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MTO Cancelled
djellison
post Jul 21 2005, 06:30 PM
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Just listening to the MRO conference. Highlights included...

1) 5.4 Mbits is the highest MRO data rate (not the 4 I thought)
2) An extra 50-ish KG of fuel puts it's low-altitude orbit life thru to the next decade.
3) MTO HAS BEEN CANCELLED

What the HELL!

They say that MSL can still do its mission with just MRO as it's relay capacity will suffice.

But that means less science data during an MRO extension sad.gif

Seems a bit short sighted.

Doug
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dvandorn
post Jul 26 2005, 06:55 AM
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Reply to Bruce:

The technologies required for the types of life-support systems you'll need for deep space exploration is *already* being developed on Earth, at far less expense than testing it out on an orbital space station. It doesn't make sense to start flying such systems in space until you've developed one that works well in simulations on the ground. And the tests have been underway for years, now.

As for ISS being so unlike a deep space mission technologically (i.e., it needs resupply, it has no closed-loop life support system, etc.), that's not the point. Consider Gemini -- it contributed almost *nothing* to Apollo in terms of technology. Apollo was designed before Gemini -- and if you think NASA has a bad NIH problem in regards the Russians, you should have seen NAA in regards to McDonnell-Douglas when it came to taking advice from Gemini experience.

Gemini was absolutely essential to the success of Apollo because it taught NASA how to fly the missions. It taught NASA how to train the crews, how to train the misson controllers, and how to manage a real-time mission that lasted up to two weeks.

There was *absolutely* no other reason to fly Gemini than to provide the kind of real-world experience to the appropriate NASA centers and agencies that was required before they could even *think* about attempting the Apollo flight profiles.

I think that NASA could not have effectively *flown* a long-duration mission (of 6 months or longer) to deep space without having done it in LEO several times. Many, many times -- enough times to have encountered all of the various problems that can possibly come up due to the length of flight and the inevitable breakdown and servicing of the equipment.

The details of the equipment do not matter as much as the processes you develop, both in the crews and on the ground, to manage all of the contingencies. I simply do not believe that NASA could have transitioned straight from two-week shuttle missions into 9-month to 3-year deep space missions without flying some intermediate step, like a LEO station.

And face it, international or not, you have the same problems justifying *any* LEO station from a scientific standpoint. LEO stations are just not really justifiable from a scientific standpoint -- almost everything you can do on a manned LEO station can be done far more cheaply (and usually just as well) on an unmanned platform.

In my opinion, ISS is justified by providing the operational experience you need to consider mounting long-duration deep space missions. That is its only justification, just as operational preparation for Apollo was the only justification for the Gemini program.

And I do understand that long-duration mission management experience *did* exist, it was just all Russian. But I still insist that it is unreasonable to expect NASA to be able to learn the real operational lessons they needed to learn from Russia's operational experiences. When it comes to operational experience, it is almost impossible to learn from other programs, and especially from other cultures. You can codify that experience, turn it into management theory, create process specifications from it, and then teach it -- but even then, you don't really learn it unless you *do* it.

-the other Doug


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“The trouble ain't that there is too many fools, but that the lightning ain't distributed right.” -Mark Twain
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Posts in this topic
- djellison   MTO Cancelled   Jul 21 2005, 06:30 PM
- - um3k   RE: MTO Cancelled   Jul 21 2005, 06:35 PM
- - Redstone   Pando hinted at this. I had no idea, although I ne...   Jul 21 2005, 08:42 PM
- - djellison   Quite simply - for MSL to have any hope in hell of...   Jul 21 2005, 08:58 PM
- - vjkane2000   Griffin is remaking the priorities in the science ...   Jul 21 2005, 09:16 PM
- - lyford   I think there goes my crazy dream of a fleet of Tu...   Jul 21 2005, 11:34 PM
|- - MiniTES   I'm a big supporter of Griffin ("rather d...   Jul 22 2005, 12:16 AM
- - Analyst   There goes the James Cameron mars movie. But: - ...   Jul 22 2005, 12:05 PM
- - djellison   MTO, because of being in a higher orbit - would ha...   Jul 22 2005, 12:29 PM
- - Analyst   I know, but hey, MPF transmitted 2 GBits in the wh...   Jul 22 2005, 12:50 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (Analyst @ Jul 22 2005, 12:50 PM)Hey, w...   Jul 22 2005, 12:53 PM
- - Analyst   Contrary to popular mythology I don't see the ...   Jul 22 2005, 01:49 PM
- - Cugel   My two points of concern here: 1. As MSL does not...   Jul 22 2005, 03:28 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   I've just rechecked my notes from the January ...   Jul 22 2005, 05:36 PM
|- - MiniTES   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jul 22 2005, 05:36 PM)I...   Jul 22 2005, 06:27 PM
- - Analyst   Now the "fun" ends. From www.nasawatch.c...   Jul 22 2005, 07:05 PM
- - djellison   Relay capacity guestimates... Odyssey : 0.1 - 0.4...   Jul 22 2005, 07:38 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   The central loss from the absence of MTO is that i...   Jul 22 2005, 11:42 PM
|- - Bob Shaw   Bruce: I have the sense that Mike Griffin's h...   Jul 23 2005, 12:49 AM
|- - MiniTES   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jul 22 2005, 11:42 PM).....   Jul 24 2005, 10:27 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   Yeah, but at what cost compared to the serious sci...   Jul 25 2005, 01:10 AM
|- - MiniTES   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jul 25 2005, 01:10 AM)Ye...   Jul 25 2005, 11:01 AM
|- - MiniTES   But I do agree with you that these cuts are a wast...   Jul 25 2005, 01:46 PM
|- - tty   QUOTE (MiniTES @ Jul 25 2005, 03:46 PM)The co...   Jul 25 2005, 06:36 PM
- - dvandorn   I disagree with the postulate that the ISS is enti...   Jul 25 2005, 08:00 PM
|- - Mark6   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Jul 25 2005, 08:00 PM)But, ...   Jul 25 2005, 08:56 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Jul 25 2005, 08:56 PM)Sorry, b...   Jul 25 2005, 10:53 PM
- - dvandorn   Oh, and for mini-TES' question -- Bruce was re...   Jul 25 2005, 08:12 PM
|- - MiniTES   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Jul 25 2005, 08:12 PM)Oh, a...   Jul 26 2005, 12:09 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   In reply: (1) I find that $55 billion price...   Jul 26 2005, 02:33 AM
|- - dvandorn   I'm in complete agreement with the IAA. I thi...   Jul 26 2005, 06:34 AM
|- - slinted   QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Jul 25 2005, 06:33 PM)Gi...   Jul 26 2005, 09:41 AM
|- - Roly   Does anyone know if there are plans to optimize wh...   Aug 13 2005, 03:52 AM
- - dvandorn   Reply to Bruce: The technologies required for the...   Jul 26 2005, 06:55 AM
- - dvandorn   All I can say about the need for a fatter data pip...   Aug 13 2005, 07:35 AM
- - SigurRosFan   MRO cancelled - okay. But was is this? MSTO (Mars ...   Apr 20 2006, 10:17 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   MSTO's existence was another thing first revea...   Apr 20 2006, 10:57 AM
- - Analyst   This sounds like a solid plan. But they need more ...   Apr 20 2006, 11:37 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   The nature of the 2016 mission is now hotly debate...   Apr 20 2006, 12:15 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   A quick scan of the MSTO science definition report...   Apr 20 2006, 12:33 PM
- - Spacely   Bruce, it seems like when we finally do get around...   Apr 20 2006, 04:18 PM
- - Mariner9   I'm not Bruce, but to throw in my ten cents it...   Apr 20 2006, 05:12 PM
- - Spacely   And let's not forget how naive those '05-0...   Apr 20 2006, 06:58 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   I feel the same way -- sample-return missions will...   Apr 20 2006, 08:26 PM
- - BruceMoomaw   I've finished reading MEPAG's recommendati...   Apr 21 2006, 07:02 AM
- - BruceMoomaw   I've been looking more into how good various t...   Apr 24 2006, 02:15 AM
- - nprev   Sorry to ressurrect a truly ancient thread, but ca...   Feb 13 2007, 04:26 AM
- - monitorlizard   nprev, this is an abstract in its entirety from SP...   Feb 28 2007, 07:06 PM
- - nprev   Exactly what I needed...thanks, Monitor!   Mar 1 2007, 04:33 AM


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