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KBO encounters
Paolo
post May 29 2014, 08:10 AM
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today on arXiv: New Horizons: Long-Range Kuiper Belt Targets Observed by the Hubble Space Telescope
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Explorer1
post Jun 16 2014, 06:07 PM
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Hubble time secured!
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Floyd
post Jun 16 2014, 06:47 PM
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Fantastic!


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Jaro_in_Montreal
post Jun 16 2014, 09:37 PM
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" If the test observation identifies at least two KBOs of a specified brightness, it will demonstrate statistically that Hubble has a chance of finding an appropriate KBO for New Horizons to visit. At that point, an additional allotment of observing time will continue the search across a field of view roughly the angular size of the full Moon."

What are the chances of the test observation identifying at least two KBOs of a specified brightness ?

Good bet or not ?
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0101Morpheus
post Jun 17 2014, 01:12 PM
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It is a bet worth taking rather than not doing it at all.
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Mongo
post Jun 17 2014, 08:21 PM
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QUOTE (0101Morpheus @ Jun 17 2014, 01:12 PM) *
It is a bet worth taking rather than not doing it at all.

If it were a choice between making 40 orbits worth of Hubble observations for identifying possible post-Pluto flybys, or having the Hubble simply sit idle for those 40 orbits, then it would be an obvious no-brainer. But in fact this means that 40 orbits of other observations will not be done. It's actually a fairly close decision, in my opinion.

Of course I hope that a suitable KBO is located, but New Horizons will have accomplished its initial mission goals even without flybys of additional post-Pluto objects.
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Jaro_in_Montreal
post Jun 17 2014, 09:05 PM
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QUOTE
We estimate a 78% chance of reaching or exceeding this threshold in the pilot survey." They will find out within a couple of weeks whether the pilot search will pay out.

Thanks to Emily Lakdawalla for nailing this down ! ....much appreciated !

http://www.planetary.org/blogs/emily-lakda...the-rescue.html
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Fran Ontanaya
post Jun 17 2014, 09:28 PM
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I wonder if aerobraking at Pluto would even be possible as a last ditch effort to get within the dV range of the closest one.
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elakdawalla
post Jun 17 2014, 09:46 PM
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Jaro: Glad to be of service smile.gif

Fran: Definitely not. They are traveling past Pluto at Charon's orbital distance for both safety and science reasons.


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remcook
post Jun 18 2014, 12:01 PM
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That looks like it was a very well-written proposal as well. Fingers crossed in the next few weeks then. It will be an exciting next few years in any case.
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john_s
post Jul 1 2014, 07:09 PM
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Just to let everyone know that we have found the required 2 faint KBOs in our pilot HST search program, and have been authorized to continue to the full 160-orbit Hubble search. We are all quite happy around here smile.gif.

Hubble news release

John
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Mongo
post Jul 1 2014, 07:21 PM
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Excellent news! Given the detection statistics so far, and NH's available post-Pluto delta V, is there an estimate of how many KBOs by diameter should be within its reach, assuming average luck?
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ngunn
post Jul 1 2014, 08:31 PM
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QUOTE (john_s @ Jul 1 2014, 08:09 PM) *
We are all quite happy around here


I bet. Two is very low number statistics so this represents a dangerous moment passed, but not really a guarantee of success with the full search. Now it's less about luck and more about what's out there. Here's hoping . .
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Vultur
post Jul 2 2014, 02:11 AM
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QUOTE (john_s @ Jul 1 2014, 07:09 PM) *
Just to let everyone know that we have found the required 2 faint KBOs in our pilot HST search program, and have been authorized to continue to the full 160-orbit Hubble search. We are all quite happy around here smile.gif.

Hubble news release

John


That's great! I hope something within New Horizons' delta-v range shows up (or even multiple objects to choose from?)

EDIT: When will the full search be completed?
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punkboi
post Jul 2 2014, 03:02 AM
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The full Hubble search should be completed in August


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