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Alternative futures..., What if..? |
Mar 10 2008, 10:30 AM
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![]() The Poet Dude ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Moderator Posts: 5551 Joined: 15-March 04 From: Kendal, Cumbria, UK Member No.: 60 |
Things are a bit quiet at the moment Mars-wise, with Spirit and Oppy taking it easy and Phoenix still a couple of months away from Pads Down, so how about a little game of What If..?
What do you think would have happened - follow up missions, effect on Mars exploration, NASA's development etc - if... One of the Vikings had found primitive life on Mars in 1976..? Pathfinder had failed..? Beagle 2 had found life on Mars..? One of the MERs had failed? That asteroid HAD hit Mars..? ... or any ideas of your own..? Go on, just a bit of fun... -------------------- |
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Mar 10 2008, 04:20 PM
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#2
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![]() Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Moderator Posts: 3242 Joined: 11-February 04 From: Tucson, AZ Member No.: 23 |
One of the Vikings had found primitive life on Mars in 1976..?
I would be studying Io and Titan from the research station at Arsia Mons. Pathfinder had failed..? We would have two very nice stationary landers functioning on Mars. Beagle 2 had found life on Mars..? There would be two additional Europeans on the first manned mission to Mars planned for launch in 2010 One of the MERs had failed? Opportunity would have just reached Vostok right about now That asteroid HAD hit Mars..? The HiRISE team would be showing off a cool image of a fresh crater on Mars during this week's LPSC -------------------- &@^^!% Jim! I'm a geologist, not a physicist!
The Gish Bar Times - A Blog all about Jupiter's Moon Io |
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Mar 10 2008, 04:55 PM
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#3
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Founder ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Chairman Posts: 14445 Joined: 8-February 04 Member No.: 1 |
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Mar 10 2008, 06:29 PM
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#4
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![]() Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 2530 Joined: 20-April 05 Member No.: 321 |
One of the Vikings had found primitive life on Mars in 1976..? This counterfactual interlocks with the martian meteorites, although of course, they would not have been identified for some time after 1976 anyway. But if there was life there for the Vikings, would it also have been found in the meteorites when they were examined? To me, one of the interesting issues here is that finding life on Mars may mean LESS Mars exploration than not finding life on Mars, at least over some possible future courses. If we find life on Mars, we'll be curious as hell about examining it, and there'll be protection issues, but the path forward if life is found there will involve inspecting those bugs. All of a sudden, Mars the planet will become spectacularly less interesting. We might want to survey Mars more to find possible biodiversity there, but we would stop looking to FIND life. The philosophical question would suddenly be done and gone. As in striptease, Mars will keep our interest longer if the discovery of life there seems always right around the corner, but never arrives. If every mission leads to the conclusion "Well, we didn't find it this time, but now we have reason to believe we'll find it if we just try ONE MORE TIME." And that keeps happening. If we find it, then Mars just becomes an Arizona that is more expensive to explore. Arizona has bacteria. Arizona has layers of rock. We don't need to spend $2 billion to explore Arizona, and if we did need to, we wouldn't. We'd just explore New Mexico instead. If Mars "Arizonaizes" itself, it stops earning the billion dollar budgets. |
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Mar 10 2008, 06:46 PM
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#5
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![]() Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Admin Posts: 4763 Joined: 15-March 05 From: Glendale, AZ Member No.: 197 |
One of the Vikings had found primitive life on Mars in 1976..? After The Great Quarantine Failure of 1987, we would all have green patches in place of our eyes and living in dreary symbiotic harmony. -------------------- If Occam had heard my theory, things would be very different now.
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Mar 10 2008, 07:03 PM
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#6
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![]() Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Moderator Posts: 3242 Joined: 11-February 04 From: Tucson, AZ Member No.: 23 |
Though if you want to give me 2 billion dollars for going outside, I won't complain...
-------------------- &@^^!% Jim! I'm a geologist, not a physicist!
The Gish Bar Times - A Blog all about Jupiter's Moon Io |
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Mar 10 2008, 09:22 PM
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#7
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Senior Member ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 3516 Joined: 4-November 05 From: North Wales Member No.: 542 |
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Mar 11 2008, 09:11 AM
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#8
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![]() Member ![]() ![]() ![]() Group: Members Posts: 276 Joined: 11-December 07 From: Dar es Salaam, Tanzania Member No.: 3978 |
There would be no UMSF.... Doug So I take it the loss of Beagle 2 was a necessary tragedy? Its funny how life plays its game -------------------- |
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