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NASA Dawn asteroid mission told to ‘stand down’
Rakhir
post Nov 7 2005, 03:55 PM
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NASA Dawn Asteroid Mission Told To ‘Stand Down’ . sad.gif

The decision to stand down, according to SPACE.com sources, appears related to budget-related measures and workforce cutbacks at the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in Pasadena, California.

http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/051107_dawn_qown.html

Rakhir
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Guest_Analyst_*
post Feb 9 2006, 11:13 AM
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Orbital, the company building the Dawn spacecraft, is doing this for the first time. Contrary to all the talking about doing this cheaper and faster and better than the majors (LM, TRW, Boeing etc.), they can't. It's not their fault, because is hard. What makes me mad is they are proposing to do it cheaper and faster and better. And a lot of people believe them. And wonder now.

Other topic, but the company building the Falcon rocket is talking about boosters in the Atlas and Delta range now, before their first launch ever. For much less money of course. Spaceflight is not cheap because it is hard and therefore expensive, not because LM is overcharging. They don't burn the money for joy, they test and test and redesign and test and test ... and sometimes fail even then.

Last example: During MPF and later MPL there has been a lot of talk about how expensive Viking was and we can do now better and cheaper. They doublechecked during the 1970ies, even tested chutes in real flight, and trusters ... They didn't with MPL and Deep Impacts camera. And used a very risky approch for Contours departure ...

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mcaplinger
post Feb 9 2006, 06:50 PM
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QUOTE (Analyst @ Feb 9 2006, 03:13 AM)
Last example: During MPF and later MPL there has been a lot of talk about how expensive Viking was and we can do now better and cheaper. They doublechecked during the 1970ies, even tested chutes in real flight, and trusters ... They didn't with MPL and Deep Impacts camera.
*


Your post implies that spending more money decreases risk. It ain't necessarily so, at least not at all times and not linearly. There have been plenty of failures in programs where few expenses were spared: Hubble and Galileo, just to name two.

The MPL failure had little or nothing to do with parachute or thruster testing, and it's really hard to estimate how much more money would have been needed to find the problem. If a couple of people had been thinking just a little harder, a few more lines of code would have been written and there's a good chance we wouldn't be using MPL as a negative example.


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Disclaimer: This post is based on public information only. Any opinions are my own.
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ljk4-1
post Feb 9 2006, 10:15 PM
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The following is quoted from the FPSPACE list:

From ALLEN THOMSON thomsona at flash.net

Thu Feb 9 12:59:02 EST 2006

Relayed from a source who does not wish to be identified.

******************

One of the things that nobody here seems to understand is that many of the NASA programs that are getting cut or placed under review have their own problems, and they are on the chopping block not explicitly because of the Vision for Space Exploration, but because NASA officials have lost confidence in their ability to come in on time and reasonably close to schedule.

For instance, DAWN suffered from sudden cost increases last year. But that is not the whole story, because what really made NASA officials worried was the nature of the increases. They occurred in parts of the program (the ion drive) that were supposed to be easy. So when DAWN started to experience cost overruns on the easier parts of the spacecraft, NASA understandably became worried that it would also experience cost overruns on the harder parts as well. They lost confidence in the management of the program and put it under review. Put a simpler way, DAWN would not be in danger of cancellation if the program was running smoothly. The Vision is not threatening DAWN.

The complete post is here:

http://www.friends-partners.org/pipermail/...ary/018939.html


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"After having some business dealings with men, I am occasionally chagrined,
and feel as if I had done some wrong, and it is hard to forget the ugly circumstance.
I see that such intercourse long continued would make one thoroughly prosaic, hard,
and coarse. But the longest intercourse with Nature, though in her rudest moods, does
not thus harden and make coarse. A hard, sensible man whom we liken to a rock is
indeed much harder than a rock. From hard, coarse, insensible men with whom I have
no sympathy, I go to commune with the rocks, whose hearts are comparatively soft."

- Henry David Thoreau, November 15, 1853

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Posts in this topic
- Rakhir   NASA Dawn asteroid mission told to ‘stand down’   Nov 7 2005, 03:55 PM
- - Mariner9   I suspect the reason is both budgetary and technic...   Nov 7 2005, 07:36 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   Andy Dantzler said at the COMPLEX meeting that the...   Nov 7 2005, 09:09 PM
- - gpurcell   This mission has had nothing but problems. The ma...   Nov 8 2005, 02:35 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   The stand-down will last for at least three months...   Nov 8 2005, 03:06 PM
|- - ljk4-1   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Nov 8 2005, 10:06 AM)The...   Nov 8 2005, 04:25 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (ljk4-1 @ Nov 8 2005, 04:25 PM)Wha...   Nov 8 2005, 10:14 PM
|- - Marz   QUOTE (djellison @ Nov 8 2005, 04:14 PM)To qu...   Nov 8 2005, 10:23 PM
- - dvandorn   After reading Squyres' "Roving Mars,...   Nov 8 2005, 03:56 PM
|- - mars loon   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Nov 8 2005, 03:56 PM)After ...   Nov 19 2005, 01:59 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   Well, the trouble is that if you DON'T stick t...   Nov 8 2005, 06:12 PM
- - Mariner9   The Discovery missiong cap of 350 million really d...   Nov 8 2005, 06:33 PM
- - Mariner9   One last point: when I said "it sounds simpl...   Nov 8 2005, 06:35 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   Good news on the Discovery cost cap front: the Sen...   Nov 9 2005, 10:41 AM
|- - punkboi   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Nov 9 2005, 03:41 AM)Goo...   Nov 10 2005, 07:29 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   It's at http://www.rules.house.gov/109/text/hr...   Nov 10 2005, 08:07 AM
|- - ljk4-1   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Nov 10 2005, 03:07 AM)It...   Nov 10 2005, 12:39 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   It's a decidedly souped-up version with a much...   Nov 10 2005, 01:06 PM
|- - tedstryk   I really hope this takes off. I mean, after New H...   Nov 10 2005, 04:58 PM
|- - ljk4-1   D A W N ' S E A R L Y L I G H T ...   Nov 18 2005, 09:51 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   Word now is that D-Day for the report on whether t...   Nov 18 2005, 11:19 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   The trouble with blithely doing this for Dawn is t...   Nov 19 2005, 08:33 AM
|- - mars loon   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Nov 19 2005, 08:33 AM)Th...   Nov 19 2005, 02:40 PM
|- - gpurcell   QUOTE (mars loon @ Nov 19 2005, 02:40 PM)Whil...   Nov 19 2005, 05:11 PM
|- - ljk4-1   QUOTE (gpurcell @ Nov 19 2005, 12:11 PM)Third...   Nov 19 2005, 06:40 PM
|- - tedstryk   QUOTE (gpurcell @ Nov 19 2005, 05:11 PM)We ha...   Nov 20 2005, 05:23 AM
- - Mariner9   A bit of history here. NASA tried in the 1980s t...   Nov 20 2005, 08:16 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   There sure is. To repeat: let ANY mission get awa...   Nov 20 2005, 08:36 AM
|- - JRehling   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Nov 20 2005, 01:36 AM)Th...   Nov 21 2005, 05:59 PM
|- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (JRehling @ Nov 21 2005, 09:59 AM)Becau...   Nov 21 2005, 07:24 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Does anyone know how much DAWN saved, in dollar fi...   Nov 21 2005, 05:43 PM
- - RNeuhaus   New updates about the DAWN's proyect: NASA D...   Nov 22 2005, 01:31 AM
|- - BPCooper   NASA has marked the launch as no earlier than Nov....   Nov 23 2005, 10:03 PM
|- - punkboi   QUOTE (BPCooper @ Nov 23 2005, 03:03 PM)NASA ...   Dec 5 2005, 10:14 PM
- - Decepticon   From the current issue of Astronomy magazine. I f...   Dec 17 2005, 01:45 PM
|- - mars loon   QUOTE (Decepticon @ Dec 17 2005, 01:45 PM)Fro...   Dec 18 2005, 05:52 AM
- - punkboi   Wasn't today (1/20) the day NASA was gonna dec...   Jan 21 2006, 12:35 AM
- - Sunspot   Can't see anything on the Dawn website about i...   Jan 21 2006, 10:07 AM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (Sunspot @ Jan 21 2006, 03:07 AM)Can...   Jan 21 2006, 06:22 PM
- - Rakhir   Dawn will not launch this year http://www.space....   Jan 21 2006, 08:58 PM
|- - punkboi   QUOTE (Rakhir @ Jan 21 2006, 01:58 PM)Dawn wi...   Jan 21 2006, 10:30 PM
|- - BPCooper   Disappointing news. And one less launch.   Jan 22 2006, 03:14 AM
- - RNeuhaus   Postponed due to technical problems with new techn...   Jan 22 2006, 03:45 AM
- - gpurcell   I suspect this project is done. Sound like there ...   Jan 22 2006, 04:50 AM
|- - SFJCody   QUOTE (gpurcell @ Jan 22 2006, 04:50 AM)I sus...   Jan 22 2006, 02:36 PM
- - nprev   Does Dawn have Hall effect ion thrusters, or is th...   Jan 22 2006, 07:03 AM
|- - mchan   QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 21 2006, 11:03 PM)Does Daw...   Jan 22 2006, 07:44 AM
- - Decepticon   Sadly I would even take a scaled down project with...   Jan 22 2006, 02:39 PM
|- - Bob Shaw   QUOTE (Decepticon @ Jan 22 2006, 03:39 PM)Sad...   Jan 22 2006, 03:26 PM
|- - Marz   QUOTE (Bob Shaw @ Jan 22 2006, 09:26 AM)Yup. ...   Jan 23 2006, 02:33 AM
|- - RNeuhaus   QUOTE (Marz @ Jan 22 2006, 09:33 PM)I agree. ...   Jan 24 2006, 02:50 AM
- - nprev   Hmm. Anybody tight with anyone over at the Planeta...   Jan 23 2006, 04:08 AM
|- - punkboi   QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 22 2006, 09:08 PM)Hmm. Any...   Jan 23 2006, 05:31 AM
|- - Rakhir   QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 23 2006, 06:08 AM)Hmm. Any...   Jan 23 2006, 12:28 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   That possibility was discussed at the November COM...   Jan 23 2006, 08:38 AM
|- - gpurcell   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jan 23 2006, 08:38 AM)I ...   Jan 23 2006, 02:36 PM
|- - JRehling   QUOTE (gpurcell @ Jan 23 2006, 06:36 AM)Bruce...   Jan 24 2006, 01:28 AM
|- - AlexBlackwell   QUOTE (JRehling @ Jan 24 2006, 01:28 AM)At th...   Jan 24 2006, 01:48 AM
|- - Bjorn Jonsson   QUOTE (JRehling @ Jan 24 2006, 01:28 AM)A sad...   Jan 24 2006, 10:57 PM
|- - JRehling   QUOTE (Bjorn Jonsson @ Jan 24 2006, 02:57 PM)...   Jan 25 2006, 02:59 AM
|- - Bob Shaw   I really hope that Dawn flies, and reasonably soon...   Jan 25 2006, 09:07 AM
|- - AlexBlackwell   QUOTE (JRehling @ Jan 25 2006, 02:59 AM)I als...   Jan 25 2006, 04:58 PM
|- - ljk4-1   DELTA ROCKET WORKERS SET TO VOTE ON ENDING STRIKE ...   Jan 29 2006, 06:52 PM
- - Redstone   NASA management is being briefed on Friday by the ...   Jan 24 2006, 06:31 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   I got a message yesterday from Chris Russell yeste...   Jan 31 2006, 01:03 AM
|- - Bob Shaw   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jan 31 2006, 02:03 AM)Ch...   Jan 31 2006, 10:25 AM
- - Decepticon   QUOTE Bruce: How do you think these statements co...   Jan 31 2006, 01:51 PM
|- - Bob Shaw   QUOTE (Decepticon @ Jan 31 2006, 02:51 PM)Cur...   Jan 31 2006, 07:47 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   I imagine that what Chris Russell is thinking of i...   Jan 31 2006, 09:59 PM
|- - mars loon   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jan 31 2006, 09:59 PM)I ...   Feb 1 2006, 01:50 AM
- - peter59   This is incomprehensible to me. Dawn may be cancel...   Feb 4 2006, 08:51 AM
|- - dvandorn   QUOTE (peter59 @ Feb 4 2006, 02:51 AM)This is...   Feb 4 2006, 01:07 PM
|- - gpurcell   QUOTE (peter59 @ Feb 4 2006, 08:51 AM)This is...   Feb 4 2006, 03:30 PM
- - nprev   I sincerely hope that NASA will allocate the resou...   Feb 4 2006, 09:01 AM
- - djellison   DV - spot on. Doug   Feb 4 2006, 03:17 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   Let me add, though, that all this is entirely sepa...   Feb 5 2006, 07:32 PM
|- - David   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Feb 5 2006, 07:32 PM)Let...   Feb 9 2006, 10:10 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   You know, that might be a workable Solomonic solut...   Feb 7 2006, 07:10 PM
|- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Feb 7 2006, 11:10 AM)Let...   Feb 7 2006, 07:17 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   Mike Caplinger says that this discussion has gotte...   Feb 8 2006, 06:41 AM
- - Analyst   Orbital, the company building the Dawn spacecraft,...   Feb 9 2006, 11:13 AM
|- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (Analyst @ Feb 9 2006, 03:13 AM)Last ex...   Feb 9 2006, 06:50 PM
|- - ljk4-1   The following is quoted from the FPSPACE list: Fr...   Feb 9 2006, 10:15 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (ljk4-1 @ Feb 9 2006, 10:15 PM)the...   Feb 10 2006, 04:25 AM
|- - AlexBlackwell   QUOTE (djellison @ Feb 10 2006, 04:25 AM)As s...   Feb 10 2006, 06:07 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (AlexBlackwell @ Feb 10 2006, 06:07 PM)...   Feb 10 2006, 06:15 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   That is exactly what Dantzler said at COMPLEX -- w...   Feb 10 2006, 02:57 AM
- - gpurcell   Like I said back in November: QUOTE Now, I've...   Feb 10 2006, 04:36 AM
- - AlexBlackwell   Excerpt from the February 13, 2006, issue of Aviat...   Feb 13 2006, 11:36 PM
- - AlexBlackwell   NASAWatch/Spaceref is reporting that Dawn has been...   Mar 2 2006, 11:43 PM
|- - punkboi   QUOTE (AlexBlackwell @ Mar 2 2006, 03:43 ...   Mar 3 2006, 04:52 AM
|- - Holder of the Two Leashes   QUOTE (AlexBlackwell @ Mar 2 2006, 05:43 ...   Mar 3 2006, 06:07 AM
|- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (Holder of the Two Leashes @ Mar 2 2006...   Mar 3 2006, 06:16 AM
- - Decepticon   !%#*(*&%!   Mar 3 2006, 12:24 AM
|- - jamescanvin   QUOTE (Decepticon @ Mar 3 2006, 11:24 AM)...   Mar 3 2006, 12:57 AM
- - Decepticon   I'm itching to see Ceres myself. The only thi...   Mar 3 2006, 04:12 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   Hrmpph. Well, I can't say that cancelling a m...   Mar 3 2006, 04:31 AM
|- - gpurcell   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Mar 3 2006, 04:31 AM...   Mar 3 2006, 04:45 AM
- - John M. Dollan   I only know that I'm hugely dissapointed. I...   Mar 3 2006, 05:58 AM
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