Sol 150 raws are up so this seems like a good time to start a new thread...
Hang on in there Phoenix...
Yes, it's heartening to see Phoenix last way past its original 90 day mission. I'd say Phoenix will make it to 180 sols - twice the length of the primary mission. I just hope that they switch the microphone on before the end. I can't wait to hear the sounds of Mars.
Firstly - I'd urge caution on expecting any number of sols for survival. Another 30 sols is possible, but a long way from being certain.
Also - don't get too excited by the microphone. It may not work - and if it does - it will almost certainly be unspectacular. If you want to know what Mars sounds like - go and stand 100,000ft above the Sahara at 4 in the morning when there are no aircraft around.
Doug
I know there will probably be no real "background" sounds audible... no moaning martain wind, no rasp of dust grains trickling over the mic... but I'd settle for some clanks and clonks if they start banging those "Pots and pans" Peter Smith talked about...
Frost on this sol I think
http://www.db-prods.net/blog/wp-content/uploads/2008/10/lg_42376rcoul.jpg
I'll echo what Doug said. Every downlink is precious now. I'm not suggesting Phoenix cannot reach sol 180, but there will be many opportunities between now and then for the capricious weather to throw Phoenix into safe mode or worse. TEGA, RA, and RAC are now living on borrowed time, and we'll need to see a smooth transition to post-RA ops before we can contemplate sol 180. A solar-powered life above the Martian arctic circle is a hard life right about now.
Full quote of previous post removed - Mod
Does anyone know of a website which shows the Earth date equivalent of the current Mars year? What is the Earth equivalent date and also sunrise-sunset times for the Phoenix landing site? Knowing this would make the changing season more easy to understand for us Earthlings.
Couple of http://phoenixpics.wordpress.com/2008/10/28/the-changing-view-from-phoenix, if anyone wants a look... As usual, not offered as scientififically accurate or useful, just sharing a couple of unashamedly pretty pictures.
The beginning of the end:
http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/phoenix/release.php?ArticleID=1918
Goodbye, robotic arm! Thanks!
Oh well - guess I was wrong in the other thread, it is the end for RA. I hope we get a pic of the arm's final location. Inquiring cartographers want to know!
Phil
Despite the repeated warnings, it still feels sad to see Phoenix fade away :-(
very sad to see fading away
like we are losing a close family member
lets enjoy our remaining time together and remember the great times we shared
ken
Dang, I forgot about solar conjunction.
There've been a few images of very light frost on the deck, but does anyone know if there are expected to be any images showing significant CO2 frost build-up on the arrays before it's "lights out". If so, when might that occur?
From the http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/phoenix/images/press/Goldstein2_Chart_SD_Fix.html from the last briefing, CO2 encasement begins around February 2, somewhere a little beyond sol 240. But, encasement is probably solid CO2 with no daily break, growing thicker each day.
Before that there'd be partial frosts that sublimated away during the day. http://phoenix.lpl.arizona.edu/faq.php, probably written long ago, mentions CO2 frost:
Hey...looks like I have some dust in my eye...
Man...this leaves me with a knot on my throat...truly does...
Here in NE Florida I scraped water ice off my car windscreen this am. Was about 2 C air temp. Compared to -95 C that is not too bad.
I sure hope we see a thick ice covering near Phoenix.
This decision to stop the RA and TEGA heaters remindes me of a song of Smallfaces - http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=bbwgKH2SqoY.
P.S. - hello all!
The happy place here is that she made it, she's performing brilliantly, and she's an unqualified success by any reasonable standard. Consider the alternative if any of the hundreds of fatal things that could have gone wrong did.
It'll hurt like hell to lose her, but so glad that we had her at all.
I know this might sound strange - almost heretical - coming from one of the Forum's most unashamedly romantic machine huggers, but I'm not feeling so distraught over Phoenix's demise. I read the report about the heaters being switched off and although I knew it represented the beginning of the end I couldn't help thinking "Well, fair enough..." I think maybe it's because, from the very start, it was made clear that she would almost certainly not survive to Christmas, it would just get too cold, too dark, too hostile for her to keep going. Or maybe it's because there's not a lot more science she can actually do now, not with power levels so low and all her ovens full or broken. I don't know. But in my mind Phoenix - unlike our seemingly immortal, Too Stubborn To Die rovers - has always been a butterfly: a delicate creature of elegant beauty that emerged from an ugly chrysalis, but was destined from the start to live a short, exciting life before fading away and dying.
I'll miss her when she's gone, too, but I'll always look back on her - and our - brief stay in Barsoom's arctic and smile.
Safe mode.
http://www.planetary.org/blog/article/00001716/
...and if you could teleport that stuff there, you would! Cool pic, Stu.
Mark Lemmon has deleted Sol 152 and Sol 153 from http://www.met.tamu.edu/mars/directory.html It's end ?
Maybe just 'cos there are no images planned for those sols... ?
Our bird's http://cumbriansky.files.wordpress.com/2008/10/dying-phoenix.jpg though, that's for sure...
Yeah, getting grim.
http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/phoenix/release.php?ArticleID=1924 (October 30)
I'll side with Stu on this one.
Sure, It'll be sad to see Phoenix go, but when it comes, it comes. We've all known it will die over the winter. Perhaps since we've always known that it'll die from the cold, we've all been preparing ourselves for the inevitable. And perhaps, the rovers are easier for us to identify with. Spirit and Opportunity look alive. The Pancam looks like eyes, the robotic arm is... an arm... and so on. We find it easier to sympathize with the MER rovers than we do a tabletop lander with a bunch of instruments on it. With MER, we can go out and explore, with Phoenix, we're stuck in one spot.
I'll be sad to see it go, but I won't shed a tear. When one of the MER's die, then I'll probably be a bit tearful.
My mother says that praying for a successful launch is silly, "It's just an inanimate object" she says.
Oh she has no idea...
> the wake-sleep cycling would have begun at an unknown time when batteries became depleted.
I find this surprising. As I recall, one of the reasons we lost contact [eventually forever] with Mars Pathfinder was because pathfinder's clock got off and earth had no idea when it was communicating. I believe there are other cases of lost space probes because out of out of sync clocks.
Not loosing track of time seems to be of utmost importance. A digital clock requires such miniscule amounts of power (think of those kid science kits where you power a digital clock by sticking wires into a potato) it seems like they would have had a separate power source for the clock for Phoenix (and all post Pathfinder missions). A single, tiny, buttoncell can power a digital clock for a decade!
If, instead, Phoenix still has a correct time reference, but the mode it has gone into was timed relative to when the 'batteries became depleted' that just seems like a silly software error. No matter when a fault happens, the space craft should always communicate at a deterministic time.
Too bad they didn't permanently park the arm twisting up one of the solar panels towards the sun...
Well said. I would add, one isn't really praying for the inanimate object; one is praying that human understanding may be allowed to advance.
The http://twitter.com/marsphoenix is sounding sad but brave:
Man, wrapping up some of Phoenix's open-ended projects today nearly made me tear up... :\
Now I see well why with such dark flames
your eyes sparkled so often.
O eyes!
It was as if in one full glance
you could concentrate your entire power.
Yet I did not realize - because mists floated about me,
woven by blinding fate -
that this beam of light was ready to be sent home
to that place whence all beams come.
You would have told me with your brilliance:
we would gladly have stayed near you!
But it is refused by Fate.
Just look at us, for soon we will be far!
What to you are only eyes in these days -
in future nights shall be stars to us.
(translated from Friedrich Rueckert, as used in Mahler's Kindertotenlieder)
I know this probably sounds like a dumb question, but isn't there any way to put Phoenix into a state of hibernation and then wake it up when the Martian winter is over?
As I understand it, the extreme cold will physically break electrical circuits and kill batteries.
Phoenix will actually be encased in dry ice (frozen CO2).
.....however in the extremely unlikely event that Phoenix does survive it has something they call the Lazarus mode where it would signal its condition if it was still functioning when solar power levels rise next Martian spring.
Wired RIP @MarsPhoenix: http://blog.wired.com/wiredscience/2008/10/rip-mars-phoeni.html
Phoenix Lazarus mode worked and she was contacted successfully on Thursday evening, according to http://www.nytimes.com/2008/10/31/science/space/31lander.html?_r=1&ref=us&oref=slogin linked from the Phoenix twitter feed.
Stupid I know but I'm avoiding this thread...like if it would bring bad luck to our brave, beautiful bird...
Hang in there Phoenix!
I am really hoping that there some thicker frost deposits (a la Viking 2) that show up while SSI is still active. Might happen, might not.
Latest image of "Holy Cow" taken Oct. 18 (Sol 142)
Some filling in by the sand storm perhaps?
"The great advantage that Spirit has over Phoenix is that Spirit has a well insulated warm electronics box with 8 little radioactive heaters to keep it warm."
Why wasn't this feature put on Phoenix?
I've written another - probably my last, for obvious reasons - poem about Phoenix, which some of you might be interested in. It's rather long (gasps of shock from everyone... I don't think! ) so I'm not posting it here, and it's probably a bit too much for some people anyway, so here's a link to it on my poetry blog.
http://astropoetry.wordpress.com/2008/11/02/preparing-to-sleep
Not intended to be an obituary, as such, more of a celebration of a short life well lived.
Hope some of you like it.
Stu, I thought your poem was excellent! A bit sad, but simultaneously evoking the history of terrestrial arctic exploration. Thanks for sharing it with us.
Very nice poem, Stuart.
I think the role of a poet is to connect the dots and create a "true" metaview of being. There are a lot of very good dot creators here, but not many dot connectors. You, sir, are a very good dot connector.
Stuart, this will not be your last Phoenix poem.
The "true" meaning of life comes after death.
Perhaps a poem about bright eyed children staring at Phoenix in the Prehisory wing of a Martian museum?
One of my knee weakening epiphonies occurred holding a Cambrian worm cast in my hand while fossil hunting with my children and realizing this that very trail could have been made by one of my direct ancestors -- and that my own trail in the mud leading to an unimaginable future was now made.
Think about that for a moment.
Thanks for the feedback guys, much appreciated. I'm tidying up the poem cos after reading it back at work during a break I spotted a few improvements I could make, too, and I think it,s now much better.
Very profound thought, Hort...
A lot of frost seen on sol 151.
=> Dedicated to Stu's nice poem.
Not the imaging epitaph I hope. Enjoy !
So is Phoenix still "alive" then?
I don't see any pictures past Sol 151...anyone know if Phoenix is alive ?
Better news from http://twitter.com/marsphoenix:
Richard Feynman: http://books.google.com/books?id=1HxzLaPYo2IC&pg=PA254&lpg=PA254&dq=feynman+dying+is+boring&source=web&ots=qUqj9OOMxs&sig=v_ZX47DP_WXt9tnFuKA4DHB64p4&hl=en&sa=X&oi=book_result&resnum=5&ct=result#PPA254,M1
Not to be a pessimist now that Phoenix is not doing quite well - just thinking of further discoveries that can be done with Phoenix, I wonder how will the EDL hardware look in the spring in hirise images. I guess it will be a reference in the search for MPL.
And just out of curiosity, in the very (very) unlikely case of Phoenix actually surviving the winter, will there be a new mission extension?
Andrei
there is limited communication and team will try for more science. any day could be the last
here is the latest UA update from 3 Nov 08. http://phoenix.lpl.arizona.edu/11_03_pr.php
NASA Hearing Daily From Weak Phoenix Mars Lander
That sounds very very bad. But it's been a great mission to watch, and I eagerly await the science to follow after the data is analyzed fully.
It also sounds like the batteries were not able to be fully charged. Did the commands to turn off the heaters ever work ?
There is still plenty to be done with the images we have. Step-by-step movies of scraping in Snow White, or compiling all feature names from the TAMU descriptions on one mosaic, for instance. The mission's not over yet!
Phil
Seems the sun is now 10 degrees below the horizon at night now.
http://www.public.asu.edu/~sbporter/MarsSundial2.1.html
I wonder if they have any new pictures from Phoenix......if someone from the team is reading can we see it please ?
They don't. As of yesterday they had still not commanded Phoenix out of Lazarus mode, in which it is only trying to communicate, not do anything else. We'll have to wait until they can get the terminal science mode sequence uplinked. Even then, we may not get pictures -- pictures require more power than pressure, temperature, and TECP measurements, so those will be done and telemetered first before Phoenix tries to take any pictures with any remaining power.
--Emily
Any idea what the terminal science mode sequence consists of ?
I think we are all suprised at how quick the power situation went downhill.
It was always going to be hard to figure out precisely when Phoenix was going to start to die but we did know that the power loss situation was going to start getting dramatically worse around now. I had estimated that, all thing being equal, http://www.unmannedspaceflight.com/index.php?showtopic=5189&view=findpost&p=117297 of initial solar panel power per sol around now and dropping dramatically towards zero. The sudden storm has thrown a wobble into that and I am certain that my estimates of available power tended to overestimate the power from the panels at low solar angles but even so I'm somewhat surprised that she's gone into near death mode this early - I had thought we'd be closer to Sol 200 (and ~25% of initial power levels) before she started to die from loss of power. Clearly though my original estimates were quite a bit out of kilter with reality.
The status updates mention that on the day they turned off the heater, they made their last use of TEGA. Was this completed? Also, are there any results from the now-defunct instruments still on board? I would think that downloading these would be a top priority now.
I'm not aware of any recoverable science data still on board, other than maybe in the MET/Lidar flash. The Biblical Lazarus may have come back with memory intact, but Phoenix comes back thinking it is the day before launch (or some such) and wondering why the touchdown sensors indicate she has landed. And so, Phoenix realizes something has gone very wrong, and begins the Lazarus mode comm strategy.
It looks like the weather situation may have improved, but there is no science and little engineering data to directly confirm that. As Emily said, once there is a good comm session, JPL can regain control. If control is restored, getting into terminal mode science will probably take precedence over anything other than maintaining or improving control. Risks will be avoided due to the already precarious situation. The terminal mode would be very repetitive and would extend the period for which Phoenix returns weather info as long as possible. It is just not obvious Phoenix can handle more than that in Lazarus mode. In the best possible future, the lander's abilities are much diminished, and the ability to respond to conventional science commands is gone, so the commanding strategy is new. So beyond met-related data, expect maybe 30 or so repeated images per sol (sky & frost monitoring) from SSI, and maybe attempts with RAC and maybe attempts with MARDI. And frankly, even that will soon be overly ambitious.
I don't think the situation should be that big a surprise. Before landing, sol 150 was the conventional answer to "how long could the mission last". The power available hit the power needed curve at that time. Weather had been unseasonably favorable, so it looked like Phoenix could go longer before moving to desperation strategies like sacrificing instruments. When the weather turned, it was just to the seasonal pattern that should be in place by sol 150--cloudy and stormy. Sol 200 was never realistic, except maybe as the end of waking up in Lazarus mode for a month, in good circumstances. One factor, by the way, is that it is not just the low power, but also the cold. More power is needed to stay alive; much more was always needed compared to the rovers. Spirit has just set a new record low power level, but still maintained more activity compared to the previous low in winter. Why? It is warmer than in winter. And that is for a tropical location, with RHUs.
A few more details in a new http://space.newscientist.com/article/dn15136-dying-mars-lander-to-enter-groundhog-day-state.html including
I was looking for something that summarized the mission accomplishments versus the goals, and that NS article was helpful in that regard. Thanks, fredk. It appears as if Phoenix managed to perform many of the tasks that were assigned to it. It seems to have been a success, but who is keeping the scorecard?
I don't think Deimos meant that anything that Phoenix is doing is the result of some problem with the touchdown sensors. It's just that Phoenix' clock gets reset every time the power goes out, same as the clock on your microwave. "Lazarus mode" is designed to deal with this problem.
--Emily
I'm curious now. Assuming that somehow the available energy comes back up to a suitable level for basic operations, how would functionality be restored? Would the flash have to be purged & reloaded (which would presumably require several orbiter passes), or are the basic functions a sort of firmware & therefore immune from power glitches?
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