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Entry Pool, Predict when Oppy will enter Victoria Crater |
 Dec 19 2006, 01:20 AM
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Newbie  Group: Members Posts: 17 Joined: 20-April 05 Member No.: 324  |
With the MER operations teams stated goal of entering Victoria regardless of whether it will be possible to exit, it might be time to begin choosing when and where this will happen.
My guess is that as long as Oppy is healthy the MER team will completely circumnavigate Victoria and this will take about 20 months. My reasoning is as follows. Entering Victoria will be easy. Driving to the base of an outcrop would be impossible at every bay we have seen so far, with the possible exception of Duck Bay. My guess is that the team will try for as much reconnaissance information as possible in the hopes of finding a better location for science. But they will not find it and will take the plunge at Duck Bay on August 16, 2008. |
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Mar 7 2007, 08:42 PM
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#2
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Founder Group: Chairman Posts: 14457 Joined: 8-February 04 Member No.: 1 |
30 degrees is about the best they can manage, and I would think all the slopes on the SE quadrant of the crater are less than that - and indeed some of the bays we've already seen, Duck/Bottomless etc are there or there abouts.
Doug |
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leustek Entry Pool Dec 19 2006, 01:20 AM
jamescanvin QUOTE (leustek @ Dec 19 2006, 12:20 PM) a... Dec 19 2006, 02:00 AM
AndyG Why a complete circumnavigation?
Opportunity is ... Dec 19 2006, 09:52 AM ToSeek Sol 1365, just to have a guess in the pot. Dec 19 2006, 06:48 PM tuvas I'm guessing March 17, 2007, it's about th... Dec 19 2006, 06:59 PM Sunspot I think they'll drive into Duck Bay as soon as... Dec 19 2006, 07:10 PM Phil Stooke Duck Bay looks good for access and for the nice ou... Dec 19 2006, 07:33 PM Edward Schmitz Duck Bay on Sol 1192. Entry on the north side of ... Dec 19 2006, 08:53 PM imipak Oh... go on then. Sol 1143. A good year for Portug... Dec 19 2006, 09:10 PM ustrax QUOTE (imipak @ Dec 19 2006, 09:10 PM) Oh... Dec 20 2006, 02:27 PM MahFL I'll say 1151. Dec 20 2006, 03:48 PM WindyT Are we talking all four wheels in and going down, ... Dec 19 2006, 09:27 PM leustek QUOTE (WindyT @ Dec 19 2006, 04:27 PM) Ar... Dec 22 2006, 12:03 AM sattrackpro Well, I think there is ~some~ desire to enter the ... Dec 20 2006, 02:11 PM Ant103 Hum... For me (fourmi, tiens? ) I say Sol 1103 (w... Dec 20 2006, 04:46 PM Nirgal Sol 1111 Dec 20 2006, 06:42 PM climber QUOTE (Ant103 @ Dec 20 2006, 05:46 PM) Hu... Dec 20 2006, 09:28 PM dilo I think will be done in the vicinity of Sofi crate... Dec 20 2006, 09:49 PM jamescanvin I'll go 1170 - 13 times the primary mission ti... Dec 20 2006, 10:17 PM Floyd The navcam and pancam pictures that have come down... Dec 21 2006, 01:06 AM alan Four months to survey the north side of victoria, ... Dec 22 2006, 12:48 AM MizarKey Put me down for 1242. No specific criteria except... Dec 22 2006, 09:26 AM MarsIsImportant Entry point should be at Soup Dragon Bay on day 12... Dec 22 2006, 07:19 PM ustrax QUOTE (MarsIsImportant @ Dec 22 2006, 07... Dec 22 2006, 07:27 PM PhilCo126 Best guess sol 1234 Dec 22 2006, 07:57 PM climber I'll go for Climber's cave exploration ...... Dec 22 2006, 09:15 PM ElkGroveDan QUOTE (climber @ Dec 22 2006, 01:15 PM) I... Dec 24 2006, 02:26 AM Tesheiner Given the team interest on Bottomless bay (based o... Dec 23 2006, 02:23 PM Rakhir I take the 1200 Dec 23 2006, 02:32 PM climber QUOTE (Rakhir @ Dec 23 2006, 03:32 PM) I ... Dec 23 2006, 05:27 PM Pando QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Dec 23 2006, 06:26 P... Dec 24 2006, 02:43 AM Pavel 1255
Founding of Königsberg. Good year for the Te... Dec 25 2006, 05:44 AM antoniseb I'll say 1210, and I think they'll do it o... Dec 25 2006, 02:41 PM DFinfrock I'll take 1224. And I'm thinking Far Side... Dec 27 2006, 01:15 AM edstrick I keep thinking entry POOL, and having this wacked... Dec 27 2006, 11:11 AM MahFL I'll say nearside as thats where the tallest c... Dec 27 2006, 04:24 PM BrianL I will take sol 1205. Has our official judge of al... Dec 28 2006, 12:59 AM micvoo Opportunity will dip into the crater on sol 1395. ... Dec 28 2006, 11:43 PM Myran Sol 1425 - and that oppy will request a bit of R... Dec 29 2006, 01:14 AM edstrick Somebody should photoshop a pic of Oppy wearing wa... Dec 29 2006, 12:46 PM micvoo Hi,
Based on the info on Victoria crater we have ... Dec 30 2006, 02:08 PM bergadder 1244 Near rim Jan 3 2007, 03:15 AM pch My guess: sol 1305 at bay D5 or E1 Jan 3 2007, 10:34 AM FIN Mars over 1500 or never.
I'm sorry, but i can't... Jan 3 2007, 02:03 PM Bobby As the creater of the Beacon Near/Far Side topic o... Jan 4 2007, 05:24 AM tuvas I'll convert my guess to the popular sol listi... Mar 1 2007, 02:50 PM Tesheiner Yup, that still-unnamed-bay is being considered by... Mar 1 2007, 03:30 PM MarsIsImportant My prediction of 1219 is still good.
The followin... Mar 1 2007, 06:08 PM antoniseb Your map is interesting, but it doesn't show t... Mar 1 2007, 06:45 PM atomoid I think MarsIsImportant (yeah that too, but in thi... Mar 1 2007, 11:23 PM Oren Iishi I'm gonna throw my hat in the ring and say sol... Mar 1 2007, 11:50 PM MarsIsImportant Well, it is very hard to say what the track of the... Mar 6 2007, 06:44 AM kenny Following the Portugese Historical Method of predi... Mar 6 2007, 08:07 AM ustrax QUOTE (kenny @ Mar 6 2007, 08:07 AM) I go... Mar 6 2007, 09:33 AM um3k I'll claim my stake (or whatever) in sol 1280-... Mar 6 2007, 02:13 PM centsworth_II My pick: 1299
I think they will go all the way to... Mar 6 2007, 03:48 PM imipak I'm still waiting for someone to point out ei... Mar 7 2007, 07:46 PM tuvas QUOTE (imipak @ Mar 7 2007, 12:46 PM) I k... Mar 7 2007, 08:58 PM centsworth_II QUOTE (imipak @ Mar 7 2007, 02:46 PM) I... Mar 7 2007, 09:42 PM dvandorn Do we know what effect (if any) Oppy's broken ... Mar 8 2007, 02:12 AM edstrick My impression is that the angle of the front wheel... Mar 8 2007, 09:22 AM imipak Thanks everyone for clearing that one up! 30 d... Mar 9 2007, 10:24 PM alan Guesses so far in entry pool
1038 Floyd
1103 Ant1... May 2 2007, 09:53 PM climber QUOTE (alan @ May 2 2007, 11:53 PM) Guess... Jul 17 2007, 07:13 PM leustek Would anyone mind if I picked a new entry pool dat... May 4 2007, 08:40 PM MarsIsImportant I don't think changing the entry date guess is... May 4 2007, 09:19 PM Edward Schmitz Well, I don't know about anyone else, but I... May 4 2007, 09:28 PM MarsIsImportant Yes Edward. If there are not very many delays, th... May 4 2007, 09:41 PM MarsIsImportant Has it been determined what constitutes an actuall... May 4 2007, 10:10 PM tuvas QUOTE (MarsIsImportant @ May 4 2007, 03:1... May 4 2007, 11:20 PM MarsIsImportant Maybe, the pool should be divided into two?
We co... May 4 2007, 10:23 PM alan I see where this is going. We will end up with a p... May 5 2007, 12:44 AM kenny It's now Sol 1264, so MizarKey, bergadder and ... Aug 14 2007, 11:26 AM AndyG And I thought I was being improbably pessimistic, ... Aug 14 2007, 01:58 PM ToSeek Heh, and I thought I was being incredibly pessimis... Aug 14 2007, 02:37 PM edstrick I keep wincing at the term Entry "POOL".... Aug 15 2007, 07:51 AM fredk Unless, of course, it's a little pool of water... Aug 15 2007, 04:49 PM jamescanvin Thanks for bringing that up again Fred, I missed i... Aug 15 2007, 07:14 PM kenny It's now the morning of Sol 1290, so um3k is a... Sep 10 2007, 09:17 AM sattrackpro Well, I'm out of it now... I got close - cents... Sep 10 2007, 01:02 PM kenny QUOTE (sattrackpro @ Sep 10 2007, 02:02 P... Sep 11 2007, 11:51 AM antoniseb QUOTE (kenny @ Sep 11 2007, 05:51 AM) I... Sep 11 2007, 12:30 PM jamescanvin QUOTE (antoniseb @ Sep 11 2007, 01:30 PM)... Sep 11 2007, 01:13 PM sattrackpro QUOTE (kenny @ Sep 11 2007, 04:51 AM) I d... Sep 11 2007, 01:25 PM centsworth_II Of course my guess was based on an entirely differ... Sep 10 2007, 05:23 PM leustek QUOTE (centsworth_II @ Sep 10 2007, 01:23... Sep 10 2007, 08:29 PM PDP8E Is it too late?
SOL 1339
Cheers Sep 10 2007, 09:42 PM alan QUOTE (PDP8E @ Sep 10 2007, 04:42 PM) Is ... Sep 11 2007, 12:16 AM jamescanvin QUOTE (PDP8E @ Sep 10 2007, 10:42 PM) Is ... Sep 11 2007, 09:07 AM DEChengst WOOHOO!
http://nasa.exploratorium.edu/mars/op... Sep 11 2007, 07:45 PM kenny So Sol 1291 was entry day, all 6 wheels inside Vic... Sep 12 2007, 08:43 AM djellison 1285 sattrackpro
1299 centsworth II
Entry 1291
S... Sep 12 2007, 09:04 AM brellis Good effort centsworth - missed it on the pro side... Sep 12 2007, 09:20 AM Tesheiner I don't know if there will be additional prize... Sep 12 2007, 10:40 AM sattrackpro QUOTE (Tesheiner @ Sep 12 2007, 03:40 AM)... Sep 12 2007, 12:28 PM climber QUOTE (Tesheiner @ Sep 12 2007, 12:40 PM)... Sep 12 2007, 08:18 PM centsworth_II QUOTE (Tesheiner @ Sep 12 2007, 06:40 AM)... Sep 13 2007, 12:11 AM SpaceListener A new topic would be when the Opportunity would be... Sep 12 2007, 10:17 PM PhilCo126 Were these first 'steps' not conducted as ... Sep 16 2007, 06:00 PM |
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