My Assistant
Near-future Extinction Event ? |
| Guest_PhilCo126_* |
Dec 9 2005, 08:16 AM
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#1
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Guests |
The Near-Earth Asteroid 99942 Apophis ( former designation 2004 MN4 ) was headline news again this week both in Newspapers & TV news. Observations pointed out that the Asteroid climbed a bit higher on the Torino impact hazard scale ( equivalent cosmic ‘Richter’ scale ) and could hit the Earth ( Southern Hemisphere ) on April 13, 2036 ( a Friday 13th I believe ).
Anyway, Apophis should pass between the Moon & Earth ( distance 250.000 KM ) in April 2029 … an amazing sight visible from Europe! Interesting to know is the fact that European Space Agency ESA plans a mission to find out if an asteroid could be deflected from its course ( Don Quichote mission: Hidalgo is an impacter & Sancho is the observer probe ). American astronauts LU & LOVE wrote a paper in NATURE about a tug-rocket and NASA is making plans for a mission called ‘ The Son of Deep Impact ‘ … to be continued… More on the Asteroid at: http://www.esa.int/gsp/ACT/mission_analysis/asteroid.htm Philip |
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| Guest_Richard Trigaux_* |
Dec 10 2005, 10:29 AM
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#2
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Important things in the discutio above, JRehling, RNeuhaus, dvandorn:
To avoid a future collision with an asteroid, it is enough to give it a very small push at the right moment (just before a close encounter with a planet) and this is mostly achievable with today or near future technology. The chaotic aspect of their trajectory, which makes this trajectory difficult to predict, especially after a close encounter (this is called, I think, sensitive dependency to initial conditions) turns to our advantage: a very small tug just before a close encounter allows to completelly change the future trajectory. Eventually crashing all the Earth threatening objects on other planets is not a bad idea. This would allow us for a safe future, even in the case in which we abandon any high technology. By the way, nuking asteroids, as it was proposed by some who have nukes but who rather don't know what to do with, is just sheer deliria: the asteroid would be broken apart, but all the pieces would continue on the same trajectory (this is basic celestial mechanics). So, in place of receiving a huge asteroid, we would receive several small ones, plus the radioactive wastes of the bomb. It is not sure that it would be better. |
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PhilCo126 Near-future Extinction Event ? Dec 9 2005, 08:16 AM
Rob Pinnegar I guess these guys must be pretty certain about th... Dec 9 2005, 10:03 AM
ljk4-1 Paper: astro-ph/0512204
Date: Thu, 8 Dec 2005 05:... Dec 9 2005, 06:17 PM

Richard Trigaux QUOTE (ljk4-1 @ Dec 9 2005, 06:17 PM)Pap... Dec 9 2005, 07:15 PM
Richard Trigaux QUOTE (Rob Pinnegar @ Dec 9 2005, 10:03 AM)I ... Dec 9 2005, 07:19 PM
JRehling QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 9 2005, 11:19 AM... Dec 9 2005, 07:27 PM
dvandorn QUOTE (JRehling @ Dec 9 2005, 01:27 PM)If a b... Dec 10 2005, 02:01 AM
Richard Trigaux QUOTE (dvandorn @ Dec 10 2005, 02:01 AM)I wou... Dec 10 2005, 11:40 AM
RNeuhaus I have read a paper about "Gravitation Tract... Dec 9 2005, 07:37 PM
RNeuhaus Urge to Merge: Here Comes Andromeda
The above ar... Dec 9 2005, 08:13 PM
tty QUOTE (RNeuhaus @ Dec 9 2005, 10:13 PM)Urge t... Dec 10 2005, 05:02 PM
mike You mean to say that eventually we'll all die ... Dec 9 2005, 10:22 PM
tty QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 10 2005, 12:29 P... Dec 10 2005, 05:22 PM

Bob Shaw I hate to point out a grim and downright unsettlin... Dec 10 2005, 06:17 PM


Richard Trigaux QUOTE (Bob Shaw @ Dec 10 2005, 06:17 PM)I hat... Dec 11 2005, 12:53 PM


dvandorn QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 11 2005, 06:53 A... Dec 11 2005, 08:20 PM

Richard Trigaux QUOTE (tty @ Dec 10 2005, 05:22 PM)Actually t... Dec 11 2005, 12:28 PM

JRehling QUOTE (tty @ Dec 10 2005, 09:22 AM)Actually t... Dec 11 2005, 05:44 PM

Richard Trigaux QUOTE (JRehling @ Dec 11 2005, 05:44 PM)Two b... Dec 11 2005, 06:08 PM
dvandorn QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 10 2005, 04:29 A... Dec 11 2005, 02:51 AM
mchan QUOTE (dvandorn @ Dec 10 2005, 06:51 PM)Actua... Dec 11 2005, 03:37 AM
tty QUOTE (dvandorn @ Dec 11 2005, 04:51 AM)Actua... Dec 12 2005, 07:54 PM
tfisher QUOTE (PhilCo126 @ Dec 9 2005, 04:16 AM)The N... Dec 10 2005, 03:24 PM
PhilCo126 Well the diameter of Apophis is 320 meter so it wo... Dec 10 2005, 06:23 PM
mike It could be that if a few more species become exti... Dec 10 2005, 08:56 PM
Tom Ames QUOTE (mike @ Dec 10 2005, 03:56 PM)It could ... Dec 13 2005, 01:38 AM
Bob Shaw QUOTE (Tom Ames @ Dec 13 2005, 02:38 AM)Yeah,... Dec 14 2005, 11:09 PM
BruceMoomaw Yep -- remember that deafening series of "exp... Dec 11 2005, 06:34 AM
mike If I weren't at least a little selfish, I... Dec 11 2005, 09:41 PM
BruceMoomaw We're getting rather off the subject here; but... Dec 11 2005, 09:46 PM
PhilCo126 An impact on the Moon would be an amazing sight ..... Dec 12 2005, 08:04 AM
Richard Trigaux QUOTE (PhilCo126 @ Dec 12 2005, 08:04 AM)An i... Dec 12 2005, 08:25 AM
Richard Trigaux Dvandorn and BruceMoomaw,
my point was certainly ... Dec 12 2005, 08:52 AM
dvandorn And on this, Richard, we must agree to disagree. ... Dec 12 2005, 09:18 AM
Richard Trigaux QUOTE (dvandorn @ Dec 12 2005, 09:18 AM)And o... Dec 12 2005, 09:48 AM
ljk4-1 QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 12 2005, 04:48 A... Dec 12 2005, 02:34 PM
RNeuhaus Setting back to the topic, after a nuke explotion ... Dec 12 2005, 02:27 PM
BruceMoomaw Believe me, when the human race starts modifying t... Dec 12 2005, 09:52 PM
tty QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 12 2005, 11:52 PM)Be... Dec 12 2005, 10:21 PM
BruceMoomaw While we're on this cheery subject: I've a... Dec 12 2005, 09:56 PM
ljk4-1 QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 12 2005, 04:56 PM)Wh... Dec 12 2005, 10:23 PM
Bob Shaw QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 12 2005, 10:56 PM)Wh... Dec 12 2005, 11:14 PM
tuomio Great power brings great responsibilities. Ongoing... Dec 12 2005, 10:38 PM
mike Eh, the whole 'technology is bad' issue co... Dec 12 2005, 10:44 PM
BruceMoomaw "Cheer up -- it's largely a one-generatio... Dec 13 2005, 01:27 AM
BruceMoomaw As for "Gaia being a superorganism that delib... Dec 13 2005, 01:31 AM
ljk4-1 QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 12 2005, 08:31 PM)As... Dec 14 2005, 08:58 PM

JRehling The real hope for our civilization is that science... Dec 14 2005, 10:53 PM


Richard Trigaux QUOTE (JRehling @ Dec 14 2005, 10:53 PM)The r... Dec 15 2005, 09:59 AM


JRehling QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 15 2005, 01:59 A... Dec 15 2005, 05:40 PM


Richard Trigaux QUOTE (JRehling @ Dec 15 2005, 05:40 PM)I qui... Dec 15 2005, 07:49 PM

Richard Trigaux QUOTE (ljk4-1 @ Dec 14 2005, 08:58 PM)Yo... Dec 15 2005, 09:52 AM


ljk4-1 QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 15 2005, 04:52 A... Dec 15 2005, 03:15 PM

lyford QUOTE (ljk4-1 @ Dec 14 2005, 12:58 PM)Yo... Dec 15 2005, 08:18 PM
Bob Shaw QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 13 2005, 02:31 AM)As... Dec 14 2005, 11:22 PM
dvandorn In re the "good vs. evil" issue -- I thi... Dec 13 2005, 07:12 AM
mike Eh, you guys are just afraid that humanity might a... Dec 13 2005, 05:26 PM
Richard Trigaux Cheap cabaret philosophy just to continue doing no... Dec 13 2005, 07:16 PM
tty QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 13 2005, 09:16 P... Dec 13 2005, 10:08 PM
Richard Trigaux QUOTE (tty @ Dec 13 2005, 10:08 PM)Causing an... Dec 14 2005, 11:24 AM
RNeuhaus QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 14 2005, 06:24 A... Dec 14 2005, 05:26 PM
lyford Rodolfo -
I agree completely - we should be enth... Dec 14 2005, 07:21 PM
RNeuhaus The paragraph was extracted from http://www.space.... Dec 14 2005, 09:01 PM
Richard Trigaux QUOTE (RNeuhaus @ Dec 14 2005, 09:01 PM)That ... Dec 15 2005, 09:56 AM
RNeuhaus QUOTE (Richard Trigaux @ Dec 15 2005, 04:56 A... Dec 15 2005, 02:48 PM
BruceMoomaw "With enough diffuse speculation, how can any... Dec 15 2005, 11:36 AM
JRehling QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 15 2005, 03:36 AM)... Dec 15 2005, 05:29 PM
mike QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 15 2005, 03:36 AM)... Dec 15 2005, 06:12 PM
Chmee QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 15 2005, 07:36 AM)... Dec 15 2005, 06:22 PM
dvandorn This is something that we need to spend some time ... Dec 15 2005, 05:11 PM
BruceMoomaw OK; but then, when the Sacred Asteroidal Republic ... Dec 15 2005, 06:13 PM
BruceMoomaw And in response to Mike: why should I go to the tr... Dec 15 2005, 06:20 PM
mike QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 15 2005, 10:20 AM)An... Dec 15 2005, 08:13 PM
BruceMoomaw Well, while we really ARE geting off the subject o... Dec 15 2005, 09:19 PM
mike Avoided nuclear war by 'a succession of miracl... Dec 15 2005, 10:41 PM
BruceMoomaw So who's complaining? Why complain about the ... Dec 15 2005, 10:51 PM
BruceMoomaw P.S.: Regarding the fact that we've avoided nu... Dec 15 2005, 10:59 PM
tty QUOTE (BruceMoomaw @ Dec 16 2005, 12:59 AM)P.... Dec 16 2005, 08:39 PM
mike By calling them 'miracles' you are acknowl... Dec 16 2005, 12:59 AM
lyford Don't forget these narrowly avoided rays of su... Dec 16 2005, 01:42 AM
BruceMoomaw Yeah, Lyford, I didn't mention the narrow Indi... Dec 16 2005, 02:42 AM
mike It certainly does seem to be easier to destroy tha... Dec 16 2005, 03:55 PM
ljk4-1 Humanity will survive for the same reason American... Dec 16 2005, 04:28 PM
chris Nick Bostrom from the University of Oxford Philoso... Dec 16 2005, 04:50 PM
BruceMoomaw More on Lyford's question at http://www.lpi.us... Dec 16 2005, 11:00 PM
lyford Thanks Bruce - interesting
QUOTE Here we consider ... Dec 17 2005, 12:19 AM
Bob Shaw Bruce:
Perhaps we should *encourage* all sorts of... Dec 17 2005, 12:43 AM
edstrick Note that Cis-Lunar manned transportation capacity... Dec 17 2005, 06:33 AM
ustrax Nice thing to play with...
http://www.lpl.arizo... Jan 5 2006, 04:01 PM
ljk4-1 THE COMING DARK AGE
Newsletter
December, 2005
1... Jan 5 2006, 10:10 PM
ustrax QUOTE (ljk4-1 @ Jan 5 2006, 10:10 PM)THE... Jan 5 2006, 11:16 PM
ljk4-1 A NEO to monitor:
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/risk/20... Jan 9 2006, 03:43 PM
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Bob Shaw Richard:
The 'gravitational tractor' conc... Apr 25 2006, 04:09 PM
Richard Trigaux The gravitation is a very weak force, and a gravit... Apr 25 2006, 04:28 PM![]() ![]() |
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