A thought on MER longevity |
A thought on MER longevity |
Apr 27 2006, 10:06 PM
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#1
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Member Group: Members Posts: 813 Joined: 8-February 04 From: Arabia Terra Member No.: 12 |
It's not completely impossible that one or both MERs could be in a semi-functional state by the time MSL lands in 2010.
If this happens, 3rd Jan 2004 might just go down in history as the last date on which humanity didn't have a working asset on the surface of Mars... |
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Apr 27 2006, 10:37 PM
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#2
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Senior Member Group: Members Posts: 2530 Joined: 20-April 05 Member No.: 321 |
It's not completely impossible that one or both MERs could be in a semi-functional state by the time MSL lands in 2010. If this happens, 3rd Jan 2004 might just go down in history as the last date on which humanity didn't have a working asset on the surface of Mars... That is interesting, but I'm more optimistic about the MERs' longevity than I am about the resources Mars exploration will get in the coming decades after, say, the next two. I think what happened to lunar exploration in 1972 will happen to Mars exploration sooner or later. |
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Apr 27 2006, 10:49 PM
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#3
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Member Group: Members Posts: 178 Joined: 13-September 05 Member No.: 498 |
Interesting thought... and worrying comparison with the Moon, where we haven't had any active hardware on the surface for ages and orbiters come and go.
What is the corresponding date for Mars orbiters? Did MGS start the current continuous coverage, or did she overlap with an earlier working bird? |
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Apr 27 2006, 10:52 PM
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#4
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Founder Group: Chairman Posts: 14431 Joined: 8-February 04 Member No.: 1 |
There was a gap post-Viking-orbiter and pre-MGS - but there has been continual mars orbital coverage (allowing for aerobraking obviously ) since MGS's arrival
Doug |
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Apr 27 2006, 11:01 PM
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#5
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Interplanetary Dumpster Diver Group: Admin Posts: 4404 Joined: 17-February 04 From: Powell, TN Member No.: 33 |
Interesting thought... and worrying comparison with the Moon, where we haven't had any active hardware on the surface for ages and orbiters come and go. What is the corresponding date for Mars orbiters? Did MGS start the current continuous coverage, or did she overlap with an earlier working bird? Yes, it seems like a distant nightmare, but after the Viking 1 Orbiter mission ended on August 17, 1980, there was a gap until MGS arrived on September 11, 1997, with the exception of January 30 - March 27 1989, when Phobos 2 was operating in Mars orbit. As for landers, after the November 1982 loss of the Viking 1 lander due to a command error, there was the gap until July 2004. So between the early 80s and mid-to-late 1990s, there was a real drought, and I see no reason it couldn't happen again. -------------------- |
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Apr 27 2006, 11:12 PM
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#6
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Founder Group: Chairman Posts: 14431 Joined: 8-February 04 Member No.: 1 |
As for landers, after the November 1982 loss of the Viking 1 lander due to a command error, there was the gap until July 2004. SLAP http://mpfwww.jpl.nasa.gov/MPF/index1.html Doug |
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Apr 27 2006, 11:15 PM
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#7
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IMG to PNG GOD Group: Moderator Posts: 2250 Joined: 19-February 04 From: Near fire and ice Member No.: 38 |
I'm convined that sooner or later there will again be no functional spacecraft at Mars for some time, i.e. neither an orbiter nor a lander. Possibly within 15 years.
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Apr 27 2006, 11:19 PM
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#8
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Interplanetary Dumpster Diver Group: Admin Posts: 4404 Joined: 17-February 04 From: Powell, TN Member No.: 33 |
To be fair, note that I said JULY 2004, not January...If only I put 1997. I mixed mixed the two dates..ughh..this is what grading finals will do to you -------------------- |
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Apr 28 2006, 11:04 AM
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#9
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Senior Member Group: Members Posts: 1870 Joined: 20-February 05 Member No.: 174 |
Note that while VL-1 was apparently lost due to a command error, telemetry downloaded during periodic "continuation automatic mission" (I think that was the term) indicated battery failure was immanent. VL-2 was declared effectively dead when it suffered battery failure and attempts to run the tape recorder to playback data resulted in an undervoltage and spacecraft safing. Very shortly later, VO-1 died and VL-2 lost it's link to Earth. (Both direct-to-earth transmitters on VL-2 had failed).
VL-1 probably ended up in the same state, possibly during the recovery commanding attempts after command error (probably) screwed up antenna pointing during automatic downlink attempts. |
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Apr 28 2006, 01:23 PM
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#10
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Senior Member Group: Members Posts: 2454 Joined: 8-July 05 From: NGC 5907 Member No.: 430 |
Note that while VL-1 was apparently lost due to a command error, telemetry downloaded during periodic "continuation automatic mission" (I think that was the term) indicated battery failure was immanent. VL-2 was declared effectively dead when it suffered battery failure and attempts to run the tape recorder to playback data resulted in an undervoltage and spacecraft safing. Very shortly later, VO-1 died and VL-2 lost it's link to Earth. (Both direct-to-earth transmitters on VL-2 had failed). VL-1 probably ended up in the same state, possibly during the recovery commanding attempts after command error (probably) screwed up antenna pointing during automatic downlink attempts. So those old rumors about NASA purposely messing with the Viking 1 lander to make it shut off and thus save money (there was talk back then about it working until 1994) were just rumors? I recall the Smithsonian National Air and Space Museum setting up a monitor display to show images sent back from Viking 1 that either never happened or quickly went away after the lander shut down permanently. -------------------- "After having some business dealings with men, I am occasionally chagrined,
and feel as if I had done some wrong, and it is hard to forget the ugly circumstance. I see that such intercourse long continued would make one thoroughly prosaic, hard, and coarse. But the longest intercourse with Nature, though in her rudest moods, does not thus harden and make coarse. A hard, sensible man whom we liken to a rock is indeed much harder than a rock. From hard, coarse, insensible men with whom I have no sympathy, I go to commune with the rocks, whose hearts are comparatively soft." - Henry David Thoreau, November 15, 1853 |
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Apr 28 2006, 05:48 PM
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#11
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Member Group: Members Posts: 242 Joined: 21-December 04 Member No.: 127 |
I'm convined that sooner or later there will again be no functional spacecraft at Mars for some time, i.e. neither an orbiter nor a lander. Possibly within 15 years. I don't know about this. There is so much active hardware up there now (two MERs, MGS, Odyssey, MRO, and Mars Express with MSL and baby-MTO to come) that you would have to go a couple of decades before it ALL failed. I just don't see that happening. We may not have hit the point of permanent landed monitoring of Mars, but I don't think we will ever see a time without at least one functioning orbiter. |
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May 5 2006, 01:36 AM
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#12
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Member Group: Members Posts: 307 Joined: 16-March 05 Member No.: 198 |
It's not completely impossible that one or both MERs could be in a semi-functional state by the time MSL lands in 2010. That raises the question of how long the RTG(s) on the MSL are expected last.If this happens, 3rd Jan 2004 might just go down in history as the last date on which humanity didn't have a working asset on the surface of Mars... Obviously that issue will be complicated by such factors as how much plutonium fuel they allocate the MSL and how power usage is juggled as the RTG(s)' power level declines. But putting such complications aside, and assuming no calamitous hardware failures (or operator blunders), what would be the minimum number of months or years--beyond the main mission, I mean--we could expect from an MSL with all instruments running? ====== Stephen |
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May 5 2006, 02:34 AM
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#13
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Senior Member Group: Members Posts: 1636 Joined: 9-May 05 From: Lima, Peru Member No.: 385 |
That raises the question of how long the RTG(s) on the MSL are expected last. Obviously that issue will be complicated by such factors as how much plutonium fuel they allocate the MSL and how power usage is juggled as the RTG(s)' power level declines. But putting such complications aside, and assuming no calamitous hardware failures (or operator blunders), what would be the minimum number of months or years--beyond the main mission, I mean--we could expect from an MSL with all instruments running? NASA is considering nuclear energy for powering the Mars Science Laboratory. The rover would carry a U.S. Department of Energy radioisotope power supply that would generate electricity from the heat of plutonium's radioactive decay. This type of power supply could give the mission an operating lifespan on Mars' surface of a full martian year (687 Earth days) or more and in extreme seasonal conditions such as those at high latitudes. NASA is also considering solar power alternatives that could meet the mission's science and mobility objectives. Minimum is one Mars Year and then multiply by .... Rodolfo |
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May 22 2006, 11:49 AM
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#14
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Senior Member Group: Members Posts: 2917 Joined: 14-February 06 From: Very close to the Pyrénées Mountains (France) Member No.: 682 |
As we're talking about MER longevity, note that in 3 more days, May 25th 2006, we'll have to celebrate :
1500 Sols over garenty! Let Astro0 add something about this for our BBQ party! -------------------- |
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May 22 2006, 08:17 PM
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#15
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Senior Member Group: Members Posts: 2917 Joined: 14-February 06 From: Very close to the Pyrénées Mountains (France) Member No.: 682 |
Interesting statistics from Jim Bell on a space.com interview published may 19th : http://www.space.com/missionlaunches/06051...ers_update.html
"Since the twin rovers independently landed on Mars in January 2004, Spirit’s cameras have taken about 82,000 pictures. Opportunity has taken about 71,500 pictures - for a total down-linked image data volume of about 19 gigabytes. Of these, 54,400 and 49,500 are the high-resolution Pancam images, respectively, Bell said." Does somebody know the total download value on top of the 19Gb of images ? -------------------- |
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