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Post Block Island Meteor Studies (The Western Route), The 6th Leg in our Zig Zag Journey to Endeavour Crater
ngunn
post Nov 12 2009, 08:10 PM
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QUOTE (Hungry4info @ Nov 12 2009, 03:56 PM) *
If I may,


It's no use H4, they just won't be persuaded. rolleyes.gif

I'm still hoping someone will answer briv's question about the size of Marquette. Would briefcase-sized be about right?
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ElkGroveDan
post Nov 12 2009, 08:17 PM
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QUOTE (Hungry4info @ Nov 12 2009, 07:56 AM) *
If I may,
Why wouldn't the rock just lean over to the side?


If a wealthy relative died and left you a million dollar cane covered with diamonds, would you ever, under any circumstances use it to tip over a rock? What if the cane was worth hundreds of millions of dollars?


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jamescanvin
post Nov 12 2009, 10:28 PM
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Tonight's catchup - most of the R21 colour drive direction mosaics I missed while without internet (sols 2034 to 2054).

I'll just put one thumbnail in this post to save space, but follow the link and you'll see all ten. smile.gif



James


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Tesheiner
post Nov 13 2009, 06:52 AM
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After yestersol bump, the IDD is right in position to start another "science campaign".
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Looking to the arm's attitude I'm wondering if this is an attempt to smash the rock. laugh.gif
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Stu
post Nov 13 2009, 08:20 AM
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This is one rugged rascally rock...

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I sure wouldn't like to try and push it over... smile.gif


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Poolio
post Nov 13 2009, 03:19 PM
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QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Nov 12 2009, 03:17 PM) *
...would you ever, under any circumstances use it to tip over a rock?

I might, if I'd already been humping it around the desert for six years using it to scrape dirt off of rocks, and occasionally rolling it down a steep hill with no guarantee of getting it back up.

(Just kidding... please don't push the rock...)
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centsworth_II
post Nov 13 2009, 05:11 PM
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QUOTE (ngunn @ Nov 12 2009, 03:10 PM) *
I'm still hoping someone will answer briv's question about the size of Marquette. Would briefcase-sized be about right?
OK. Not exactly an imposing monolith. More like the size of a chunky, medium large handbag. laugh.gif

It looks a little larger than the 26cm diameter wheel. Still a hazard to run into. If the wheel climbed up onto it, the rover could be hung up*. And putting any force on the rover's old arm with its gimpy joint would not be a good idea. (Are they still afraid to stow that thing?)

*edit: On the other hand, from wikipedia, the suspension system "allows the rover to go over obstacles... that are more than a wheel diameter". Hmmmm. Probably the best shot at tipping the rock would be if the wheel climbed up on it. Good idea?

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http://qt.exploratorium.edu/mars/opportuni...cam/2009-11-12/
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fredk
post Nov 13 2009, 05:43 PM
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A lot easier and a lot safer than attempting to turn over MI would be to turn over one of the smaller rubble pieces by driving over it. Presumably they are fragments of the same bigger rock and so are the same type of rock.

I'm not sure what we'd learn from that though. Is the idea that the surface not exposed to the wind would tell us something about weathering or maybe how long the rocks have sat here?
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Den
post Nov 13 2009, 06:05 PM
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QUOTE (centsworth_II @ Nov 12 2009, 05:07 PM) *
Most likely outcome of Opportunity pushing on rock: No movement of rock and possible damage to Opportunity.


Well, we are *well* past warranty anyway, so why not to take some risk? Unless drivers decide to ram the rock at full speed, I don't see why it would be that dangerous to push it. Keep in mind that if the rock topples, it might be interesting to examine how soil beneath him differs from open plain. Maybe this give a clue how long the rock is there.
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sgendreau
post Nov 13 2009, 06:29 PM
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QUOTE (Den @ Nov 13 2009, 10:05 AM) *
Well, we are *well* past warranty anyway, so why not to take some risk?



There's phyllosilicates between here and Endeavour; I'd rather see those. Unless Marquette is an example, of course.
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djellison
post Nov 13 2009, 06:38 PM
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QUOTE (Den @ Nov 13 2009, 06:05 PM) *
Keep in mind that if the rock topples,


The topling process might hit the rover. THe topling process may kick up so much dirt it obscures the solar arrays and the cameras, The topling process rips the IDD off. The topling process takes a solar array with it.

I'd keep a LOT of things in mind.
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centsworth_II
post Nov 13 2009, 07:10 PM
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QUOTE (djellison @ Nov 13 2009, 01:38 PM) *
.... The topling process takes a solar array with it.
Ha, ha! Too much coffee?

I too don't like the idea of purposely pushing on that rock. But really, it's barely larger than rocks the rover was designed to roll over. Still, no reason to go out of our way looking for trouble.
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Deimos
post Nov 13 2009, 07:20 PM
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QUOTE (Den @ Nov 13 2009, 06:05 PM) *
so why not to take some risk?

Reasonable question ... my answer would start with, how far "past warranty" is an immaterial metric. Over 2000 sols are in the books and that doesn't hinge on any decision made now. Risk loses its sting not when the past is extensive, but when the future is short. What does matter is what can be achieved and how likely the achievement is. A reasonable, but not exhaustive metric would be to look at the high potential science return of an Endurance campaign times the probability of accomplishing that campaign if (1) Opportunity is driven in a discovery-responsive but cautious fashion, or (2) Opportunity is driven to maximize hypothetical upsides of current investigations without respect to the 'opportunity' cost of lost future investigations if we just say "what the heck, we're past warranty, let's take some risk". I would suggest, at a minimum you'd have to show that the potential value of your risk taking times probability of its success would exceed the probabilistic impact to the Endeavor journey and campaign.

So, my answer in this instance would be: you're looking at a low probability of achieving something of limited value while accepting some risks to science instrumentation, mobility, and vehicle, all of which jeopardize more likely and more valuable campaigns between here and Endeavor and at the crater. (My opinion, only, btw, not speaking for anyone.)
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fredk
post Nov 13 2009, 09:16 PM
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Sol 2063 L7/R1 pancam anaglyph of SW face of MI:
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nprev
post Nov 13 2009, 10:24 PM
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QUOTE (Deimos @ Nov 13 2009, 11:20 AM) *
Risk loses its sting not when the past is extensive, but when the future is short. What does matter is what can be achieved and how likely the achievement is.


That's a statement worth remembering, folks; spoken like a true systems engineer! smile.gif Hell, that's actually a very good heuristic.

Completely agree that, in this case, the risk/reward ratio yields a very straightforward answer of "no".


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