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2014 MU69 "Ultima Thule" flyby, For discussion of the encounter as it happens
nprev
post Dec 31 2018, 10:44 PM
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If it is indeed a slow rotator AND it's binary/contact binary that's even more puzzling just from a conservation of momentum standpoint. Would have had to have been an extremely low-velocity capture indeed and one or both of them had to be barely rotating in the first place.

I suppose it's possible that there were one or more encounters with or impacts by other objects at some point in the distant past that hit all the various vectors just right to create this hypothetical binary, but it is very empty way out there, not like the inner system at all. Not really buying that scenario.


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scalbers
post Dec 31 2018, 10:52 PM
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If it's a (non-contact) binary we'd be referring to a slow orbital revolution rather than rotation. My odds would favor a peanut shaped single object, like Halley or Borelli. This would mean a sizeable neck if it is a contact binary. At least so far there hasn't been any hint of a saddle point or minimum of pixel intensity between the two "lobes".


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Explorer1
post Dec 31 2018, 10:57 PM
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Less than 1 lunar distance now; 7 hours to close the remaining gap, just like after launch (Newton's First Law wink.gif )
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Floyd
post Dec 31 2018, 10:58 PM
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At the press conference Dr. Spencer used a pen to demonstrate how if it rotates perpendicular to its long axis, and the rotation axis is facing you, you see the same surface all the time.


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JohnVV
post Dec 31 2018, 11:02 PM
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based on failsafe1 artist concept
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as seen from NH
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HSchirmer
post Dec 31 2018, 11:14 PM
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QUOTE (JRehling @ Dec 31 2018, 10:38 PM) *
In the absence of any other forces, could solar radiation have halted its rotation in the orientation that presents the least "pressure"? That would indeed be a wacky possibility, but the Yarkovsky effect sounds wacky at first, too.


Hmm, evaporation from the sunrise side removes mass and momentum, transfers it to the evening-side via condensation....

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MahFL
post Dec 31 2018, 11:23 PM
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Less than 200K miles now.
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Daniele_bianchin...
post Jan 1 2019, 03:19 AM
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My interpretation,
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angel1801
post Jan 1 2019, 03:40 AM
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One hour and 53 minutes to closest approach now.


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Gladstoner
post Jan 1 2019, 03:46 AM
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I'm imagining it as something with a form like Methone, but probably not as smooth. Perhaps this vast and remote neighborhood could have been quiet enough through the ages to prevent any disruptions that would result in an irregular form.
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Decepticon
post Jan 1 2019, 03:57 AM
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I expect a crater-less comet like object.
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MahFL
post Jan 1 2019, 04:34 AM
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QUOTE (Decepticon @ Jan 1 2019, 03:57 AM) *
I expect a crater-less comet like object.



I predict more than 1 crater. wink.gif
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Explorer1
post Jan 1 2019, 04:34 AM
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Less than an hour left....
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Aldebaran
post Jan 1 2019, 05:15 AM
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QUOTE (dtolman @ Dec 31 2018, 08:50 PM) *
Now that its shape is apparent, are there explanations left besides it tumbling so slowly that its not apparent in images?


Surrounded by millions of tiny orbiting particles
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MahFL
post Jan 1 2019, 05:20 AM
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QUOTE (Aldebaran @ Jan 1 2019, 05:15 AM) *
Surrounded by millions of tiny orbiting particles



Hope not as NH would be destroyed.
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