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Dawn approaches Ceres, From opnav images to first orbit
Phil Stooke
post Jan 12 2015, 12:10 AM
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On Tuesday (two days from now, for visitors from the future), the first optical navigation image will be taken... hopefully we'll have it in our hands soon after that. So it's time for a new topic. Over the next few months we'll have progressively closer images and full orbit characterization sequences, no doubt including multispectral image sets.

A new world...

This is a bit of reprocessing I have been doing with the Hubble images from a few years ago.

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nprev
post Jan 16 2015, 11:53 PM
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Paul, you may know this right off the bat: Where does Ceres rate on the PPP scale? Is it on par with Mars, Europa & Titan, rated somewhat lower, or not even on the radar at this time?

Not directly applicable to Dawn, of course, save that it might be a factor in EOM planning.


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A few will take this knowledge and use this power of a dream realized as a force for change, an impetus for further discovery to make less ancient dreams real.
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Tom Tamlyn
post Jan 22 2015, 07:13 AM
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QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 16 2015, 06:53 PM) *
* * * Where does Ceres rate on the PPP scale? Is it on par with Mars, Europa & Titan, rated somewhat lower, or not even on the radar at this time?

Not directly applicable to Dawn, of course, save that it might be a factor in EOM planning.


Once google helped me to remember what PPP stood for cool.gif, a couple of interesting items turned up with a quick additional search. A summary of planetary protection categories is here.

Io and asteroids of the "[u]ndifferentiated, metamorphosed kind" are in Category I, the category of least concern. Other asteroids are in Category II, along with the Earth's Moon, Jupiter, and a host of other bodies.

Titan is in Category II* (an intermediate category for icy satellites) for all types of missions. Mars and Europa are in Category III for flybys and orbiters, Category IV for landers and probes.

A NASA planetary protection powerpoint from November 2014 lists Dawn at Ceres as Category II (a body of “significant interest * * * where there is only a remote chance that contamination carried by a spacecraft could compromise future investigations”), based on a determination that "Dawn will not impact Ceres due to orbital mechanics constraints." The 2009 flyby of Mars, by contrast is listed as Category III.

A powerpoint specific to the Dawn Mission from January 2013 is a little confusing to the lay reader; a specific category isn't assigned with respect to Ceres. On a page that characterizes the Mars flyby as a Category III mission, it notes that the mission was required to demonstrate “Orbital lifetime around Ceres of greater than 20 years post-orbital insertion."

This restriction is subject to change, based on assessment of... let's just call it conditions on Ceres as discovered by the mission. Based on what the mission finds, it could apply for a release from the 20 year orbit requirement. On the other hand, the mission might (the presentation specifically mentions observations of recent melting as relevant here) instead be required to demonstrate (i) a stable orbital lifetime for an additional 20 year period, (ii) a "long-term stable orbit around Ceres" ["long term" undefined] or (iii) a plan to "leave Ceres orbit."

So the answer to your question seems to be "Category II," subject to change.

In the course of researching this post, I found the November 2013 minutes of the planetary protection subcommittee of the NASA Advisory Council. I'm confused by the highlighted words in the following sentence at p.7: "If the Dawn mission successfully enters orbit around Ceres, it will be going so fast that impact avoidance is assured." I can't figure out what "so fast" has to do with Dawn's method of gradually slipping into a stable orbit.

Can anyone interpret that, or is it just a (perfectly understandable) instance of an over-worked minute taker writing something down that's a little confused?

Edited for a typo, to fix a quote, and to avoid potential issue with forum guidelines.

This post has been edited by Tom Tamlyn: Jan 22 2015, 07:36 AM
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Posts in this topic
- Phil Stooke   Dawn approaches Ceres   Jan 12 2015, 12:10 AM
- - MizarKey   I very excited to see this little world better. N...   Jan 12 2015, 02:48 AM
- - vikingmars   QUOTE (Phil Stooke @ Jan 12 2015, 01:10 A...   Jan 12 2015, 08:22 AM
|- - tedstryk   Beautiful! I've fooled with this dataset ...   Jan 12 2015, 12:35 PM
- - Phil Stooke   This is a cylindrical map made from those images. ...   Jan 12 2015, 05:59 PM
|- - DrShank   Very Nice! can i post it on my blog later to...   Jan 13 2015, 12:46 PM
- - 4th rock from the sun   Great map! Besides the lighter patches I see ...   Jan 13 2015, 12:57 PM
- - Phil Stooke   Hi Paul - by all means post it. It's not as n...   Jan 13 2015, 02:01 PM
|- - DrShank   I am most intrigued by the apparent 'bluing...   Jan 13 2015, 04:37 PM
- - Phil Stooke   In the single images, it's bluer near the limb...   Jan 13 2015, 04:46 PM
|- - DrShank   true. but some of the images seem to show stronge...   Jan 13 2015, 06:02 PM
- - PDP8E   Dawn is supposed to take another Ceres image today...   Jan 13 2015, 07:15 PM
- - Mithridates   It's now the evening of the 13th. Is it safe t...   Jan 14 2015, 03:40 AM
- - Decepticon   The image that was taken Dec 1,2014 took 7 or 8 da...   Jan 14 2015, 04:26 AM
- - Phil Stooke   "Is it safe to say that the Dawn team is look...   Jan 14 2015, 02:13 PM
- - Superstring   Is every image during approach going to be delayed...   Jan 14 2015, 10:55 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (Superstring @ Jan 14 2015, 02:55 P...   Jan 14 2015, 11:33 PM
- - Explorer1   Pretty sure it was like that for Vesta too; thrust...   Jan 14 2015, 10:57 PM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (Explorer1 @ Jan 14 2015, 04:57 PM)...   Jan 15 2015, 12:26 AM
|- - TheAnt   QUOTE (DrShank @ Jan 15 2015, 01:26 AM) O...   Jan 15 2015, 12:07 PM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (TheAnt @ Jan 15 2015, 06:07 AM) Cl...   Jan 15 2015, 12:13 PM
|- - TheAnt   QUOTE (DrShank @ Jan 15 2015, 01:13 PM) y...   Jan 15 2015, 03:53 PM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (TheAnt @ Jan 15 2015, 09:53 AM) Oh...   Jan 15 2015, 11:57 PM
|- - TheAnt   QUOTE (DrShank @ Jan 16 2015, 12:57 AM) ....   Jan 16 2015, 10:53 PM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (TheAnt @ Jan 16 2015, 04:53 PM) ...   Jan 16 2015, 11:46 PM
- - Superstring   Ah, I guess my memory from the Vesta encounter is ...   Jan 14 2015, 11:42 PM
- - Mithridates   During Vesta approach Dawn did the following: htt...   Jan 14 2015, 11:52 PM
- - elakdawalla   Because of the severe limitations imposed on the m...   Jan 15 2015, 12:24 AM
|- - Mithridates   QUOTE (elakdawalla @ Jan 15 2015, 12:24 A...   Jan 15 2015, 12:57 AM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (Mithridates @ Jan 14 2015, 04:57 P...   Jan 15 2015, 01:07 AM
- - Explorer1   Wonder no more: I have a strange sense that an ima...   Jan 15 2015, 01:25 AM
|- - Mithridates   Nice! I was looking at that Twitter feed earli...   Jan 15 2015, 01:30 AM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (Mithridates @ Jan 14 2015, 07:30 P...   Jan 15 2015, 03:46 AM
- - elakdawalla   Moved a bunch of pronunciation posts to the Junk D...   Jan 15 2015, 03:57 PM
- - nprev   Paul, you may know this right off the bat: Where d...   Jan 16 2015, 11:53 PM
|- - Tom Tamlyn   QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 16 2015, 06:53 PM) * *...   Jan 22 2015, 07:13 AM
- - Phil Stooke   http://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news.php?feature=4449...   Jan 19 2015, 04:35 PM
- - nprev   Oh, boy; here we go!!! Looks like th...   Jan 19 2015, 04:51 PM
- - Explorer1   Yeah, that spot seems like a crater; I can almost ...   Jan 19 2015, 04:57 PM
- - Habukaz   My layman-self is a bit confused. This picture h...   Jan 19 2015, 05:56 PM
- - Hungry4info   Comparing the new Dawn images to an HST image, I t...   Jan 19 2015, 06:19 PM
- - Phil Stooke   replying to Habukaz - At this resolution you can...   Jan 19 2015, 06:20 PM
|- - Habukaz   QUOTE (Phil Stooke @ Jan 19 2015, 07:20 P...   Jan 19 2015, 06:44 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   But I think the operative word there is "hint...   Jan 19 2015, 06:56 PM
|- - Habukaz   QUOTE (Holder of the Two Leashes @ Jan 19 201...   Jan 19 2015, 07:09 PM
- - elakdawalla   Chitchatting with other people here at the New Hor...   Jan 19 2015, 07:10 PM
- - MarkG   Spectacular pictures! Wild cheering from the ...   Jan 19 2015, 07:52 PM
- - Bjorn Jonsson   It's interesting that even though the resoluti...   Jan 20 2015, 12:32 AM
- - elakdawalla   Bjorn, what you said is pretty much what the New H...   Jan 20 2015, 02:54 AM
- - dvandorn   These images, and especially the animation made fr...   Jan 20 2015, 04:43 AM
|- - Habukaz   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Jan 20 2015, 05:43 AM) ...   Jan 20 2015, 10:14 AM
||- - dvandorn   QUOTE (Habukaz @ Jan 20 2015, 04:14 AM) C...   Jan 21 2015, 03:33 AM
|- - TheAnt   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Jan 20 2015, 05:43 AM) ...   Jan 20 2015, 05:08 PM
- - alex_k   An attempt to process raw image, x8, details are e...   Jan 20 2015, 06:40 AM
- - Fran Ontanaya   Very crude attempt at overlaying HST and Dawn   Jan 20 2015, 08:55 AM
- - Phil Stooke   There was so much mixing going on that the differe...   Jan 20 2015, 03:46 PM
- - elakdawalla   I assumed that the flickering of the animation was...   Jan 20 2015, 05:24 PM
- - Astroboy   Can we call the faint smudge the Little White Spot...   Jan 20 2015, 05:33 PM
- - Phil Stooke   I edited my map comparison, just above, to correct...   Jan 20 2015, 10:01 PM
- - Gladstoner   So far it reminds me of Umbriel.   Jan 20 2015, 10:50 PM
- - Astro0   Can't wait for the next image to come in W...   Jan 21 2015, 04:29 AM
|- - vikingmars   QUOTE (Astro0 @ Jan 21 2015, 05:29 AM) ....   Jan 22 2015, 12:57 PM
|- - Habukaz   QUOTE (vikingmars @ Jan 22 2015, 01:57 PM...   Jan 22 2015, 02:21 PM
|- - climber   QUOTE (vikingmars @ Jan 22 2015, 01:57 PM...   Jan 22 2015, 02:33 PM
|- - vikingmars   QUOTE (climber @ Jan 22 2015, 03:33 PM) ....   Jan 22 2015, 04:26 PM
- - Explorer1   Well, here's one idea: http://xkcd.com/1476/   Jan 21 2015, 05:50 AM
- - Habukaz   Those replies about Ceres' formation is someth...   Jan 21 2015, 12:42 PM
- - DrShank   hey ho! was busy at a New Horizons meeting all...   Jan 21 2015, 04:21 PM
- - Sherbert   The comparisons with Pluto and Charon will be inte...   Jan 21 2015, 07:38 PM
- - Explorer1   I believe that what they mean by 'so fast...   Jan 22 2015, 08:24 AM
|- - Tom Tamlyn   QUOTE (Explorer1 @ Jan 22 2015, 03:24 AM)...   Jan 22 2015, 10:38 AM
- - belleraphon1   This ESA press release on HERSCHEL discovery of Ce...   Jan 22 2015, 01:04 PM
- - Phil Stooke   My longitudes look like they are a bit off. I...   Jan 22 2015, 01:48 PM
- - belleraphon1   Thanks Phil... If Region A contains the bright s...   Jan 22 2015, 02:20 PM
- - hendric   Just for my own curiosity, I looked at if Dawn cou...   Jan 22 2015, 04:45 PM
- - djellison   Each of Dawn's 12 RCS thrusters are I believe ...   Jan 22 2015, 06:17 PM
- - DrShank   thats right. no soft landing. no way to slow dow...   Jan 23 2015, 02:29 PM
|- - algorimancer   Wasn't there discussion of Dawn possibly going...   Jan 23 2015, 02:45 PM
|- - K-P   QUOTE (algorimancer @ Jan 23 2015, 04:45 ...   Jan 23 2015, 04:01 PM
- - Phil Stooke   I don't know if that was discussed as a vague ...   Jan 23 2015, 02:55 PM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (Phil Stooke @ Jan 23 2015, 08:55 A...   Jan 23 2015, 03:12 PM
|- - TheAnt   QUOTE (DrShank @ Jan 23 2015, 04:12 PM) a...   Jan 23 2015, 04:16 PM
|- - Habukaz   QUOTE (TheAnt @ Jan 23 2015, 05:16 PM) So...   Jan 23 2015, 04:28 PM
|- - TheAnt   QUOTE (Habukaz @ Jan 23 2015, 05:28 PM) I...   Jan 23 2015, 05:42 PM
- - algorimancer   It sounds pretty settled. Leaving Dawn in a stabl...   Jan 23 2015, 08:33 PM
|- - Mithridates   QUOTE (algorimancer @ Jan 23 2015, 08:33 ...   Jan 24 2015, 06:11 AM
|- - DrShank   QUOTE (Mithridates @ Jan 24 2015, 12:11 A...   Jan 24 2015, 01:42 PM
|- - MarsInMyLifetime   If only for a spare hole in the filter wheel that ...   Jan 24 2015, 08:05 PM
- - DrShank   GRAND basically observes the whole planet at one t...   Jan 23 2015, 08:54 PM
- - elakdawalla   Continuing operations as long as possible in the l...   Jan 23 2015, 09:29 PM
- - fredk   When you view an animated gif of the released set ...   Jan 24 2015, 04:42 PM
|- - Bjorn Jonsson   QUOTE (fredk @ Jan 24 2015, 04:42 PM) ......   Jan 25 2015, 01:34 PM
- - dvandorn   Great work, Bjorn! It seems obvious that the ...   Jan 25 2015, 04:50 PM
- - fredk   Very cool to see this, Bjorn. As important as any...   Jan 25 2015, 05:33 PM
- - Bjorn Jonsson   Looking at the movie and other versions of the ima...   Jan 25 2015, 05:40 PM
- - Sherbert   Very nicely done Bjorn. I think there could be t...   Jan 25 2015, 09:59 PM
- - machi   QUOTE (Bjorn Jonsson @ Jan 25 2015, 02:34...   Jan 25 2015, 11:45 PM
- - DrShank   All very interesting speculations. I've wonde...   Jan 26 2015, 12:17 AM
- - Habukaz   The first new Ceres images are coming down, and th...   Jan 26 2015, 04:40 PM
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