to be closed is
38,000km, about two round trips bet. Tokyo and London. If this speed is maintained Hayabusa will reach Ryugu in
8.8 days, i.e. before the end of this month.
How soon it is to slow down further remains to be seen.
P
Less than 24000 km to go! But who's counting? (hint: me!)
Another new world about to be revealed. This is going to be a very cool mission.
Phil
24 May (144km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
I want to continue , for some time to come, with this above to see if it is useful. This is the speed of Hayabusa 2
with chemical thrusters cumulative burn time (numbers are rounded). Neither Hayabusa 2 nor Haya2 web page
indicates significant changes in the flight in an easy to understand manner, so I decided to monitor what chemical
thrusters are doing.
It may be that only ion engines are used until Hayabusa 2 comes to a halt and in that case no significant changes
will have been made to above matrix of numbers (right now only one row). This matrix will continue to build up unil
it is 7 rows. If nothing has happned by that time a new matrix will appear wih its first row being the latest
input into Hayabusa 2 web page.
That way, we may be able to know when the landing gear is out.
P
24 May (144km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
25 May (144km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
No change, yet...
P
Is the landing gear supposed to deploy THIS early? Thought it was going to spend some time in orbit surveying the asteroid before attempting to touch down.
just an analogy? Does it even have landing gear? I think the drogue chute might be enough.
Phil
The landing gear would be for touchdown on the asteroid, I think. Return capsule should indeed be just the aeroshell & chute, no legs.
There is a twitter tag on the main Hayabusa 2 web page and what follows is the translation of the latest input as
of 27 May.
27 May @haya2_jaxa (by IES elder brother, sic)
We occasionally receive questions like:
1. Are ion engines being used for acceleration or decceleration?
2. Are we now approaching with RCS (chemical thrusters)?
3. Are you looking with your cameras everyday?
We answer as follows.
HY2 is approaching Ryugu from within the Ryugu orbit by enpanding HY2 orbit outwardly.
We are at the very last stage of navigation and we are firing the ion engines into the acceleration direction.
Consequently, there are times when HY2 speed increases momentarily (conversely, meaning a longer orbital
period in the longer run, leading to a decreased flight velocity, which is a very interesting aspect of orbital
dynamics)
As a result, matching of HY2 orbit and that of Ryugu becomes better and the relative distance between them
decreases.
We are also conducting optical navigation using cameras. However, "keeping Ryugu in field of view" and
"IES firing in the right direction" are contradictory to each other.
Naturally, we will be using cameras rather extensively during the final approach after ion engines are stopped.
Optical navigation while ion engines are fired was conducted during 12 to 14 May (strictly speaking engines were
stopped while taking photos).
The result of this operation will be used for subtle orbit correction during the very final approach.
That is about all for now and we will try our best in the final approach!
P
I have found something else.
http://fanfun.jaxa.jp/countdown/hayabusa2/files/sat33_fs_20.pdf
This is a fact sheet compiled by Hayabusa 2 project team and this latest version, ver. 2.0 is dated
19 April 2018. It is a 120+ page pdf document in Japanese. There is a table of relative distance to Ryugu.
According to this table, ion engines will be stopped on 5 June at a distance of 2500km from Ryugu.
P
According to the latest JAXA fact sheet on Hayabusa 2 the mission after Hayabusa 2 is a solar powered sail boat
to Jupiter.
P
Less than Earth's diameter in distance now... getting very close now!
According to JAXA ion engines will be stopped on 5 June at a distance of 2500km from Ryugu. That means Hayabusa 2 has 4800km
left to cover with ion engines. Right now, the relative velociyt is 72km/h and if this velocity is kept Hayabusa 2 will arrive at 2500km
point some time on 3 Junem, which is too early for the ion engines.
That in turn presumably means that the velocity at 2500km point is almost zero. I would have thought that there will be some
residual velocity so that chemical fuels are spared, but it looks like they are going to use chemicals. That is perhaps when my little matrix
may become handy only for once, momentarilly. It is looking like below now.
24 May (144km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
25 May (144km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
26 May (108km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
27 May (108km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
28 May (108km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
29 May ( 72km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
30 May ( 72km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
31 May ( 72km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
P
From the fact sheet of JAXA we know that they will start using chemical thrusters on 5 June at the 2500km point and that must
mean that cameras will be facing Ryugu.
Although the camera with Haya2 web page is a wide angle camera I think they will use the telephoto camera when Hayabusa 2
reaches 2500km point. From the specs of the telephoto camera my estimate is that Ryugu will be only about 10 pixels altogether.
It is not much, still only a dot size, is it not? I want to see a bigger picture!!!
P
As at 12:00 on 4 June JST Hayabusa 2 web page carries a note which says:
Data is being swapped
This is the best translation I can think of.
P
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20180604_e/
there are also frequent updates (in Japanese) on the mission twitter profile https://twitter.com/haya2_jaxa
For resolution calculations:
ONC-T: 1024x1024, 5.7°x5.7°
ONC-W1: 1024x1024, 60°x60°
ONC-W2: 1024x1024, 60°x60°
MASCOT: 1024x1024, 55°x55°
DCAM3: 2000x2000, 74°x74°
Thank you, Paolo. I opened up Japanese web pages, just about everywhere. There are lots and
lots of congratulatory remarks, but no important information on flight operation itself. In the
meantime, my little matrix is looking like (its usefulness is now over),
31 May ( 72km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
1 June ( 36km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
2 June ( 36km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
3 June ( 36km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
4 June ( ?km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
I did not know they stopped ion engines as early as 3 June, so Hayabusa 2 must be coasting at
36km/h now. They can now turn the satellite so that we can look into the right direction.
I wonder how soon theywill do it for us.
P
English translation of http://haya2now.jp/:
http://win98.altervista.org/hayabusa2/Haya2NOW.html
It can't show data, but it's useful for easier usage of original page.
Radio silence, well, almost...
Due here, I think, is a little poem in traditional Japanese Haiku way.
Hayabusa 2
Doubling Ryugu to
Christmas
P
1 June ( 36km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
2 June ( 36km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
3 June ( 36km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
4 June ( ?km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/7/8
5 June ( 9.2km/h): 16/11/18/10/15/13/19/8/9/9/ 8 /8
As we can see thruster 11 was used for one second. I will stop carrying this matrix here now
as we know that we are really into the final stage.
P
Questions?
http://planetary.jp/hayabusa2/FAQ/index.html
Upcoming press conference:
Thank you, mcmcmc
The deadline for questions was 1 June, but I looked into Qs&As and found some are interesting. Some are more technical than you may
think, coming from amateurs. I will translate some over the next 10 days or so. After all, there is not much else I can usefully do.
In the meantime I now know from my log that 6 of the 12 chemical thrusters have been fired over the last 36 hours.
I will also translate the contents of tomorrow's press conference, if there is something interesting or new to us.
P
What follows is an extrat from JAXA Q&A collection. More will follow during the next few days.
Q. When will we be able to see the shape of Ryugu?
June 03, 2018 - : 64 year old
A. We will be abe to see the rough shape in mid June. We can find its precise shape when
Hayabusa 2 arrives at the asteroid and get data. If the axis of rotation is not perpendicular to
the plane of the ecliptic it will take longer to get the whole view of Ryugu, meaning that it may
be up to a few months before we know its precise shape.
Q. What is the prediction by the project team about Ryugu's water?
June 02, 2018 - : 14 year old
A. Water will not exist in the form of liquid or solid water. Water molecules will be contained in the
minerals of Ryugu. So, we will not be finding Ryugu to be wet or affected by moisture in any way.
Q. When can we see clear pictures of Ryugu?
June 02, 2018 - : 47 year old
A. It will be when we get to Ryugu. Rough shape, we will be seeng in mid June.
P
PS. I realise that questions were perhaps accepted even after the deadline of 1 June,
by the look of the dates here.
Press conference outcome (in japanese):
http://fanfun.jaxa.jp/jaxatv/files/20180607_hayabusa2.pdf
Following URL has shapes and appearances of Ryugu as imagined by those people in the project
team.
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20180605/
Each picture is numbered, and 4 to 10 (this 10th fellow is the person who does the twittering),
12 to 37 are all those people in the team.
Since the volume of the press conference itself is rather a lot I will translate only some of them.
P
On page 13 of the press conference report there is a picture of Ryugu as seen at 04:15 JST on
6 June by the telephoto camera, ONC-T.
Shape is unknown, exposure time of 0.09 second, one pixel is
equivalent to 22 arc second, 0.3 km at 2600km distance.
There are interesting remarks in this press report, most of it is already known to us, but there
are new inputs. I will translate them very soon.
P
According to the same JAXA press report of today there will be another press conference on
14 June with more detailed information. The arrival time is thought to be 27 June, but it may
be a few days earlier or few days later than 27th, according to this report.
P
P6
Current status:
-2100km as of today, 7 June
-Ion eigines stopped on 3 June for onward journey
-Arrival expected to be 27th June +/- few days
-Optical navigation is underway
P7
・Delta V since 10 January is 393m/s
・Outward operation of the ion engines is now over
・24 kg of zenon consumed, 42kg still remains, total delta V is 1015m/s
P10
・Optical navigation means approaching with camera views
・Reason for above: cordinate uncertainty of about 220km
These are the new (at least to me) inputs in the press conference report about current status
of Hayabusa 2.
P
Ryugu is not symmetrical, is it? Top one third looks darker.
P
Future repositories for images?
http://www.darts.isas.jaxa.jp/pub/hayabusa2/onc_bundle/l2a/
http://www.darts.isas.jaxa.jp/pub/hayabusa2/onc_bundle/browse/l2a/
Source:
http://www.darts.isas.jaxa.jp/pub/hayabusa2/onc_bundle/browse/
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20180607_e/
"Ryugu is not symmetrical, is it? Top one third looks darker."
The important thing about this is that you can never trust the appearance of a pixel right on the edge of something. We have no way of telling how much of that pixel is covering Ryugu and how much is covering the black space around it. Usually people assume that you need at least 3 pixels across something to interpret it. In this case that would be 3 pixels across that dark-looking area (about 10 pixels across the asteroid). If it still looks dark then, we know it's dark!
Phil
Press conference documentation in english:
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/press/doc/Hayabusa2_Press20180607e.pdf
Q&A continues.
Q. How do you approach Ryugu? My guess is that you first place Hayabusa 2 on the same planar orbit as Ryugu
and then slowly adjust the curvature. Is that right?
Since there is a mass difference speeding up of Hayabusa 2 in trying to catch up with Ryugu may lead to
overshooting. How can you make sure it will not happen?
June 03, 2018 - : 64 year old
A. We conducted an earth swing-by on 3 December 2015 and that was for Hayabusa 2 to move into the same
orbital plane as Ryugu.
After that over 2.5 years we fired ion engines on and off so that Hayabusa 2's orbit becomes closer to that of
Ryugu.
That is to say, we tried to enlarge Hayabusa 2 's orbit little by little. Here, the mass difference is irrelevant to
this operation.
We, however, need to take into account, pull by the Sun, and pull by other planets, in addition to the solar rays
pressure on Hayabusa 2.
In the final stage we need to take into account Ryugu's gravitational pull. That is why we will be conducting
a free fall to 1km height. Hayabusa 2's speed varies depending on where it is flying, maximum speed is
somethinglike 33km/s and slowest is 23km/s.
P
There will be more Q&As.
Q&A continues.
Q. Sampled materials are likely to be organic in origin. Do you store them in a fridge like place until they
reach Earth? June 03, 2018 - : 58 year old
A. There is no fridge in Hayabusa 2 capsule. It is assumed that the surface temp. on Hayabusa capsule reached
3,000 degrees C.
However, the temp. inside the capsule was kept at less than 100 degrees C. You may think that 100 degrees C
is too high, but the surface temp. on Itokawa was as high as 100, so, there was not much problem.
With Ryugu we think that the surface temp. will be similar, so there is no fridge. We can measure the surface
temp. of Ryugu accurately with the mid infra red camera.
P
Q&A
Q. There were many troubles with Hayabusa 1's flight. Have you had similar problems this time?
June 03, 2018 - : 19 year old
A. With Hayabusa 1 reaction wheels broke down. They control attitude. There were 3 of them on Hayabusa 1.
One broke before arriving, and another broke immediately after arrival. In addition, one of the four ione engines
on 1 was not in good health, right from the start.
With 2, there has not been any major problem, so far. There are 4 reaction wheels and all of them are healthy.
Also, all 4 of the ion engnines are healthy and mission continues according to original design.
P
There are a little more Qs and As. One thing I came to realise is that rather a lot of xenon
still left is perhaps for moving Hayabusa 2 to its eventual parking position, L2?, L3?, I do not remember,
but I do remember the parking issue JAXA talked about with Hayabusa 1 before they had to burn it
with adiabatic compression.
there was a paper at the 2016 IAC Congress (paper no. IAC-16.C1.5.11) on Hayabusa 2 mission extension. four candidates for an NEA flyby have been identified, with the best being 630 m (172034) 2001 WR1, for a flyby on 27 June 2023
Accordning to the log I have been keeping all chemical thrusters, except #2, #4, and #8 have been
fired since 1 June.
P
Q&A continues. This is the last in the Q&A box, but JAXA seem to be accepting questions at any time and I may find some more
in due course.
Q. Do you have a plan to make a movie of touch down using an on-borad camera?
June 02, 2018 - : 21 year old
A. This monitor camera was made thanks to the donation from people like you. Therefore, if possible, we would like to make such a movie.
However, there will be all kinds of delicate operational issues during touch down and it is possible that we may not be able to do that,
but we will try our best.
P
A touchdown movie would be truly spectacular; hope they can manage it!
From the twitter portion of Hayabusa 2 main web page.
8 June 2018
First TCM01 during optical navigation was conducted. We fired thrusters several times during 12:30 to 13:40 on 8 June, and
accelerated Hayabusa 2 by 24cm/s in minus X, 5cm/s in minus Y, and 14cm/s in plus Z directions. Consequently, the relative distance
is now 1900km, velocity 2.35m/s
6 June
LIDAR was powered on after 2 year long crusing to check its health. We did it step by step, Each command response needs 32
minutes for confirmation. Altogether it took us 5 hours to complete this checking. We cannot use it yet as the distance is still too
large for the LIDAR.
P
Probably a matter of frames of reference. The spacecraft needs to match speed with the asteroid in orbit around the Sun. Speeding up slightly in its orbit around the Sun might reduce its velocity with respect to Ryugu. I don't know the details, but that is most likely what is going on.
Phil
For clarification of the cordinate system I refer to page 16 of JAXA FACT sheet ver2.0, dated 19 April.
-X direction: where star tracker is pointing, as well as the re-entry capsule
-Y direction: where ONC-W2 is pointing, W2 is looking perpendicular to star tracker direction
+Y direction: where ion engines are pointing
+Z direction: is the direction of the earth because I can see two Ka band disk anntenae are pointing and it is opposit to
-Z direction: where sampler horn is pointing
My guess is that ONC-W2 is the donation camera.
P
I am not sure if this diagram reflects real situation, but it seems to me that at 1000km dishes will be pointing to us on earth
without having to turn the the satelite. Image size at 2500km was something like 3x3, so at 1000km we may be looking at
something like 50 pixels, and that may be something, no? Surely, JAXA will be tempted to take a few photos, no?
P
I'm sure they will for navigational purposes, but they may not be of much interest otherwise. Should provide a crude approximation of the shape, though.
TCM-2 done at 1300km, no more sideway thrusts needed. Ryugu is right in front of Hayabusa 2.
P
I want to see satelites around Ryugu, just one will do...
P
JAXA http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/topics/20180611b_e/, now from 1500 km away, taken yesterday. Still can't discern a shape, but it's now at -5.7 magnitude:
June 10th, 1500 km away:
178 seconds exposure
Current resolution: http://win98.altervista.org/telescopio.html
The latest image is over-exposed (or at least, processed to clip the histogram), rather than 'very bright' as the report suggests. But it's not completely washed out. There is a tiny bit of variation in the bright pixels. So maybe these are the first hints of surface features! Here's a version of the image processed to show the detail. Now, it could still be true that this is an artifact, but based on past experience with first glimpses of new worlds, I think it may be real. The dark spot is not completely symmetrical.
Phil
I have not actually seen any of the staions in action before, but here it is. Apparently they had been at it for half an hour when
I opened the Haya2 web page. Thank yo, Goldstone!!!
P
Tyring to find out where Hayabusa 2 will be after return to the earth I searched i vain for clues in JAXA Facts sheet of April this year, and
I could not find anything there. Instead, I came across a few interesting remarks about Hayabusa 2 itself.
Not exactly completely new discoveries to many of us here, but I will carry them soon, becaiuse after all it is still popcorn time before
the main film starts, I think... and also, some people here must be very busy to notice minor things.
Here again, I really wish there were a few mini mini satelites around Ryugu, small ones, like bascket ball size... They will be cute!
P
The darker patch in the middle is a volcano?
P
I have been wondering how, from the plane on which ONC-W2 is located, on earth W2 can view anything of Ryugu and I have found
an answer to that. W2 is the donation camera. W2 can look down, not vertically downward, but at an angle. See the diagram!
P
"The darker patch in the middle is a volcano?"
Pandaneko, see the earlier post - you can't tell what something is unless there are many pixels across it. Here, one pixel is very slightly darker than those around it. Probably there is a small dark spot inside that pixel - a dark marking or shadow - much smaller than the pixel but big enough to make it, on average, a bit darker. No interpretation is possible yet. And my dark marking MIGHT just be an artifact. I think it's not but it might be.
But this is a testable hypothesis. When we get closer, and can see clearly, and know how the asteroid rotates, we will be able to figure out which bit of the asteroid was facing the camera when this image was taken. Then we can see if this is real or not.
(also - tiny rocks don't have volcanoes)
Phil
This is the BIGGESTof the rovers/landers, MASCOT.
Minerva-II rover B is half this size, Minerva-II rovers A1 and A2 are quarter this size!!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=DbLmmvki_Bo
On Hayabusa 2 main web page the flight path is horizontally exergerated 10 times for emphasis. There is a caption to that effect
on the same diagram.
P
Why is it that flight path segments are not straight?
P
What follows are the minor points I discovered on Hayabusa 2 Fact sheet of April
1. Chemical thrusters:
From lessons learnt from the failure with Akatsuki and Hayabusa piping system has been improved
2. Target marker is now 5 instead of 3 with Hayabusa. The idea of non-bouncing target markers comes from traditional Japanese toy
for girls called "Otedama". See still photos and a short movie. Edible beans are contained in these cloth wrapped objects.
https://goo.gl/XzawBr still pictures
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=RHDwIL6CAIc short movie
3. Stay length: 18 months instead of 3 months with Hayabusa.
4. Samplings: 2 from surface and 1 from impact site
5. LIDAR: Not just a range finder, also finds topology, gravity, albido(spelling uncertain), range is 30m to 25km
6. ONC-W2 (donation camera) has the same specs as ONC-W1, 1mm/pix at 1m height
7. Rare gas sampling: Metal seal method so that rare gas can be brought back.
8. Sample containers: increased to three from two on Hayabusa
9. Sampling horn has an acute angle ring shaped gutter piece all around the opening so that 1-5mm grains can be accomodated
on touch down. Sudden stop in upward motion may move them into sample containers.
10. DCAM: Low resolution but real time analogue camera and high resolutioon digital camera. They are completely seperate systems
on DCAM. Battery life is 3 hours and comms. range is 10km.
11. Simultaneous interferrometric measurements of Hayabusa 2 position
Japan-Goldstone (east-west) and Japan-Cambbera (north-south) as the base lines greatly contributed to the co-ordinate accuracy
of Hayabusa 2
P
They have changed the display appearance of the flight path on Hayabusa 2 main page to suit the actual display in their control room.
P
After examining source code of JAXA page, I found this raw data file about Hayabusa position:
http://www.hayabusa2.jaxa.jp/hy2sc2/data/hy2_trj.txt
I don't know if "data before today" are real recorded data, or if all of these data are just simulated...
Also found these data for Ryugu, in case anyone is interested:
HY2TRJ.Storage.Ryugu = new Orb.Kepler({
"gm": 2.9591220828559093*Math.pow(10,-4),
"argument_of_periapsis":211.4366,
"eccentricity":0.1902973,
"epoch":2458200.5,
"inclination":5.88397,
"longitude_of_ascending_node":251.58914,
"mean_anomaly":305.97003,
"semi_major_axis":1.1895874
It would be interesting to check if both data groups will be updated in next days.
By the look of it next straight ahead is at around 600km when Hayabusa 2 becomes tangential to its planned
flight path. I am running out of my popcorn...
P
From press conference
2.bmp ( 2.1MB )
: 576
Ryugu seems quite similar to the anticipated shape model.
If the Sun was right behind the ship, it seems that there is a brighter area on the right and a darker one on the left. But these can be artifacts
New press conference held yesterday.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=S9nw3bli_Io&t=33s
Presentation in Japanese, lot of veryu interesting info! (Probably English version is coming soon)
http://fanfun.jaxa.jp/jaxatv/files/20180614_hayabusa2.pdf
Powered by Invision Power Board (http://www.invisionboard.com)
© Invision Power Services (http://www.invisionpower.com)