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2014 MU69 "Ultima Thule" flyby, For discussion of the encounter as it happens
scalbers
post Dec 31 2018, 05:49 PM
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DSN Now (unofficially) indicates the downlink at 500b/sec from Goldstone.


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nprev
post Dec 31 2018, 06:40 PM
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Fingers crossed that the latest data gives some solid indication of UT's shape and consequently its rotation state.


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Hungry4info
post Dec 31 2018, 07:02 PM
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Press conference has started.


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nprev
post Dec 31 2018, 07:23 PM
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It's apparently indeed oblong, at least!


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Explorer1
post Dec 31 2018, 07:24 PM
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John Spencer confirms: elongated blob!
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Hungry4info
post Dec 31 2018, 07:24 PM
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Failsafe 1.
Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
 


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nprev
post Dec 31 2018, 07:41 PM
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And STILL no apparent light curve. ohmy.gif


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dtolman
post Dec 31 2018, 07:50 PM
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Now that its shape is apparent, are there explanations left besides it tumbling so slowly that its not apparent in images?
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Gladstoner
post Dec 31 2018, 07:53 PM
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I wonder if it could be a relatively smooth oblate ellipsoid rotating around the short axis? That could mask a rotation rate until details become resolved.

Here’s hoping for the unexpected...
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scalbers
post Dec 31 2018, 07:53 PM
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Has the elongation (possible fainter lobe) rotated ~180 degrees relative to the previous image 15 hours earlier? This (together with an absent light curve) would be consistent with a rotation axis aligned with the viewing direction.

NASA TV New Horizons Q&A is to begin shortly at 2015 UTC.


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Daniele_bianchin...
post Dec 31 2018, 08:11 PM
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ok. . Binary system is excluse?
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nprev
post Dec 31 2018, 08:19 PM
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No, still possible that it is a binary. Resolution is not yet good enough to determine one way or another.


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JRehling
post Dec 31 2018, 09:38 PM
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In the absence of any other forces, could solar radiation have halted its rotation in the orientation that presents the least "pressure"? That would indeed be a wacky possibility, but the Yarkovsky effect sounds wacky at first, too.
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WTW
post Dec 31 2018, 09:47 PM
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Again, a completely "unofficial" indication from DSN NOW:
The download signal from New Horizons seems to have dropped at approximately 21:03UTC. Again, the indicated signal strength was fairly stable throughout at about -147 to -149 dBm.

Almost simultaneously, antenna DSN26 at Goldstone began transmitting a very strong (79kW) signal directly toward MU69 and New Horizons -- presumably for the radio science experiment when that signal arrives hours later.

And meanwhile, it appears that all four antennas at Canberra are all aligned and arrayed and tracking New Horizons as it climbs above the Earth's horizon.

I know that DSN Now is not in any way definitive (and can be misleading), but these folks are actively involved in this endeavor. They never get to be up on the platforms at news conferences, but they are crucial. And fun to watch.
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Explorer1
post Dec 31 2018, 09:51 PM
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QUOTE (JRehling @ Dec 31 2018, 04:38 PM) *
In the absence of any other forces, could solar radiation have halted its rotation in the orientation that presents the least "pressure"? That would indeed be a wacky possibility, but the Yarkovsky effect sounds wacky at first, too.


That far out from the Sun, I doubt that there's any significant pressure from light, at least for a natural object. We don't know of any slow rotaters beyond the Trojans.
Though given 4.5 billion years, many things are possible....
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