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Titan boat on $450 million - how is it possible?
Mark6
post Sep 16 2009, 01:51 PM
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Today I heard this on NPR: Exploring a moon by boat
QUOTE
The mission could launch around 2016 and be sailing on Titan around 2022 — if this team gets through a highly competitive selection process to get funding from NASA. Stofan and her colleagues are busy working up their proposal for when NASA begins to accept ideas for future Discovery-class missions.

Quick Google search on Dr. Stofan's name found this: What Next for Titan?
QUOTE
Ellen Stofan has a Discovery-class Titan lake lander proposal. I've not seen the presentation, but a friend who has tells me that it is less capable than the ESA lake lander proposed for TSSM. (This would make sense – ESA had a budget of ~$1B for just the lake lander and balloon. Stofan has just $450M and has to fit a carrier craft and launch vehicle into that budget.) The 2007 report did not look at lake landers. I know of Stofan by reputation, and she's highly competent. However, fitting in a carrier, lander (with entry shell), and launch vehicle within a Discovery mission budget seems ambitious. Perhaps this could be done with a New Frontiers budget ($650M with the launch vehicle provided by NASA outside this budget), although the 2007 budget suggested that a budget twice this amount would be needed just for an atmopheric probe.

Aside from above quote's understandable skepticism of the Discovery-class price tag, where would plutonium for this mission come from? I thought it is all already allocated?
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dvandorn
post Sep 17 2009, 12:57 AM
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In re landing somewhere that you expect precipitation, I rather thought that the most likely precipitation seasons are winters at the poles -- places where there will be no light, and thus no possibility of pictures. (I don't care if all you get are pictures of a glass-smooth lake surface and the sky, imagery has proven over and over again to be extremely useful, even in places where you would never expect it to be. I won't be happy with a Titan lander, no matter where it's targeted, that has no ability to return images.)

Also, the boat will be an *awful* lot warmer than the boiling point of the liquid in which it's supposed to float. This isn't water, guys, and we're talking about landing a boat that runs on the waste heat from plutonium decay. Just how, exactly, do the designers propose to vent the heat from the probe in such a way that it doesn't transfer *any* of that heat into the liquid? We won't get information on anything like the liquid's natural state if our boat's major impact on its surroundings is to boil away the liquid in which it floats... huh.gif

-the other Doug


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“The trouble ain't that there is too many fools, but that the lightning ain't distributed right.” -Mark Twain
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Posts in this topic
- Mark6   Titan boat on $450 million - how is it possible?   Sep 16 2009, 01:51 PM
- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 16 2009, 05:51 AM) Asi...   Sep 16 2009, 02:34 PM
- - Mark6   Does anyone know what are the competing proposals ...   Sep 16 2009, 05:56 PM
|- - vjkane   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 16 2009, 05:56 PM) Doe...   Sep 16 2009, 11:48 PM
- - volcanopele   Another (possible) proposal is the Io Volcano Obse...   Sep 16 2009, 07:16 PM
- - Drkskywxlt   I heard this presentation by Dr. Stofan at the Sat...   Sep 16 2009, 07:22 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (Drkskywxlt @ Sep 16 2009, 12:22 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 07:35 PM
|- - vjkane   QUOTE (Drkskywxlt @ Sep 16 2009, 07:22 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 11:54 PM
|- - ustrax   Wow! Just love the concept...a true vessel on ...   Sep 17 2009, 02:29 PM
||- - Paolo   QUOTE (ustrax @ Sep 17 2009, 04:29 PM) Eo...   Sep 17 2009, 04:31 PM
|||- - ustrax   Yes Paolo, you're right, and there's also ...   Sep 17 2009, 06:16 PM
||- - Mark6   QUOTE (ustrax @ Sep 17 2009, 03:29 PM) Ev...   Sep 18 2009, 12:21 PM
||- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 18 2009, 07:21 AM) My ...   Sep 18 2009, 01:25 PM
||- - ustrax   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 18 2009, 01:21 PM) My ...   Sep 18 2009, 01:35 PM
||- - ngunn   QUOTE (ustrax @ Sep 18 2009, 02:35 PM) la...   Sep 18 2009, 03:04 PM
|- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (vjkane @ Sep 16 2009, 05:54 PM) Al...   Sep 17 2009, 09:24 PM
- - stevesliva   I'm skeptical that if one were to choose to se...   Sep 16 2009, 08:52 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (stevesliva @ Sep 16 2009, 01:52 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 09:30 PM
- - Juramike   Titan's terrain is pretty varied: If we did p...   Sep 16 2009, 09:33 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (Juramike @ Sep 16 2009, 02:33 PM) ...   Sep 16 2009, 09:43 PM
|- - stevesliva   QUOTE (Juramike @ Sep 16 2009, 04:33 PM) ...   Sep 16 2009, 10:51 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (stevesliva @ Sep 16 2009, 03:51 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 11:04 PM
- - ngunn   Liquid phase chemistry seems to me the biggest sin...   Sep 16 2009, 09:51 PM
- - Juramike   Titan's surface chemistry has the potential to...   Sep 17 2009, 12:23 AM
- - dvandorn   In re landing somewhere that you expect precipitat...   Sep 17 2009, 12:57 AM
- - Mariner9   True, at the moment of splash down the probe will ...   Sep 17 2009, 02:23 AM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (Mariner9 @ Sep 16 2009, 08:23 PM) ...   Sep 17 2009, 05:45 AM
- - Juramike   Going from a hot environment to a cold environment...   Sep 17 2009, 03:37 AM
- - dvandorn   It's a wonderful example of how observing affe...   Sep 17 2009, 04:52 AM
|- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Sep 16 2009, 10:52 PM) ...   Sep 17 2009, 09:25 PM
|- - dvandorn   QUOTE (Drkskywxlt @ Sep 17 2009, 04:25 PM...   Sep 18 2009, 12:53 AM
- - vjkane   Like the idea of a Titan boat? Check this out for...   Sep 17 2009, 07:14 AM
- - Juramike   I really, really like the dual floater/submersible...   Sep 17 2009, 01:40 PM
- - Fran Ontanaya   Maybe the probe could use the residual heat for it...   Sep 17 2009, 02:48 PM
- - antipode   What kinds of currents and 'sea' surface c...   Sep 18 2009, 12:25 AM
|- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (antipode @ Sep 17 2009, 07:25 PM) ...   Sep 18 2009, 01:30 PM
- - DFinfrock   How about putting some of that "waste" h...   Sep 18 2009, 05:29 AM
- - rlorenz   Good to see this topic has stimulated a lot of dis...   Sep 19 2009, 12:08 PM
|- - Webscientist   I'm in favour of a lander "boat/submarine...   Sep 19 2009, 07:37 PM
|- - ngunn   QUOTE (Webscientist @ Sep 19 2009, 08:37 ...   Sep 19 2009, 09:01 PM
- - scalbers   Here is a nice mission summary: http://www.spacep...   Dec 19 2009, 09:28 PM


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