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The MECA story, A place for speculation
Stu
post Jul 31 2008, 10:22 PM
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Seriously, hasn't anyone else got any thoughts (dismissive or otherwise) on the "Have you briefed the President's Science Advisor?" (re MECA) question by C Covault? I am NOT going all woo-woo here, don't worry, I just thought it was an odd thing to ask... To my ears it sounded like C C was suggesting, subtly, to the panel that he had heard "something" about the MECA analysis and wanted them to comment. The question was brushed aside - rather uncomfortably I thought - and the discussion quickly moved on, but it seemed like a bit of a Moment to me. He actually began, if I remember correctly, by asking where the "MECA guys" were, asking if they had "been hidden under the table"... cue uncomfortable laughs from the panel...

Again, I have to stress, in case anyone thinks I'm 'suggesting' anything, I'm not getting all Muldur here, I was just struck by how out of the blue the question was, and wondered if anyone has any thoughts on it...


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nprev
post Aug 2 2008, 01:00 AM
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I would be extremely cautious about reading more into this than what actually was said at the press conference, though.

Let me put it this way: The Planetary Protection Protocols (PPP) allow a minimal amount of organic contamination even at the highest level (IIRC, something like 300 spores and/or bacteria per sq cm, and please somebody correct me if I'm wrong) because it is literally impossible to avoid it. So, in the worst (or best!)-case scenario, if somebody saw something 'swimming' in front of the optical microscope, it's still not possible to distinguish it from possible, even probable, terrestrial contamination.

Bottom line is that we're not gonna hear a positive announcement of what we'd all like to hear very much.

Gotta quote my high-school biology teacher again, who was passionately interested in the Vikings back in the day: "There is certainly life on Mars--now." (And actually well beforehand with booster impacts & the early Soviet probes.)


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01101001
post Aug 2 2008, 01:17 AM
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QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 1 2008, 06:00 PM) *
Bottom line is that we're not gonna hear a positive announcement of what we'd all like to hear very much.


If you're referring to evidence of past or current life on Mars, the article says as much: that it's not about that.

Covault's article is about habitability. It's about provocative habitability results. Maybe his sources are wrong. Maybe not. Let's focus on what he wrote and what others know or think they know. But, I see no virtue in arbitrarily limiting it to the interaction at the press conference. Emily Lakdawalla spoke of hearing rumors about interesting MECA results. Maybe it's all rumor and no substance. Or not.
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post Aug 2 2008, 01:28 AM
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QUOTE (1101001 @ Aug 1 2008, 06:17 PM) *
Maybe it's all rumor and no substance. Or not.


Gotta bet on the former, really. MECA's "habitability" detection abilities would seem to be confined to the wet chem experiment, so maybe they're just talking about finding carbon, phosphorus, etc.

I'm just waiting for the other shoe to drop, for the general media to grab this story & go crazy. This concerns me, because the build-up & subsequent let-down sure don't help the scientific credibilty of UMSF, nor does it foster public support.


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Stu
post Aug 2 2008, 05:57 AM
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QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 2 2008, 02:28 AM) *
This concerns me, because the build-up & subsequent let-down sure don't help the scientific credibilty of UMSF, nor does it foster public support.


I think that's the wrong way to look at this story, to be honest. I actually think this is a perfect and excellent example of what UMSF does - i.e. takes a story into a bare room, locks the door, sits it in a hard chair, shines a lamp in its face and interrogates it until the truth comes out. It's taken just three pages to sift some nuggets of truth out of this story, thanks to great input from some very knowledgeable members, and now we're all a lot clearer about what's possibly going on. So I think this kind of thing - as was the case with that "pools of water found in Endurance Crater" story - actually enhances UMSF's scientific credibility. It shows we think for ourselves here, are open to debate and discussion, and let the science, not the spooks, do the talking.

As for fostering public support, this isn't that big a story "Out There" yet, but when it becomes one, as it will as rumours spread, we're all better placed now to put it into perspective.

So don't feel too concerned Nick, these are all good things, I think. smile.gif




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Posts in this topic
- Stu   The MECA story   Jul 31 2008, 10:22 PM
- - elakdawalla   I've heard some very vague rumor to the effect...   Jul 31 2008, 10:31 PM
- - dmg   A) My take on Craig Covault's question about M...   Jul 31 2008, 10:34 PM
- - ElkGroveDan   QUOTE (Stu @ Jul 31 2008, 02:22 PM) He ac...   Jul 31 2008, 10:36 PM
|- - Stu   QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Jul 31 2008, 11:36 P...   Jul 31 2008, 10:40 PM
|- - mars loon   QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Jul 31 2008, 10:36 P...   Aug 1 2008, 12:15 AM
- - Stu   Thanks Emily, that's very interesting. I can...   Jul 31 2008, 10:39 PM
- - Sunspot   Presidential advisor's eh??? All very mysterio...   Jul 31 2008, 11:16 PM
- - jmjawors   Alright... stupid question time. What difficultie...   Jul 31 2008, 11:31 PM
- - belleraphon1   Agree the MECA team has not had serious problems. ...   Aug 1 2008, 01:37 AM
|- - 1101001   I put a notice of this in the MECA topic, but Cova...   Aug 1 2008, 08:34 PM
- - Stu   Thanks 01 (is it ok if I call you "01"? ...   Aug 1 2008, 09:26 PM
- - TheChemist   Hmm, the plot thickens... Did they found indicati...   Aug 1 2008, 09:33 PM
- - nprev   Can I call you by your decimal equivalent, "1...   Aug 1 2008, 09:35 PM
|- - ilbasso   QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 1 2008, 05:35 PM) Can ...   Aug 2 2008, 02:19 AM
|- - Aussie   QUOTE (ilbasso @ Aug 2 2008, 03:19 AM) Hi...   Aug 2 2008, 02:43 AM
|- - Paul Fjeld   Covault is a real professional who has earned some...   Aug 2 2008, 03:32 AM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (Paul Fjeld @ Aug 2 2008, 04:32 AM)...   Aug 2 2008, 08:34 AM
- - nprev   Fred, to answer your question...no, it's not c...   Aug 1 2008, 09:57 PM
- - djellison   Lots of speculative posts in various threads. A ...   Aug 1 2008, 10:42 PM
- - Oersted   WE'RE ALL GONNA DIE!!!! Oops,...   Aug 1 2008, 11:23 PM
- - nprev   Well, as I just mentioned to a noted forum member,...   Aug 1 2008, 11:34 PM
- - PDP8E   my best guess ** methane ** the natural output...   Aug 1 2008, 11:37 PM
- - jmknapp   Here's an MP3 clip of Craig Covault's ques...   Aug 1 2008, 11:44 PM
|- - 1101001   QUOTE (jmknapp @ Aug 1 2008, 04:44 PM) Do...   Aug 2 2008, 12:43 AM
- - nprev   I would be extremely cautious about reading more i...   Aug 2 2008, 01:00 AM
|- - 1101001   QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 1 2008, 06:00 PM) Bott...   Aug 2 2008, 01:17 AM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (1101001 @ Aug 1 2008, 06:17 PM) Ma...   Aug 2 2008, 01:28 AM
|- - Stu   QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 2 2008, 02:28 AM) This...   Aug 2 2008, 05:57 AM
- - vjkane   Check out http://www.spaceref.com/news/viewnews.ht...   Aug 2 2008, 02:35 AM
- - nprev   Mmm...seems like a pretty good analysis from here,...   Aug 2 2008, 03:46 AM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 1 2008, 11:46 PM) Didn...   Aug 2 2008, 04:14 AM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (Paul Fjeld @ Aug 1 2008, 09:14 PM)...   Aug 2 2008, 04:26 AM
- - Pavel   I guess it's a nitrogen compound. Ammonia per...   Aug 2 2008, 03:56 AM
|- - nprev   That sure sounds like a good guess, Pavel. AFAIK, ...   Aug 2 2008, 04:11 AM
|- - Reed   QUOTE (Pavel @ Aug 1 2008, 08:56 PM) I gu...   Aug 2 2008, 07:02 AM
- - bcory   maybe they found an amino acid.. Or just an amine...   Aug 2 2008, 04:20 AM
|- - Paul Fjeld   One other point re: the press conference. Personal...   Aug 2 2008, 04:41 AM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (Paul Fjeld @ Aug 2 2008, 05:41 AM)...   Aug 2 2008, 08:26 AM
||- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (djellison @ Aug 2 2008, 03:26 AM) ...   Aug 2 2008, 03:02 PM
||- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (djellison @ Aug 2 2008, 03:26 AM) ...   Aug 2 2008, 03:16 PM
||- - fredk   QUOTE (djellison @ Aug 2 2008, 09:26 AM) ...   Aug 2 2008, 03:53 PM
|- - jmknapp   QUOTE (Paul Fjeld @ Aug 1 2008, 11:41 PM)...   Aug 2 2008, 11:19 AM
- - jmjawors   Nitrogen was my thought as well. They specificall...   Aug 2 2008, 04:28 AM
- - nprev   Hmm. Your comment kicked my brain, Jim. How do N...   Aug 2 2008, 04:47 AM
- - Stu   I may be in a minority here (no change there then...   Aug 2 2008, 09:29 AM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (Stu @ Aug 2 2008, 04:29 AM) And ag...   Aug 2 2008, 03:21 PM
- - nprev   Stu, when I used the term UMSF before I wasn't...   Aug 2 2008, 12:54 PM
|- - Stu   QUOTE Stu, when I used the term UMSF before I wasn...   Aug 2 2008, 01:32 PM
|- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (Stu @ Aug 2 2008, 06:32 AM) The st...   Aug 2 2008, 06:05 PM
||- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (mcaplinger @ Aug 2 2008, 01:05 PM)...   Aug 2 2008, 06:07 PM
||- - djellison   QUOTE (mcaplinger @ Aug 2 2008, 07:05 PM)...   Aug 2 2008, 07:00 PM
||- - dvandorn   QUOTE (djellison @ Aug 2 2008, 02:00 PM) ...   Aug 2 2008, 09:21 PM
||- - PFK   One minute it was all about ice delivery to ovens,...   Aug 2 2008, 09:26 PM
||- - Stu   QUOTE (PFK @ Aug 2 2008, 10:26 PM) One mi...   Aug 2 2008, 09:34 PM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (Stu @ Aug 2 2008, 08:32 AM) Shudde...   Aug 2 2008, 06:06 PM
- - imipak   Talk about admin headaches - it can't be much ...   Aug 2 2008, 04:18 PM
- - nprev   Good post, Fred. No, I don't blame Covault (th...   Aug 2 2008, 04:41 PM
- - Stu   Coverage of this story on Universe Today...   Aug 2 2008, 05:21 PM
- - nprev   Er....let's not add to the admin's headach...   Aug 2 2008, 06:31 PM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (nprev @ Aug 2 2008, 02:31 PM) Star...   Aug 2 2008, 07:12 PM
- - Stu   That's a great shame, because I find NASAWATCH...   Aug 2 2008, 06:47 PM
- - stevesliva   I was enjoying both the speculation and the meta c...   Aug 2 2008, 07:15 PM
- - centsworth_II   Scientists face increasing pressure from intereste...   Aug 2 2008, 08:08 PM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (centsworth_II @ Aug 2 2008, 04:08 ...   Aug 2 2008, 09:07 PM
|- - centsworth_II   QUOTE (Paul Fjeld @ Aug 2 2008, 05:07 PM)...   Aug 2 2008, 09:52 PM
- - djellison   One thing's for sure - it's going to be an...   Aug 2 2008, 08:25 PM
- - nprev   ...good one, PFK! In a way, I'm honored.....   Aug 2 2008, 09:34 PM
- - gpurcell   Just saw a post on this on the general political d...   Aug 2 2008, 09:39 PM
- - nprev   Oh, crap. Probably not long at all; propogation ti...   Aug 2 2008, 09:41 PM
- - Stu   Well, it's no huge surprise is it? Once the me...   Aug 2 2008, 09:51 PM
|- - jmknapp   QUOTE (Stu @ Aug 2 2008, 05:51 PM) Well, ...   Aug 3 2008, 01:39 AM
- - belleraphon1   For myself, I was just surprised by Craig Covault...   Aug 3 2008, 01:14 AM
- - dvandorn   I dunno... a long time ago in a galaxy far, far a...   Aug 3 2008, 01:49 AM
- - andrea   Nasawatch.com comments on the phoenix twitter: ...   Aug 3 2008, 06:16 AM
- - CosmicRocker   Hehe! It's so much fun to speculate about...   Aug 3 2008, 07:19 AM
- - Sunspot   Well the twitter page seem to refute ALL of this s...   Aug 3 2008, 10:17 AM
- - djellison   QUOTE Reports claiming there was a White House bri...   Aug 3 2008, 10:48 AM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (djellison @ Aug 3 2008, 03:48 AM) ...   Aug 3 2008, 01:29 PM
- - marsbug   I go away for one week to move house and everyone ...   Aug 3 2008, 11:57 AM
- - Stu   Oh, definitely hype, but hype of a mysterious, shi...   Aug 3 2008, 02:01 PM
- - nprev   I completely agree. It's going to be intere...   Aug 3 2008, 02:24 PM
- - jmjawors   Has anyone seen any of these news reports implying...   Aug 3 2008, 02:36 PM
- - Stu   I think it's just the same story but spun a li...   Aug 3 2008, 02:59 PM
|- - Paul Fjeld   I just read this on Keith's site: "Of co...   Aug 3 2008, 03:22 PM
- - nprev   Of course there's life on Mars. Chuck Norris i...   Aug 3 2008, 03:04 PM
- - jmjawors   Actually, Chuck Norris has already been to Mars; t...   Aug 3 2008, 03:17 PM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (jmjawors @ Aug 3 2008, 11:17 AM) m...   Aug 3 2008, 03:30 PM
|- - Paul Fjeld   QUOTE (Paul Fjeld @ Aug 3 2008, 10:30 AM)...   Aug 3 2008, 04:14 PM
- - tasp   {Let me point out I have no inside information, an...   Aug 3 2008, 03:20 PM
- - nprev   Well...let's just put it in perspective: Is an...   Aug 3 2008, 03:33 PM
- - Greg Hullender   Does anyone have a feel for how significant it is ...   Aug 3 2008, 03:51 PM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (Greg Hullender @ Aug 3 2008, 08:51...   Aug 3 2008, 05:04 PM
- - imipak   Well, who knows. If there's anything more to t...   Aug 3 2008, 04:46 PM
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