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Ceres, More Fresh Water Than Earth!?, From Space.com
Bob Shaw
post Sep 15 2005, 08:29 PM
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QUOTE (tfisher @ Sep 15 2005, 07:23 PM)
I would think it would be more natural to push 3 hours longer to a 27 hour day rather than compress by 6 hours to an 18 hour day.  So maybe it would be like:

[ dark ][light ][ dark ][light ][ dark ][ light]
---- )( morning  )(nap)( - evening - )( sleeptime

This gives you around 9 hours of sleeptime each 'night' with another 2-3 hour midday
nap.  That leaves 15-16 hours of uptime split into a morning and evening period. 

There have been studies putting people into such an environment: here, for instance, is a report from a 28-hour day study.  The circadian rhythm doesn't stretch so far -- it ends up cycling around 24 hours 11 minutes -- but apparantly people function without major problems on such a cycle.
*


If Ceres has much in the way of axial tilt, then that might also cause the length of day to vary...


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Guest_BruceMoomaw_*
post Sep 16 2005, 05:27 AM
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The new "Nature" article confirms that its obliquity (axial tilt relative to its orbital plane) is only about 3 degrees. But this dosn't make much difference in any case -- for any future inhabitants of Ceres, after all, are going to spend most of the time UNDERGROUND, where they will be perfectly free to stick to the old 24-hour circadian cycle. Ditto for the Moon. (Any surface work teams will, of course, have to consider whether the Sun is shining on the surface at the moment or not.)

A more serious obstacle: Ceres' very low gravity will leave its inhabitants susceptible to the same harmful health effects that weightlessness does. But then, the same thing is true of dwellers on the Moon, and maybe even on Mars. As Poul Anderson points out, regular hours-long exercise sessions on a centrifuge will be an annoying necessity of life elsewhere in the Solar System.
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dvandorn
post Sep 16 2005, 05:55 AM
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The problem is, we don't have any real data on how much gravity the human body needs to stay healthy, and for how many hours in a day it needs that gravity.

Some astronauts who suffered mild SAS symptoms on their way out to the Moon felt much better after landing on the Moon. It only took 1/6G for them to feel completely normal and comfortable.

While that's anecdotal information at best, there is still, as of right now, *zero* research data on micro-gravity deterioration effects at 1/6G, or 1/3G, or even 1/20G.

And physiology, like most things in the real world, doesn't follow nice, clean curves. A body can take some conditions a fairly wide degree out of "normal" for quite some time without showing any real degradation. But change the degree just slightly, or change another parameter in addition, and the body hits a "trigger" and starts reacting in ways that are ultimately destructive (loss of bone mass and minerals, etc.).

It's possible that 1/6G might be more than enough gravity for the body to retain normal bone density levels indefinitely. Maybe, though less likely, 1/20G will be enough to do the trick.

It seems to me the *only* way to get this data is by flying spacecraft (in LEO, for ease of the commute) which can be spun at different rates to create different gravity levels (via momentum / centripetal force). Heck you could create different levels at different distances from the rotational center.

Then put people aboard those spacecraft for three months, then six months, then nine months, then a year... do direct observational science on physiological reactions to spending extended periods at whatever gravity strength you want to create.

It wouldn't be all that hard to put together -- just build a central control bus and attach two TransHabs to it. Balance the weight in the TransHabs properly, set the whole thing spinning on the ends of a truss. Put solar panels near the center of the control bus, and keep your consumables down at the ends of the Habs. Cheap (relatively speaking), easy (relatively speaking) little station, which can support (with refurbishment/resupply) a crew of 3 to 6 for up to a year.

Run it for a year at a 1/3G speed, then for a year at 1/6G speed, and then for a year at 1/20G speed. Test crews in all three modes. Get your baseline data.

THEN start planning what kind of spacecraft you need for really long journeys.

-the other Doug


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mike
post Sep 16 2005, 02:39 PM
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If the idea of using people is deemed somehow unfeasible, rabbits or rats or even monkeys could always be used, too.

It is a good idea - someone will do it eventually. If not NASA or ESA or whoever, then a corporation who wants to see just what their space miners can handle..
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Rob Pinnegar
post Sep 16 2005, 03:40 PM
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I vaguely remember reading a paper once in which the size distribution of main belt asteroids was studied. The number of asteroids with radii of 1 km, 10 km, 100 km and all the radii in between was graphed as a function of radius.

The curve fitted to this graph predicted that the largest asteroid should have a radius considerably smaller than Ceres' (but still larger than Pallas or Vesta). The authors took this as an indication that Ceres might have experienced a small amount of runaway accretion late in its formation. Thus it could really be considered as a "mini-planet", distinct from the other asteroids, but not in the class of the major planets.

Wish I could remember where this came from.
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tedstryk
post Sep 16 2005, 05:12 PM
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QUOTE (SigurRosFan @ Sep 11 2005, 12:57 AM)
Thus, Ceres is a mini-planet or a "embryonic planet"?

And the layered jupiter moons are capture-planets.

p.s. Er, what is a planet?? biggrin.gif
*


Well, probably not. It is generally thought that the Galileans formed in Jovian orbit.


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tedstryk
post Sep 16 2005, 05:14 PM
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QUOTE (Rob Pinnegar @ Sep 16 2005, 03:40 PM)
I vaguely remember reading a paper once in which the size distribution of main belt asteroids was studied. The number of asteroids with radii of 1 km, 10 km, 100 km and all the radii in between was graphed as a function of radius.

The curve fitted to this graph predicted that the largest asteroid should have a radius considerably smaller than Ceres' (but still larger than Pallas or Vesta). The authors took this as an indication that Ceres might have experienced a small amount of runaway accretion late in its formation. Thus it could really be considered as a "mini-planet", distinct from the other asteroids, but not in the class of the major planets.

Wish I could remember where this came from.
*


Vesta, of course, may turn out to be a piece of an embryonic planet destroyed in an impact. If so, it might provide us a great window on a planetary interior.


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Marz
post Sep 16 2005, 07:53 PM
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QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Sep 11 2005, 10:03 PM)
Has anyone noticed what an attractive living place Ceres starts to look like?  ... maybe it's time to consider buying real estate there.
*


I'm still trying to decide if I need to stake out my claim... wink.gif

1. While the low gravity well sure simplifies landing and takeoff, doesn't it also mean there is a correspondingly high cost for being captured in orbit? Most mars probes save gobs of fuel by aerobraking, but for wimpy Ceres, how much fuel would be burned to allow for a fast-route Hoffman xfer?

1-A. Could a Mars flyby be used to slow-down (instead of speed up) the wagon? Even if possible, is it stupid because you're only ~25% of the distance, so instead Mars should be used to gain velocity instead of loose it?

1-B. Assuming sufficient electrical power, could water and carbon in the dust grains be used to manufacture rocket fuel? What would be the fuel of choice?

2. What are some reasons to send people to Ceres? Would it make sense to park space-telescopes on either pole as a huge inferometer, with astronauts required to install and commission them? Are the organic compounds worth the risk of sending people to collect the samples? Would it make sense to setup Ceres as a communication hub between earth-mars so we don't have those crappy opposition blackouts?
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Bob Shaw
post Sep 16 2005, 11:01 PM
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QUOTE (Marz @ Sep 16 2005, 08:53 PM)
I'm still trying to decide if I need to stake out my claim...  wink.gif

1. While the low gravity well sure simplifies landing and takeoff, doesn't it also mean there is a correspondingly high cost for being captured in orbit?  Most mars probes save gobs of fuel by aerobraking, but for wimpy Ceres, how much fuel would be burned to allow for a fast-route Hoffman xfer?

1-A.  Could a Mars flyby be used to slow-down (instead of speed up) the wagon?  Even if possible, is it stupid because you're only ~25% of the distance, so instead Mars should be used to gain velocity instead of loose it?

1-B.  Assuming sufficient electrical power, could water and carbon in the dust grains be used to manufacture rocket fuel?  What would be the fuel of choice?

2.  What are some reasons to send people to Ceres?  Would it make sense to park space-telescopes on either pole as a huge inferometer, with astronauts required to install and commission them?  Are the organic compounds worth the risk of sending people to collect the samples?  Would it make sense to setup Ceres as a communication hub between earth-mars so we don't have those crappy opposition blackouts?
*



Marz:

1. No, it'd be pointless, not least because Mars might be in entirely the wrong place - and Hohmann transfers are, er, the slow jobs. That's the point of them...

1-B. There's fuel, and there's oxidiser - anything that burns is fuel, anything that oxidises is, er, well, oxidiser. The big hope would be water ice, which breaks down into both very nicely - but look at the in-situ fuel generation on Mars discussions for a whole range of alternative, lower energy, chemistries.

2. George O Smith's 'Venus Equilateral' described such a system, but really, it's hardly an economic solution. As for the astronomy, why bother with an asteroid?

In short, Ceres may well be a world in it's own right, with it's own imperatives. Personally, I can hardly wait - if Earth is to Mars as Mars is to Ceres, then it will shed so much light on the other Terrestrial planets (oops!).

Bob Shaw


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Decepticon
post Sep 17 2005, 03:41 AM
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http://www.swri.org/press/2005/Images/ceres_movie.html

I was looking at the above animated Gifs of Ceres rotation and I think I see a hint of a Massive crater right in the middle of the little body.

Does anyone else see it?
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tedstryk
post Sep 17 2005, 03:44 AM
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QUOTE (Decepticon @ Sep 17 2005, 03:41 AM)
http://www.swri.org/press/2005/Images/ceres_movie.html

I was looking at the above animated Gifs of Ceres rotation and I think I see a hint of a Massive crater right in the middle of the little body.

Does anyone else see it?
*

I see something that looks like it. But it may be an illusion. Better imagery will tell.


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Guest_BruceMoomaw_*
post Sep 18 2005, 08:06 AM
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I noted in the "Dawn" thread the excellent Keck photos of Ceres taken in 2003 ( http://www.cfht.hawaii.edu/Instruments/Ima...pueo-nui-ss.pdf , pg. 13), which clearly show what looks like a big dark circular patch with a big lighter-colored patch smack in its middle (feature "B"). When these were shown at the 2003 DPS meeting, that feature's continued existence as Ceres rotated -- and its resemblance to a dark crater with a big light central peak region, like Tsiolkovsky on the Moon's farside -- was much clearer than in the published photos, for some reason.

Apparently that light-colored central patch is the same as the (relatively) bright spot in the Hubble photos, where they massively cranked up the contrast (the "light spot" is actually only about 5% higher albedo than its surroundings, and so the Keck photos showed it much more realistically).
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Decepticon
post Sep 18 2005, 12:51 PM
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Heres another map. Forgot where I found this.
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tedstryk
post Sep 18 2005, 01:01 PM
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Things like this really make me mad...Here is space.com's map of Ceres...

http://www.space.com/reference/debris/maps.html



Clearly a bunch of cloned crap from Gaileo's images of Gaspra, a world not even on a similar scale. And no disclaimer....


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Decepticon
post Sep 18 2005, 04:36 PM
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How sad.
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