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dmuller
Posted on: Jul 16 2009, 03:38 AM


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QUOTE (infocat13 @ Jul 16 2009, 10:55 AM) *
years ago the voyager and pioneer project teams propagated out to the best of there ability the future locations of these spacecraft in the millennium to come to include estimates of far stellar "flybys"


I dont think you can do that to any great precision for New Horizons yet since it will have further trajectory correction maneuvers, and possibly a "fairly big one" to target a KBO post Pluto flyby. Small changes now will have a great a great impact on the position 100 years in the future.

NH's hyperbolic excess will be around 45,000km/h, give or take a bit, so I think you can say that it will "overtake" Pioneer 10 (40,000km/h) & Pioneer 11 (37,000km/h), but it will never "catch-up" with Voyager 1 (60,000km/h) or Voyager 2 (54,000km/h)

There is info about the star motor third stage position earlier in this thread (sorry haven't had the time to locate it precisely).
  Forum: New Horizons · Post Preview: #143330 · Replies: 1628 · Views: 1113844

dmuller
Posted on: Jul 10 2009, 06:47 AM


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Thanks for such a wonderful program!
  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #143073 · Replies: 3 · Views: 4446

dmuller
Posted on: Jul 4 2009, 11:44 AM


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My thanks and gratitude to a member of this forum for putting in a lot of effort into this issue. It turned out that my ISP-hosted website had indeed been hacked, and that it was possible that some visitors may have been led to a fake anti-virus page. My apologies for that. The issue seems to have been resolved now and full functionality of the affected webpage will be reinstated in due course, along with even more system monitoring than before. What a pain, takes the fun out of telling spaceflight stories!
  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #142865 · Replies: 1 · Views: 2893

dmuller
Posted on: Jul 3 2009, 05:07 PM


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Is there a list of these events somewhere? I would love to put them into the Cassini timeline (even though Cassini may not be observing them), and try and recreate it using the Solar System Simulator pics I include in the realtime simulations.
  Forum: Cassini's ongoing mission and raw images · Post Preview: #142844 · Replies: 5 · Views: 6445

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 30 2009, 08:21 PM


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Ulysses has just been switched off in good config (i.e. all off except receiver and sun tracker) if I understood the broadcast correctly. Farewell
  Forum: Sun · Post Preview: #142675 · Replies: 77 · Views: 170570

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 30 2009, 06:24 PM


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There was a somewhat distant Earth flyby of Epoxi on 29 June at some 1.3 million km ... distant yet Epoxi is still closer to Earth than Planck is at the moment. Next close-ish approach at the end of the year
  Forum: Cometary and Asteroid Missions · Post Preview: #142672 · Replies: 378 · Views: 339580

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 30 2009, 02:10 PM


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As you may know I operate a realtime simulation website, and thus have come to face some of the annoyances with it. They have included search bots that access all pages at the same time which is a real headache for my loading intensive realtime simulations (these a rogue bots ... Yahoo and Google spread their requests over time), down to outright data fishing requests (query strings like ../../../password). Unfortunately that has led to me having to block quite a range of IP addresses and even some countries from where no legitimate request came from. BUT ...

There is one frequently occurring mystery which I just dont seem to understand; maybe others who manage websites have seen the same and know what it is. I log which pages are accessed, and monitor some of the variables in the query string (the stuff after the '?' in the url). Whilst allowed values include missions like voyager2 and cassini, there are many requests looking for a mission called

?mission=http://owned-nets.blogspot.com/2009/04/crim-net.html?please_click_on_my_google_ads
[I dont suggest you visit that site]

Is this some weird form of phishing or anything like that? I just dont understand what the purpose of this could be. Because it's in the query string it won't be posted anywhere anyway. Has anybody else seen this before? Would be keen to know what it all means.

  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #142658 · Replies: 1 · Views: 2893

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 29 2009, 11:36 PM


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From the mission ops blog:

QUOTE
UTC Timestamp: 29-Jun-2009 21:00
Received notification that DSS-14 (Goldstone 70m ground station) has been declared RED. We are scrambling to rearrange the command sequences for the final day of operations which are due to be transmitted during our scheduled pass over DSS-14 which is supposed to start tomorrow at 00:00 UTC. We are also persuing alternate coverage over the 34m network, in which case the command sequences will be transmitted in the blind, i.e. without telemetry verification.
  Forum: Sun · Post Preview: #142626 · Replies: 77 · Views: 170570

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 29 2009, 11:33 PM


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Man I saw the launch live at Cape Canaveral. I was still in high school then. Now I have 3 kids, the oldest half-way through primary. And the mission lasted for that long. Amazing.
  Forum: Sun · Post Preview: #142625 · Replies: 77 · Views: 170570

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 27 2009, 10:10 AM


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Of particular interest if you live in Asia, or happen to be there on 22 July 2009. Extensive information available at http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEmono/TSE2009/TSE2009.html and http://eclipse.gsfc.nasa.gov/SEpubs/20090722/rp.html

I also have some solar system simulator screenshots at my Earth seen from the Sun page, scroll all the way down at http://www.dmuller.net/cosmology/sunearth.php
  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #142543 · Replies: 0 · Views: 2772

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 24 2009, 12:54 AM


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QUOTE (ollopa @ Jun 24 2009, 10:30 AM) *
Can anyone explain the geometry to me? I was expecting a fly-by, but the image barely changes over 90 minutes.

All the LCROSS action was after closest approach ... closest approach to the Moon was around the time of the LRO orbit insertion. The camera feed started some 2 to 3 hours after c/a. So what we've seen is a departing movie from the Moon.

QUOTE (ollopa @ Jun 24 2009, 10:30 AM) *
I'm sure 'twill be all right on the day - but I'm old enough to remember Giotto, when we expected pics on the night but waited weeks for the processing.

Me too. Still remember when suddenly no pics came back anymore ...
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142378 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 03:07 PM


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Thanks SpaceListener for the suggestions; I appreciate such input because I do miss obvious stuff (occasionally) :-) I will work them in when time permits. This mission somehow slipped under my radar, for one it's not quite exactly interplanetary, and I only recently and by accident found the type of trajectory data which I need for my simulations to work.

As for the final impact timeline, if memory serves me right, it is the Centaur that will hit first, creating a plume through which LCROSS will fly through. LCROSS follows 10 minutes behind the Centaur, allowing for 4 minutes of measurements in the plume ... or something like that.

Will work on this mission shortly.
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142359 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 01:07 PM


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I hope they will have this for the lunar impact on 9 Oct!
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142340 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 12:49 PM


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QUOTE (ugordan @ Jun 23 2009, 10:40 PM) *
... these commanding sequences and readbacks on the fly are more exciting ...


DEFINITELY!
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142335 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 12:38 PM


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Managed to quickly create a LCROSS realtime simulation:
http://www.dmuller.net/realtime/realtime.php?mission=lcross

I have not yet been able to verify the trajectory data but the output seems reasonable
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142329 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 09:52 AM


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QUOTE (Zvezdichko @ Jun 23 2009, 07:49 PM) *
http://lroupdate.blogspot.com/

Burn process has started, but NASA TV is silent here...


good blog. twitter not updating. nasa tv sound is very weak

EDIT ... NTV try media channel. seems better than public channel
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142313 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 09:28 AM


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It's about to start now .... 5:20am EDT ... as indicated on Twitter. LCROSS I think is at 5:20 PDT

EDIT: LRO coverage has started on NTV media channel

EDIT2: Apologies I havent been able to create a realtime simulation for it ... a very interesting side effect of using javascripts in there is that the times are automatically converted into local time! I will try for LCROSS, but cant promise
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142310 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 23 2009, 09:20 AM


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QUOTE (Stu @ Jun 23 2009, 06:07 PM) *
Seriously, when I rule the world ...


Thirded blink.gif

And just to complain a little more, it took me ages to realize that ET is not (always) Eastern Time but Ephemeris Time.

So the transmission starts at 5:21:06 am ET EDT ERT
  Forum: LRO & LCROSS · Post Preview: #142307 · Replies: 71 · Views: 100757

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 17 2009, 11:18 PM


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Beautiful! And we're nearly there, 75 days and 57 million km to go ... historic realtime simulation (well, 30 years "late")
  Forum: Voyager and Pioneer · Post Preview: #142054 · Replies: 50 · Views: 136892

dmuller
Posted on: Jun 14 2009, 12:46 AM


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I found the following references to the Pluto Ephermeris issue on the NAIF website, quoted and highlighted below. Keep in mind the relative speed at C/A of 14km/sec or so (if I'm not mistaken) ... if you snap a pic just a second too late, you're 14km off. Pluto has a diameter of 2,200km, or 2.6 minutes at the above speed. Of course that is at C/A, it's probably less dramatic as you approach, but still, minor uncertainties seem to translate to a lot of headache anyway.

QUOTE
DE418 is released specifically for the purpose of planning by the New Horizons project for the Pluto encounter in 2015. The Pluto orbit and its uncertainty have been extensively reanalyzed as described below. Some potentially interesting data have not yet been included due to time constraints, such as Hubble Space telescope observations and stellar occultations, but these are not expected to significantly affect the position and uncertainty predicted for 2015. Ground-based astrometric observations are increasingly accurate, especially since the release of the Hipparcos star catalog, and serve to determine the current right ascension and declination. However determination of the distance from Earth to Pluto, and the prediction of its position in the future, rely on the determination of all six orbital elements. Since Pluto has been observed for less than half of its orbital period, the orbit is poorly determined relative to the other planets. Of the six orbital elements, the semi-major axis and eccentricity are particularly poorly determined and more dependent upon the length of the observation set. Thus an emphasis has been placed on observations for as long a period of time as possible. The observation sets and residuals are described in Section 5 along with an analysis of the uncertainty.

Source: ftp://naif.jpl.nasa.gov/pub/naif/generic_...nnouncement.pdf


And to compare the accuracy of orbit knowledge across the solar system:
QUOTE
The planetary and lunar ephemeris DE 421 represents the ‘current best estimates’ of the orbits of the Moon and planets. The lunar orbit is currently known to sub-meter accuracy ... the orbits of Venus, Earth, and Mars are known to sub-kilometer accuracy ... Mercury’s orbit is determined to an accuracy of several kilometers ... the orbits of Jupiter and Saturn are determined to accuracies of tens of kilometers ... the orbits of Uranus, Neptune, and Pluto are not as well determined.
Source: ftp://naif.jpl.nasa.gov/pub/naif/generic_...nnouncement.pdf


Interesting stuff.
  Forum: New Horizons · Post Preview: #141901 · Replies: 1628 · Views: 1113844

dmuller
Posted on: May 13 2009, 05:40 AM


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I will be watching Herschel & Planck! NASA got the better replays :-) Also trying to see whether my website can handle "live" launch coverage ... or rather, whether it can handle if the launch is delayed at short notice, which I really dont hope for!
  Forum: Telescopic Observations · Post Preview: #140359 · Replies: 62 · Views: 58787

dmuller
Posted on: May 7 2009, 02:28 AM


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Pioneer 11 had a fairly close flyby of Atlas at 45,960km on 1 Sep 1979 15:06:32. To put it into perspective ... Cassini got closer to Atlas only once so far AFAIK!

QUOTE (Liss @ May 5 2009, 05:58 AM) *
Umm, in http://trs-new.jpl.nasa.gov/dspace/bitstre...5/1/03-0282.pdf actual TCA is given as 16:30:34.

I suspect that time is ET, which converts to 16:29:44 UTC. That's just 10 seconds off the times in Horizons. And at the time of C/A, the altitude doesnt change much so I'd take both times as being "equal enough" :-)
  Forum: Voyager and Pioneer · Post Preview: #140080 · Replies: 50 · Views: 136892

dmuller
Posted on: May 6 2009, 09:47 AM


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was only put in last year. First time the shadows have fallen that way.
... then it's not a rover, its ... Phoenix!
  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #140057 · Replies: 33 · Views: 30962

dmuller
Posted on: May 6 2009, 07:39 AM


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well the shadow on the right look a bit like the Lunar Module (LM) of the Apollo missions. And the two dark spots above the "rover cam" could well be Pathfinder and a copy of it which the Martians have been trying to build.

EDIT: Astro0 ... how many years have you been working there by now? And it only just appeared? rolleyes.gif
  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #140052 · Replies: 33 · Views: 30962

dmuller
Posted on: May 1 2009, 02:49 PM


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"Astronautics" on Twitter seems to have been affected as well: http://twitter.com/Astronautics

They suspect it to be a Nigerian scam. I am subscribed to that Cassini list as well, but have not received anything. Astronautics says that there are some links in those emails with are better not be clicked on.

On that note, I did notice some unusual crawling activities on my website lately. Guess they were fishing for email addresses!
  Forum: Chit Chat · Post Preview: #139820 · Replies: 5 · Views: 5904

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