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Asteroid on track for possible Mars hit, 1 in 75 chance on January 30th
rogelio
post Dec 21 2007, 12:59 AM
Post #101


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http://www.latimes.com/news/science/la-sci...=la-home-center
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Guest_PhilCo126_*
post Jan 24 2008, 06:56 PM
Post #102





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Hopefully we'll be able to spot the 29th January asteroid wink.gif
http://neo.jpl.nasa.gov/?msource=01208&...mp;auid=3329949
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tedstryk
post Jan 26 2008, 02:09 AM
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Hubble will be covering the 2007 WD5/Mars close approach. From the schedule:


11497 A6C Noll Observations of Mars and 2007 WD5
2008.030 10:54:00 11:05:00 1149705 Noll 05-001 MARS WFPC2 IMAGE PC1-FIX F410M 1.20 05 01 02
2008.030 10:54:00 11:05:00 1149705 Noll 05-002 MARS WFPC2 IMAGE PC1-FIX F502N 1.80 05 01 03
2008.030 10:54:00 11:05:00 1149705 Noll 05-003 MARS WFPC2 IMAGE PC1 F673N 0.40 05 01 04

By the fact that they are only using three filters (approximately RGB) and Kieth Noll who sets up Hubble Heritage observations, this is likely simply being done for the coolness factor.


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SteveM
post Feb 28 2008, 08:30 PM
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QUOTE (tedstryk @ Jan 25 2008, 09:09 PM) *
Hubble will be covering the 2007 WD5/Mars close approach. From the schedule:

11497 A6C Noll Observations of Mars and 2007 WD5
2008.030 10:54:00 11:05:00 1149705 Noll 05-001 MARS WFPC2 IMAGE PC1-FIX F410M 1.20 05 01 02
2008.030 10:54:00 11:05:00 1149705 Noll 05-002 MARS WFPC2 IMAGE PC1-FIX F502N 1.80 05 01 03
2008.030 10:54:00 11:05:00 1149705 Noll 05-003 MARS WFPC2 IMAGE PC1 F673N 0.40 05 01 04
FWIW, the Hubble observations have not yet made their way into the major asteroid tracking sites. Both JPL and NEODys are reporting their most recent observations as 2008-01-09. Assuming they can do good astrometry from a moving telescope, observations so close to the asteroid's pass by Mars should refine the subsequent trajectory.

Steve M
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Posts in this topic
- rogelio   Asteroid on track for possible Mars hit   Dec 21 2007, 12:59 AM
- - CAP-Team   What are the chances of the asteroid being "b...   Dec 30 2007, 08:50 PM
|- - slinted   QUOTE (CAP-Team @ Dec 30 2007, 12:50...   Dec 31 2007, 03:19 AM
- - tasp   Maybe we get an atmospheric graze like the Jackson...   Dec 31 2007, 03:41 AM
- - Doc   Does any one have a clue how much of a boom can th...   Dec 31 2007, 11:12 AM
- - helvick   Doc - a good place to go to get an idea of how big...   Dec 31 2007, 12:07 PM
|- - gndonald   QUOTE (helvick @ Dec 31 2007, 09:07 PM) D...   Dec 31 2007, 02:11 PM
|- - Doc   QUOTE (gndonald @ Dec 31 2007, 05:11 PM) ...   Dec 31 2007, 06:45 PM
|- - Shaka   QUOTE (gndonald @ Dec 31 2007, 04:11 AM) ...   Dec 31 2007, 09:07 PM
|- - gndonald   QUOTE (Shaka @ Jan 1 2008, 06:07 AM) gn, ...   Jan 1 2008, 05:04 AM
|- - helvick   QUOTE (gndonald @ Jan 1 2008, 05:04 AM) A...   Jan 1 2008, 11:12 AM
|- - Moon Saloon   .   Jan 1 2008, 05:59 PM
- - MarsIsImportant   QUOTE (Moon Saloon @ Jan 1 2008, 11:59 AM...   Jan 1 2008, 06:22 PM
|- - SFJCody   How great would this be if it did hit? It would be...   Jan 1 2008, 06:56 PM
|- - Mark Adler   QUOTE (MarsIsImportant @ Jan 1 2008, 10:2...   Jan 7 2008, 11:12 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   A few new observations of the asteroid have finall...   Jan 1 2008, 09:05 PM
- - MarsIsImportant   The tracking error and the orbital trajectory are ...   Jan 2 2008, 03:30 AM
- - Greg Hullender   Law of Large Numbers says the uncertainity should ...   Jan 2 2008, 04:23 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   First a correction. I stated in my previous post ...   Jan 2 2008, 04:58 PM
- - Burmese   To what extent, if any, are the calculations takin...   Jan 2 2008, 06:01 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Yes, martian gravity is being taken into account. ...   Jan 2 2008, 06:17 PM
- - SteveM   Here's a new Horizon ephemeris for the pass of...   Jan 2 2008, 11:08 PM
- - Bobby   I have a question also regarding the possible hit ...   Jan 3 2008, 01:31 AM
- - nprev   I doubt very much that even IF it hits (shoulda us...   Jan 3 2008, 02:40 AM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Latest report... Less of a chance   Jan 3 2008, 04:00 PM
- - elakdawalla   Here's the source from which Marsdaily copied ...   Jan 3 2008, 06:24 PM
- - Stu   They don't care! If they cared, any of the...   Jan 4 2008, 05:23 PM
|- - bugs_   QUOTE (Stu @ Jan 4 2008, 05:23 PM) will o...   Jan 4 2008, 11:04 PM
- - Jeff7   Stu - with your (likely accurate) description of t...   Jan 4 2008, 07:02 PM
- - Greg Hullender   Stu, this is from the Pan-STARRS site: http://pan-...   Jan 4 2008, 11:28 PM
- - Lucas   PANSTARRS-1 is in operation now in Haleakala. But ...   Jan 5 2008, 01:52 AM
- - Doc   Been doing some calculations on the effects of a p...   Jan 8 2008, 10:14 AM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Couple more observations reported now by Calar Alt...   Jan 8 2008, 04:30 PM
- - slinted   From the NEO office, based on the 2 newest observa...   Jan 8 2008, 11:08 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Well, a whole bunch of observations came in yester...   Jan 9 2008, 03:44 PM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (Holder of the Two Leashes @ Jan 9 2008...   Jan 9 2008, 03:59 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   OK, I'll spell it out. M... i... s... s. (D...   Jan 9 2008, 04:02 PM
|- - ElkGroveDan   It's going to hit Mississippi?   Jan 9 2008, 04:21 PM
|- - Doc   QUOTE (Holder of the Two Leashes @ Jan 9 2008...   Jan 10 2008, 10:34 AM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Maybe, or it might hit Oklahoma (hence the ducking...   Jan 9 2008, 04:36 PM
- - Holder of the Two Leashes   Here is the latest from JPL 1 in 10,000   Jan 10 2008, 03:12 PM
|- - ugordan   QUOTE (Holder of the Two Leashes @ Jan 10 200...   Jan 10 2008, 03:26 PM
- - nprev   Ah...better luck next time, still lots of rocks ou...   Jan 10 2008, 03:40 PM
- - Canopus   Very disappointing. I was looking forward to an i...   Jan 10 2008, 06:09 PM
- - ElkGroveDan   According to the article on Space.com the range of...   Jan 10 2008, 07:30 PM
- - nprev   <pontification mode> I'd say the odds ar...   Jan 11 2008, 01:42 AM
|- - JRehling   QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 10 2008, 05:42 PM) ...   Jan 11 2008, 05:04 AM
- - ElkGroveDan   Agreed about the long odds, but obviously they hav...   Jan 11 2008, 02:27 AM
|- - slinted   QUOTE (ElkGroveDan @ Jan 10 2008, 06:27 P...   Jan 12 2008, 08:20 AM
|- - tedstryk   For stars, which trail much slower than a moving a...   Jan 14 2008, 12:31 AM
- - dvandorn   OK, John -- now you've done it. Your comment ...   Jan 11 2008, 06:04 AM
- - SteveM   Here's one more JPL Horizons ephemeris for 200...   Jan 11 2008, 03:31 PM
|- - djellison   QUOTE (SteveM @ Jan 11 2008, 03:31 PM) Do...   Jan 11 2008, 03:42 PM
|- - ustrax   How come did I miss that Sol 682 Early Morning Moo...   Jan 11 2008, 04:07 PM
||- - ugordan   QUOTE (ustrax @ Jan 11 2008, 05:07 PM) .....   Jan 11 2008, 04:26 PM
|- - SteveM   QUOTE (djellison @ Jan 11 2008, 10:42 AM)...   Jan 11 2008, 04:25 PM
- - PhilCo126   Well, now NASA has put the odds 1 to 10000, some w...   Jan 11 2008, 06:30 PM
- - PhilCo126   Hopefully we'll be able to spot the 29th Janua...   Jan 24 2008, 06:56 PM
|- - tedstryk   Hubble will be covering the 2007 WD5/Mars close ap...   Jan 26 2008, 02:09 AM
||- - SteveM   QUOTE (tedstryk @ Jan 25 2008, 09:09 PM) ...   Feb 28 2008, 08:30 PM
|- - climber   QUOTE (PhilCo126 @ Jan 24 2008, 07:56 PM)...   Jan 26 2008, 08:07 AM
- - rogelio   It's "official", it missed Mars by 6...   Jan 30 2008, 09:41 PM
|- - ugordan   QUOTE (rogelio @ Jan 30 2008, 10:41 PM) I...   Jan 30 2008, 10:11 PM
|- - helvick   I suppose whether it is "barely" or not ...   Jan 31 2008, 01:05 AM
- - nprev   Here's a very near miss...(lot smaller rock, t...   Jan 31 2008, 04:00 AM
- - edstrick   "Here's a very near miss..." <si...   Jan 31 2008, 07:07 AM
- - nprev   I was there, too, and outside up in Butte; heard t...   Jan 31 2008, 02:11 PM
|- - ugordan   QUOTE (nprev @ Jan 31 2008, 03:11 PM) hea...   Jan 31 2008, 02:22 PM
- - tasp   nprev: thanx so very much for providing the ...   Jan 31 2008, 03:39 PM
- - remcook   ugordon - I think the shock wave that reaches you ...   Jan 31 2008, 05:15 PM
|- - tedstryk   Whatever the explanation is, this is an area in wh...   Jan 31 2008, 08:25 PM
|- - ugordan   QUOTE (tedstryk @ Jan 31 2008, 09:25 PM) ...   Jan 31 2008, 08:31 PM
- - djellison   Ahh - I see the question. It's not a sound fr...   Jan 31 2008, 09:09 PM
|- - ugordan   The problem with that is the "shockwave...   Jan 31 2008, 09:19 PM
|- - helvick   Your explanation makes perfect sense to me - if so...   Jan 31 2008, 11:00 PM
- - nprev   The 10 Aug 1972 object was apparently 5-10 m acros...   Feb 1 2008, 02:10 AM
- - mchan   14.7 km/s would be something like a "rods fro...   Feb 1 2008, 07:13 AM
|- - nprev   QUOTE (mchan @ Jan 31 2008, 11:13 PM) Sti...   Feb 1 2008, 01:48 PM
- - remcook   My point was that the shock you hear was made when...   Feb 1 2008, 05:50 PM
|- - SteveM   QUOTE (remcook @ Feb 1 2008, 12:50 PM) My...   Feb 1 2008, 11:56 PM
|- - helvick   Pedantic time again - the numbers don't make s...   Feb 2 2008, 11:49 AM
|- - tedstryk   I know a Swedish team once succeeded in recording ...   Feb 2 2008, 02:01 PM
- - nprev   FWIW, the sound was the only reason that I saw it ...   Feb 2 2008, 06:55 PM
- - remcook   steve-you're right of course. other things mus...   Feb 3 2008, 11:22 AM
|- - helvick   The Shuttle boom being audible while it's visi...   Feb 3 2008, 12:02 PM
- - remcook   ah,..sorry about that.me being thick again   Feb 3 2008, 12:13 PM
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