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Titan boat on $450 million - how is it possible?
Mark6
post Sep 16 2009, 01:51 PM
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Today I heard this on NPR: Exploring a moon by boat
QUOTE
The mission could launch around 2016 and be sailing on Titan around 2022 — if this team gets through a highly competitive selection process to get funding from NASA. Stofan and her colleagues are busy working up their proposal for when NASA begins to accept ideas for future Discovery-class missions.

Quick Google search on Dr. Stofan's name found this: What Next for Titan?
QUOTE
Ellen Stofan has a Discovery-class Titan lake lander proposal. I've not seen the presentation, but a friend who has tells me that it is less capable than the ESA lake lander proposed for TSSM. (This would make sense – ESA had a budget of ~$1B for just the lake lander and balloon. Stofan has just $450M and has to fit a carrier craft and launch vehicle into that budget.) The 2007 report did not look at lake landers. I know of Stofan by reputation, and she's highly competent. However, fitting in a carrier, lander (with entry shell), and launch vehicle within a Discovery mission budget seems ambitious. Perhaps this could be done with a New Frontiers budget ($650M with the launch vehicle provided by NASA outside this budget), although the 2007 budget suggested that a budget twice this amount would be needed just for an atmopheric probe.

Aside from above quote's understandable skepticism of the Discovery-class price tag, where would plutonium for this mission come from? I thought it is all already allocated?
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dvandorn
post Sep 17 2009, 04:52 AM
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It's a wonderful example of how observing affects the thing being observed.

I'm also just a tiny bit skeptical that you can vent the heat from the boat's warm interior (including waste heat from the ASRGs) up into the air and not have any effect on the temperature or composition of the fluid in which you're floating your boat. At the very least, you will heat a column of air over the boat that will cause chemical reactions in the liquids and gases suspended in the heated air column. Products of those reactions will tend to fall back out of the air column, and if they're heavy enough they'll land in the fluid. Most of this fallout would happen near the boat, I would think. So, anything your vented heat precipitates out of the "humid" air will then change the nature of the air and the fluids you're observing.

Also, what happens if the atmosphere over the lake contains an inversion layer that traps the "superheated" air close to the lake surface? We're talking about a rather thick atmosphere, here. Microclimates might well come into existence in such conditions that we don't know enough to model very well, and they could not only trap hot air for short periods, they would also be disrupted by hot, dry air, making our observations of them resemble Mike's burnt tree branch.

I just keep thinking, even if the heat released is relatively low by our standards (under 100 degrees C), the difference between that and the boiling point of the fluids they're in is much larger than you'd think. I'd imagine that if you applied the same degree of difference to, say, the boiling point of water, it would be something like trying to examine the ocean from a boat that's venting white-hot plasma at 5,000 degrees C. Your water collectors, designed to tell you all sorts of things about the chemistry and properties of the seawater, might just end up picking up a bunch of charred feathers and bird carcasses and leave you trying to understand how those fit in with your model of the oceanic environment...

-the other Doug


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“The trouble ain't that there is too many fools, but that the lightning ain't distributed right.” -Mark Twain
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Posts in this topic
- Mark6   Titan boat on $450 million - how is it possible?   Sep 16 2009, 01:51 PM
- - mcaplinger   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 16 2009, 05:51 AM) Asi...   Sep 16 2009, 02:34 PM
- - Mark6   Does anyone know what are the competing proposals ...   Sep 16 2009, 05:56 PM
|- - vjkane   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 16 2009, 05:56 PM) Doe...   Sep 16 2009, 11:48 PM
- - volcanopele   Another (possible) proposal is the Io Volcano Obse...   Sep 16 2009, 07:16 PM
- - Drkskywxlt   I heard this presentation by Dr. Stofan at the Sat...   Sep 16 2009, 07:22 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (Drkskywxlt @ Sep 16 2009, 12:22 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 07:35 PM
|- - vjkane   QUOTE (Drkskywxlt @ Sep 16 2009, 07:22 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 11:54 PM
|- - ustrax   Wow! Just love the concept...a true vessel on ...   Sep 17 2009, 02:29 PM
||- - Paolo   QUOTE (ustrax @ Sep 17 2009, 04:29 PM) Eo...   Sep 17 2009, 04:31 PM
|||- - ustrax   Yes Paolo, you're right, and there's also ...   Sep 17 2009, 06:16 PM
||- - Mark6   QUOTE (ustrax @ Sep 17 2009, 03:29 PM) Ev...   Sep 18 2009, 12:21 PM
||- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 18 2009, 07:21 AM) My ...   Sep 18 2009, 01:25 PM
||- - ustrax   QUOTE (Mark6 @ Sep 18 2009, 01:21 PM) My ...   Sep 18 2009, 01:35 PM
||- - ngunn   QUOTE (ustrax @ Sep 18 2009, 02:35 PM) la...   Sep 18 2009, 03:04 PM
|- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (vjkane @ Sep 16 2009, 05:54 PM) Al...   Sep 17 2009, 09:24 PM
- - stevesliva   I'm skeptical that if one were to choose to se...   Sep 16 2009, 08:52 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (stevesliva @ Sep 16 2009, 01:52 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 09:30 PM
- - Juramike   Titan's terrain is pretty varied: If we did p...   Sep 16 2009, 09:33 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (Juramike @ Sep 16 2009, 02:33 PM) ...   Sep 16 2009, 09:43 PM
|- - stevesliva   QUOTE (Juramike @ Sep 16 2009, 04:33 PM) ...   Sep 16 2009, 10:51 PM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (stevesliva @ Sep 16 2009, 03:51 PM...   Sep 16 2009, 11:04 PM
- - ngunn   Liquid phase chemistry seems to me the biggest sin...   Sep 16 2009, 09:51 PM
- - Juramike   Titan's surface chemistry has the potential to...   Sep 17 2009, 12:23 AM
- - dvandorn   In re landing somewhere that you expect precipitat...   Sep 17 2009, 12:57 AM
- - Mariner9   True, at the moment of splash down the probe will ...   Sep 17 2009, 02:23 AM
|- - Jason W Barnes   QUOTE (Mariner9 @ Sep 16 2009, 08:23 PM) ...   Sep 17 2009, 05:45 AM
- - Juramike   Going from a hot environment to a cold environment...   Sep 17 2009, 03:37 AM
- - dvandorn   It's a wonderful example of how observing affe...   Sep 17 2009, 04:52 AM
|- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (dvandorn @ Sep 16 2009, 10:52 PM) ...   Sep 17 2009, 09:25 PM
|- - dvandorn   QUOTE (Drkskywxlt @ Sep 17 2009, 04:25 PM...   Sep 18 2009, 12:53 AM
- - vjkane   Like the idea of a Titan boat? Check this out for...   Sep 17 2009, 07:14 AM
- - Juramike   I really, really like the dual floater/submersible...   Sep 17 2009, 01:40 PM
- - Fran Ontanaya   Maybe the probe could use the residual heat for it...   Sep 17 2009, 02:48 PM
- - antipode   What kinds of currents and 'sea' surface c...   Sep 18 2009, 12:25 AM
|- - Drkskywxlt   QUOTE (antipode @ Sep 17 2009, 07:25 PM) ...   Sep 18 2009, 01:30 PM
- - DFinfrock   How about putting some of that "waste" h...   Sep 18 2009, 05:29 AM
- - rlorenz   Good to see this topic has stimulated a lot of dis...   Sep 19 2009, 12:08 PM
|- - Webscientist   I'm in favour of a lander "boat/submarine...   Sep 19 2009, 07:37 PM
|- - ngunn   QUOTE (Webscientist @ Sep 19 2009, 08:37 ...   Sep 19 2009, 09:01 PM
- - scalbers   Here is a nice mission summary: http://www.spacep...   Dec 19 2009, 09:28 PM


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